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Trump populism will stoke inflation & volatility

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9 år sedan

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uncertainty is likely to remain elevated in the coming year, favouring safer, lower volatility assets. Trump populism will stoke inflation & volatility.

Over the coming year, there are many elections scheduled where populist parties are gaining traction, most notably in the US. As inequality issues cannot be reversed overnight, we believe uncertainty is likely to remain elevated in the coming year, favouring safer, lower volatility assets. Trump populism will stoke inflation & volatility.

In our September 2016 outlook we discuss that there is something unusual happening in modern politics that is threatening to destabilise incumbent political parties in the developed world, namely populism.

In some respects populism isn’t an ideology but a mode of political expression that is employed selectively and strategically, targeting issues of mass appeal and we can see this no better than the rise in popularity of Donald Trump in the United States. Populist parties tend to over-promise, developing simple policies with mass appeal, irrespective of their ability to be delivered.

Why has this phenomenon begun now? There do seem to be some key drivers of today’s rise in populism, primarily high inequality, generated by stagnant economic and wage growth alongside increasing cultural diversity. Gabriel Palma, an academic who has written on populism and inequality, implied in his work that globalisation is distorting the distribution of income. “What really matters is the income–share between the rich and lower income workers with their ever more precarious jobs in ever more ‘flexible’ labour markets becoming a source of tension”.

Populism – implications for investments and the economy

Regardless of the success of populism at elections, populist momentum can be a very powerful catalyst for reform, with incumbent parties scrambling to counter the populist wave. We have already seen Hillary Clinton pledge $275bn for infrastructure spending.

Along with a likely rise in infrastructure spend we are also likely to see increased spend on social initiatives to combat inequality. Infrastructure spend creates additional demand whilst social initiatives are likely to lead to an increase in consumer spending with the end result being a likely rise in inflation.

Populist policies in the US, which are likely to include tax cuts, prompting a potential widening of the budget deficit, could weaken the US dollar in the coming years. Furthermore, protectionist policies that could constrict international trade and investment are likely to exacerbate global currency volatility, in turn contributing to further investor uncertainty.

James Butterfill, Head of Research & Investment Strategy at ETF Securities

James Butterfill joined ETF Securities as Head of Research & Investment Strategy in 2015. James is responsible for leading the strategic direction of the global research team, ensuring that clients receive up-to-date, expert insight into global macroeconomic and asset class specific developments.

James has a wealth of experience in strategy, economics and asset allocation gained at HSBC and most recently in his role as Multi- Asset Fund Manager and Global Equity Strategist at Coutts. James holds a Bachelor of Engineering from the University of Exeter and an MSc in Geophysics from Keele University.

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Trump’s Liberation Day: The impact of tariffs on the crypto market

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14 timmar sedan

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10 april, 2025

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Crypto trades around the clock and often responds quickly to market uncertainty. Bitcoin usually drops first during the market turbulence because it's risky and easy to trade, just like tech stocks. Here's how Trump’s tariffs are playing into that.

Crypto trades around the clock and often responds quickly to market uncertainty. Bitcoin usually drops first during the market turbulence because it’s risky and easy to trade, just like tech stocks. Here’s how Trump’s tariffs are playing into that.

Stablecoins: The real powerhouse of crypto

Stablecoins are digital currencies tied to assets like the U.S. dollar, making them stable in price and easy to send worldwide instantly. They drive the crypto economy, moving billions, powering financial applications, and reshaping payments. From remittances to billion-dollar treasuries, explore how leading stablecoins like USDT and USDC are making it happen.

Why the memecoin mania isn’t a joke

A memecoin is a cryptocurrency inspired by internet memes or viral trends. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies focused on utility (like Bitcoin or Ethereum), memecoins thrive on community engagement, humor, and speculative momentum. With low barriers to entry, they’re easy to create and trade, making them a go-to starting point for crypto newcomers.

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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WEBN ETF en billig globalfond från Amundi

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15 timmar sedan

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10 april, 2025

Av

Amundi Prime All Country World UCITS ETF Acc (WEBN ETF) med ISIN IE0003XJA0J9, strävar efter att spåra Solactive GBS Global Markets Large & Mid Cap-index. Solactive GBS Global Markets Large & Mid Cap-index spårar stora och medelstora aktier från utvecklade och tillväxtmarknader över hela världen.

