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Successfully navigate through Bitcoin & Cryptoasset Markets

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Cryptoasset Markets Market sentiment has stabilized as outflows from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) have slowed down

• Market sentiment has stabilized as outflows from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) have slowed down

• Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Index” declined to levels that signal a short-term tactical bottom last week

• We expect the influence of macro factors on Bitcoin & Cryptoassets to reassert itself over the coming weeks

Chart of the Week

Performance

Last week, cryptoassets mostly recovered from the sell-off in the prior week. One of the main reasons for this recovery was that outflows from the biggest Bitcoin fund in the world – Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) – have slowed down recently which has lifted market sentiment a bit.

Market sentiment was relatively bearish at the beginning of last week, with our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Index” hitting the lowest level since March 2023 amid heightened fund outflows and increasing bitcoin exchange inflows.

The index has decreased to such low levels that at least a short-term tactical bottom appears to be quite likely.

Over the course of last week, we saw a significant reversal in sentiment from low levels amid reversals in spot bitcoin exchange inflows and bitcoin put-call volume ratios that had put pressure on the market.

Ethereum also came under pressure after a portion of the chain’s major operators were rendered inoperable on Sunday due to a problem in Ethereum’s Nethermind client software, which is used by blockchain validators to communicate with the network.

The incident has raised concerns about the centralization and high reliance on single dominant client softwares like Geth – a risk referred to as “supermajority client risk” – which has dampened market sentiment towards Ethereum last week.

Overall, although ETF fund flows in the US still appear to be relatively influential, the market clearly lacks some new catalysts in the short term. It is quite likely that the influence of macro factors such as global growth expectations or monetary policy could reassert itself over the coming months, at least until the Bitcoin Halving in April 2024.

In this context, the FOMC will convene to decide on US monetary policy on the 30th and 31st of January this week. The FOMC is expected to hold interest rates unchanged this week and only to cut rates later in March based on expectations priced into Fed Funds Futures.

However, interest rate cuts have recently been priced out which was also seen as a potential bearish macro catalyst for the latest sell-off in cryptoassets.

In this context, we are currently measuring a dominant influence of global growth expectations and general level of risk appetite on Bitcoin and only to a lesser extent an influence by other macro factors such as monetary policy or the US Dollar.

Our own measure of Cross Asset Risk Appetite (CARA) has also recovered last week which has likely supported the recovery in for Bitcoin and other cryptoassets as well.

In general, among the top 10 crypto assets, Avalanche, Solana, and TRON were the relative outperformers.

Altcoin outperformance vis-à-vis Bitcoin was relatively weak compared to the week prior, with only 5% of our tracked altcoins managing to outperform Bitcoin on a weekly basis.

Sentiment

Market sentiment was relatively bearish at the beginning of last week, with our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Index” hitting the lowest level since March 2023.

The index has decreased to such low levels that at least a short-term tactical bottom appears to be quite likely.

At the moment, only 6 out of 15 indicators are above their short-term trend.
Compared to last week, we saw major reversals to the upside in BTC exchange inflows and BTC put-call volume ratios.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has swung back to ”Greed” territory as of this morning.

Meanwhile, our own measure of Cross Asset Risk Appetite (CARA) has recently increased. Overall, this is signalling a return in risk appetite in traditional financial markets.

Performance dispersion among cryptoassets has recently remained elevated.

In general, high-performance dispersion among cryptoassets implies that correlations among cryptoassets have decreased, which means that cryptoassets are trading more on coin-specific factors and that diversification among cryptoassets is high.

At the same time, altcoin outperformance vis-à-vis Bitcoin has declined considerably amid an underperformance of Ethereum vis-à-vis Bitcoin. Only 5% of our tracked altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin on a weekly basis.

In general, low altcoin outperformance tends to be a sign of low risk appetite within cryptoasset markets.

Fund Flows

In aggregate, we saw weekly net fund outflows from all types of cryptoassets in the amount of -500.1 mn USD (week ending Friday) based on Bloomberg data.

Global Bitcoin ETPs saw significant outflows of -491.5 mn USD of which -417.0 mn were related to US spot Bitcoin ETFs. This was mostly related to continuing outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) which amounted to -2,234.3 mn USD last week alone. This was partially counteracted by net inflows into other US spot Bitcoin ETFs that were able to attract 1,818.0 mn USD in net inflows.

On a positive note, the outflows from GBTC have slowed down over the past 5 trading days which has also improved market sentiment as well.

Note that some fund flows data for US major issuers are still lacking in the abovementioned numbers due to T+2 settlement.

Apart from Bitcoin, we saw comparatively small flows into other cryptoassets last week.

Ethereum ETPs also saw net outflows in the amount of -37.3 mn USD while other altcoin ETPs ex Ethereum managed to attract +1.1 mn USD.

Thematic & basket crypto ETPs also managed to attract net inflows of +27.6 mn USD, based on our calculations.

Besides, the beta of global crypto hedge funds to Bitcoin over the last 20 trading still remains low at below 0.8, implying that global crypto hedge funds still remain under-exposed to Bitcoin market risks. It appears as if crypto hedge funds are still waiting on the sidelines for new catalysts.

On-Chain Data

Last week, in- and outflows related to spot Bitcoin ETFs continued to exert a significant influence on Bitcoin on-chain data as well.

High outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) led to increased exchange inflows into crypto exchanges, in particular Coinbase.

More particularly, last Monday GBTC transfers to Coinbase accounted from approximately 76% of overall whale exchange deposits to Coinbase on that day. That percentage has declined gradually throughout the past week and was at around 30% last Friday.

We have analysed the effect of the GBTC selling on the price of Bitcoin in more detail here.

However, although GBTC percentage in whale exchange inflows has somewhat declined, whale exchange inflows still remain relatively high from a structural point of view. This could put a lid on any significant price advances in the short term.

Besides, the average coin dormancy also remains relatively high which tends to be a bearish signal.

Dormancy, defined as the ratio of coin days destroyed to total transfer volume, is the average number of days destroyed per coin traded. The higher the coin days destroyed, the longer a coin has been dormant. It usually signals whether older coins are on the move.

On a positive note, Bitcoin miners have ceased to sell their BTC reserves – a process which had started around November 2023 already. Aggregate BTC miner balances have moved sideways over the past week.

It is also positive to observe that the number of BTC whale has increased significantly over the past week.

Whales are defined as unique entities holding at least 1k BTC. This increase implies that, on aggregate, whales might be accumulating coins again.

In fact, we are observing an increase in BTC holdings in wallets that hold between 1k BTC and 100k BTC.

Futures, Options & Perpetuals

BTC futures open interest declined somewhat last week while perpetual open interest was mostly unchanged. There were no significant futures long or short liquidations last week.

The 3-months annualized BTC futures basis has stabilized at around 9.7% p.a. and perpetual funding rates have been positive throughout the week.

There were more significant developments in the BTC option space, which saw a massive expiry last week on Friday that led to a decrease of around -86k BTC in option open interest. Put-call open interest ratio remains relatively low implying that most traders have relatively low put exposure.

That being said, last Thursday saw a significant spike in put buying as put-call volume ratios spiked to the highest level since October 2023. The BTC 25-delta 1-month option skew had also increased before that amid the sell-off but has recently declined from high levels.

There is generally a declining trend in implied volatilities since early January 2024 that continued last week as well. BTC option traders have generally been pricing out the uncertainty around the ETF approvals.

Bottom Line

• Market sentiment has stabilized as outflows from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) have slowed down

• Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Index” declined to levels that signal a short-term tactical bottom last week

• We expect the influence of macro factors on Bitcoin & Cryptoassets to reassert itself over the coming weeks

To read our Crypto Market Compass in full, please click the button below:

GENERAL DISCLAIMER

The information provided in this advertising material is for informative purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation or solicitation to conclude a transaction.

This document (which may be in the form of a press release, social media post, blog post, broadcast communication or similar instrument – we refer to this category of communications generally as a “document” for purposes of this disclaimer) is issued by ETC Issuance GmbH (the “issuer”), a limited company incorporated under the laws of the Germany. This document has been prepared in accordance with applicable laws and regulations (including those relating to financial promotions). If you are considering investing in any securities issued by ETC Group, including any securities described in this document, you should check with your broker or bank that securities issued by ETC Group are available in your jurisdiction and suitable for your investment profile.

Exchange-traded commodities/cryptocurrencies, or ETCs, are a highly volatile asset and performance is unpredictable. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The market price of ETCs will vary and they do not offer a fixed income. The value of any investment in ETCs may be affected by exchange rate and underlying price movements. This document may contain forward looking statements including statements regarding ETC Group’s belief or current expectations with regards to the performance of certain asset classes. Forward looking statements are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions, and there can be no assurance that such statements will be accurate and actual results could differ materially. Therefore, you must not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

This document does not constitute investment advice nor an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any product or make any investment. An investment in an ETC that is linked to cryptocurrency, such as those offered by ETC Group, is dependent on the performance of the underlying cryptocurrency, less costs, but it is not expected to match that performance precisely. ETCs involve numerous risks including among others, general market risks relating to underlying adverse price movements and currency, liquidity, operational, legal and regulatory risks.

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Information contained in this document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering in the United States or Canada, or any state, province or territory thereof, where neither the issuer nor its products are authorised or registered for distribution or sale and where no prospectus of the issuer has been filed with any securities regulator. Neither this document nor information in it should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.