Amundi Prime All Country World UCITS ETF Acc (WEBN ETF) med ISIN IE0003XJA0J9, strävar efter att spåra Solactive GBS Global Markets Large & Mid Cap-index. Solactive GBS Global Markets Large & Mid Cap-index spårar stora och medelstora aktier från utvecklade och tillväxtmarknader över hela världen.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,07 % p.a. Amundi Prime All Country World UCITS ETF Acc är den billigaste ETF som följer Solactive GBS Global Markets Large & Mid Cap-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

Denna ETF lanserades den 5 juni 2024 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål

Amundi Prime All Country World UCITS ETF Acc strävar efter att så nära som möjligt replikera resultatet för Solactive GBS Global Markets Large & Mid Cap Index (””Index”) oavsett om trenden är stigande eller fallande. Delfondens mål är att uppnå en tracking error-nivå för delfonden och dess index som normalt inte överstiger 1 %.

Handla WEBN ETF

Amundi Prime All Country World UCITS ETF Acc (WEBN ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
XETRAEURWEBN

Största innehav

Denna fond använder fysisk replikering för att spåra indexets prestanda.

NamnValutaVikt %Sektor
MICROSOFT CORPUSD4.62 %Informationsteknologi
APPLE INCUSD4.47 %Informationsteknologi
NVIDIA CORPUSD3.99 %Informationsteknologi
AMAZON.COM INCUSD2.47 %Sällanköpsvaror
META PLATFORMS INC-CLASS AUSD1.54 %Kommunikationstjänster
ALPHABET INC CL AUSD1.51 %Kommunikationstjänster
ALPHABET INC CL CUSD1.26 %Kommunikationstjänster
ELI LILLY & COUSD1.05 %Health Care
BROADCOM INCUSD1.04 %Informationsteknologi
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTWD0.97 %Informationsteknologi

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Mar.25 crypto update, Research commentary on market turmoil, CIO Notes and ETP performance attribution

Publicerad

16 timmar sedan

den

10 april, 2025

Av

Mar.25 crypto update, Research commentary on market turmoil, CIO Notes and ETP performance attribution

A – Research commentaries from last week developments

  1. Markets reacted to Trump tariffs – Bitcoin stands

Global markets fell sharply after President Trump’s new 25% tariffs on Chinese imports. Stocks led the decline – the Nasdaq 100 is now down -14% since the election, and the S&P 500 -12.3%. Crypto reacted too, but not uniformly:

• Altcoins such as SOL and ETH were hit hardest (down over 30% since November)

• Bitcoin and the Nasdaq Crypto Index (NCI) showed resilience, gaining +14.3% and +9.3%, respectively since Election

This kind of selloff tends to erase diversification — everything moves together. But it’s essential to take a longer view:

• Since Trump’s election, only three assets have consistently outperformed: Bitcoin, NCI, and gold.

• Last week, only gold outpaced BTC, confirming the role of digital assets as a strategic long-term allocation — even in volatile regimes.

  1. Regulatory tailwinds are building

The next phase of crypto decoupling could come from policy. In the US, the signals are turning positive:

• The STABLE Act advanced in Congress, with Trump urging swift approval

• A tokenized fund paid $4.17M in dividends last month, proving blockchain’s real-world income potential

• The SEC has launched a review of past crypto guidance — a move toward clearer rules and broader institutional comfort

Bottom line: In a week where most assets fell, crypto stood out. That’s not a coincidence — it’s a signal.

B – CIO Monthly Notes – Crypto’s Political Tailwinds Are Blowing Hard

• Following a week in Washington, our CIO outlines how crypto is gaining bipartisan traction in DC.

• Key takeaway: regulatory clarity is coming faster than expected, and institutions are taking note.

C – March 2025 ETP performance overview

As of 31/03/25 – Source: Hashdex and Bloomberg. Performances in USD.

Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index ETP (HASH / HDX1) : March: -4.5% | YTD: -19%

Key drivers in March: Bitcoin and Ethereum

March Performance Attribution:

Hashdex Crypto Momentum Factor ETP (HAMO / HDXM): March: -8.5% | YTD: -22%

Key drivers in March: Litecoin, Ethereum and Solana

March Performance Attribution:

Hashdex Multi-Crypto Index ETPs

Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index ETP (HASH)

• Broad exposure to BTC, ETH, and major altcoins (SOL, XRP, ADA, etc)

• Quarterly rebalancing – evolutive, market cap-based allocation with no caps (weights and number of constituents)

• Largest crypto index ETP in Europe (+$300m AUM)

• ISIN: CH1184151731 | Tickers: HASH (SIX, Euronext) / HDX1 (Xetra)

• Tradable in USD, EUR, CHF, GBP
• Factsheet / Product page / Index Methodology

Hashdex Crypto Momentum Factor ETP (HAMO/HDXM )

• Momentum-based strategy with monthly rebalancing

• Designed to capture trends across large-cap crypto assets

• ISIN: CH1218734544 | Tickers: HAMO (SIX, Euronext) / HDXM (Xetra)

• Tradable in USD, EUR, CHF, GBP

• Factsheet / Product page / Index Methodology

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