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Social media posts (including, but not limited to, LinkedIn and Twitter) of ETC Group and its subsidiaries (“Social Media”) are not, and should not be considered to be recommendations, solicitations or offers by ETC Group or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or other assets or provide any investment advice or service. ETC Group makes all reasonable efforts to ensure that the information contained on Social Media is accurate and reliable; however, errors sometimes occur. You should note that the materials on Social Media are provided “as is” without any express or implied warranties. ETC Group does not warrant or represent that the materials on Social Media are accurate, valid, timely or complete.

RISKS OF CRYPTOCURRENCIES

Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets and are known for their extreme fluctuations in prices. While there is potential for significant gains, you are at risk of losing parts or your entire capital invested. The value of the ETCs is affected by the price of its underlying cryptocurrency. The price of cryptocurrencies can fluctuate widely and, for example, may be impacted by global and regional political, economic or financial events, regulatory events or statements by regulators, investment trading, hedging or other activities by a wide range of market participants, forks in underlying protocols, disruptions to the infrastructure or means by which crypto assets are produced, distributed, stored and traded. The price of cryptocurrencies may also change due to shifting investor confidence in future outlook of the asset class. Characteristics of cryptocurrencies and divergence of applicable regulatory standards create the potential for market abuse and could lead to high price volatility. Amounts received by Bondholders (i) upon redemption of the Bonds in USD, in cases where Bondholders are prevented from receiving cryptocurrency for legal or regulatory reasons; or (ii) upon sale on the stock exchange depend on the price performance of the relevant cryptocurrency and available liquidity.

For a detailed overview of risks associated with cryptocurrencies and specifically associated with the ETCs, please refer to the prospectus and base prospectus available at the issuer’s website at www.etc-group.com.

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From digital asset to safe haven: Why is Bitcoin acting like gold?

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Bitcoin’s price has taken a different path from U.S. stocks over the past weeks. While major indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have experienced declines, Bitcoin has risen to its highest levels in recent months, positioning itself as a safe haven, similar to gold. Understand how Bitcoin and gold have been synced for some time and what the correlation might look like in the future.

Bitcoin’s price has taken a different path from U.S. stocks over the past weeks. While major indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have experienced declines, Bitcoin has risen to its highest levels in recent months, positioning itself as a safe haven, similar to gold. Understand how Bitcoin and gold have been synced for some time and what the correlation might look like in the future.

Ethereum’s big reboot: Why investors should be excited

Ethereum is making headlines due to a potential change in its core software, the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), that operates across thousands of computers, enabling Ethereum to execute smart contracts and securely track transactions. However, Ethereum’s co-founder, Vitalik Buterin, has suggested replacing the EVM with a new system called RISC-V. Discover why the change is necessary and its potential impact on investors.

Thousands of altcoins, but no altcoin season: What comes next?

Over the past year, the crypto market has entered a new era. Bitcoin hit new all-time highs, outperforming other cryptocurrencies and decoupling from the stock market. Unlike previous cycles, the expected “altcoin season” did not occur, with Bitcoin remaining strong and money not flowing into other cryptocurrencies or altcoins. So, the big question is: Has altcoin season run its course?

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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WELC ETF ger exponering mot företag inom sällanköpsvaror

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Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELC ETF) med ISIN IE00061J0RC6, strävar efter att spåra S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary-indexet spårar stora och medelstora företag från den diskretionära konsumentsektorn. ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning) beaktas vid valet av värdepapper.

Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELC ETF) med ISIN IE00061J0RC6, strävar efter att spåra S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary-indexet spårar stora och medelstora företag från den diskretionära konsumentsektorn. ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning) beaktas vid valet av värdepapper.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,18% p.a.. Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) är den billigaste ETF som följer S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) är en mycket liten ETF med 5 miljoner euro förvaltade tillgångar. Denna ETF lanserades den 20 september 2022 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål

AMUNDI S&P GLOBAL CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ESG UCITS ETF DR – EUR (D) försöker replikera, så nära som möjligt, resultatet för S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary Index (Netto Total Return Index). Denna ETF har exponering mot stora och medelstora företag i utvecklade länder. Den innehåller uteslutningskriterier för tobak, kontroversiella vapen, civila och militära handeldvapen, termiskt kol, olja och gas (inkl. Arctic Oil & Gas), oljesand, skiffergas. Den är också utformad för att välja ut och omvikta företag för att tillsammans förbättra hållbarhet och ESG-profiler, uppfylla miljömål och minska koldioxidavtrycket.

Handla WELC ETF

Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELC ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURWELC
XETRAUSDWEL2
XETRAEURWELC

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Denna fond använder fysisk replikering för att spåra indexets prestanda.

NamnValutaVikt %Sektor
AMAZON.COM INCUSD18.89 %Sällanköpsvaror
TESLA INCUSD13.29 %Sällanköpsvaror
HOME DEPOT INCUSD5.75 %Sällanköpsvaror
LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUIEUR5.44 %Sällanköpsvaror
TOYOTA MOTOR CORPJPY4.58 %Sällanköpsvaror
MCDONALD S CORP COM NPVUSD2.63 %Sällanköpsvaror
LOWE S COS INC COM US 0.50USD2.38 %Sällanköpsvaror
SONY GROUP CORP (JT)JPY2.25 %Sällanköpsvaror
BOOKING HOLDINGS INCUSD2.02 %Sällanköpsvaror
TJX COMPANIES INCUSD1.89 %Sällanköpsvaror

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Introduction to Celestia

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To understand Celestia’s value and its role in the ecosystem, it's helpful to first understand how traditional blockchain systems are structured.

To understand Celestia’s value and its role in the ecosystem, it’s helpful to first understand how traditional blockchain systems are structured.

Most blockchains, like Ethereum or Bitcoin, are monolithic which means they perform all major functions (consensus, data availability, and execution) on a single layer. This design ensures security but according to new modular networks, limits scalability and flexibility.

The modular blockchain thesis, which Celestia is leading, proposes separation of layers and respective responsibilities in the network. Instead of having one network and its validators perform all of its functions, it may be better to have specialized layers:

• Consensus Layer: Ensures that all nodes agree on the order of transactions.

Data Availability Layer: Ensures transaction data is accessible to all participants.

• Execution Layer: Processes the actual logic and computation of smart contracts.

By unbundling these components, developers can build more efficient, flexible systems that scale far beyond what monolithic blockchains can support. Not all applications need similar levels of security and not all applications need to scale up to millions of transactions. Additionally, one application might be scaling beyond the capabilities of its host network, severely effecting the available data throughput of other applications. This limits developers to the monolithic technology stack provided by a virtual machine such as Ethereum’ EVM.

The Issue of Data Availability

One of the most misunderstood yet crucial components of any blockchain is data availability. In simple terms, it ensures that the data behind each block is fully accessible and verifiable by all participants in the network. Another way to describe it is as the confidence a user can have that the data required to verify a block is really available to all network participants. Data availability is therefore important to all stakeholders of the blockchain ecosystem.

If a block producer withholds data, then nodes cannot verify the block, which leads to potential censorship or fraud.

Traditionally, a blockchain network can offer data availability with the following mechanisms:

• Full Replication: Every node stores the entire blockchain and verifies all data. Secure but not quite scalable.

• Sharding: Breaks the blockchain into smaller pieces (shards), spreading data across nodes. Scalable but highly complex to implement.

• Committee-Based Models: Small groups of nodes are trusted to verify data availability. Efficient, but less decentralized.

Celestia takes a completely different approach using a novel method called Data Availability Sampling (DAS). Instead of requiring every node to download all data, DAS allows lightweight nodes to randomly sample small chunks of a block. If enough pieces are retrievable, the node can confidently assume the full block is available. This slashes resource requirements while maintaining security and decentralization.

Why Data Availability Matters

Data availability might sound like a nerdy technical term, but it’s one of the most important yet one of less invisible parts of how blockchains work.

Let’s say you’re using a crypto app to trade tokens, store art, or move money. Every time you do something, that action (also referred to as a transaction) needs to be recorded and shared with the rest of the network so everyone agrees it happened. If that data disappears or can’t be verified, the whole system becomes untrustworthy. You might think your tokens moved but if no one else can see that record or a different version of that record, it’s as if it never happened.

Here’s a real-life parallel: imagine a public scoreboard at a sports game. If the scorekeeper shows the score to only a few people and then hides the board, how can the rest of the crowd trust the result? Everyone needs to see the score to believe it’s fair. In crypto, data availability is what makes sure the scoreboard is always visible to all participants at any time.

How DAS Changes the Game

Traditionally, ensuring data availability meant every node had to download and verify the entire block of data for any purpose related to particular data inside the block, like reading a whole newspaper just to check one article. Ethereum and most competing monolithic layer-1’s operate this way. It works, but it’s expensive, slow, and becomes less practical as blockchains scale in terms of data throughput required by its Dapps therefore limiting the types of applications that developers can build.

Celestia’s Data Availability Sampling (DAS) is a breakthrough that lets even simple devices (like smartphones) verify that a block’s data is available—by checking just a few random pieces. If enough pieces are found and correct, the network can be confident the full block is truly there and correct.

This innovation means:

• Light clients can safely participate in the network without downloading everything.

• Rollups and app-chains can post their data to Celestia with minimal overhead.

• Scalability skyrockets without sacrificing decentralization.

Celestia’s Role in Scaling Applications

Celestia is the first blockchain designed specifically to be a modular data availability layer. That means it doesn’t execute smart contracts or handle transactions directly, instead, it provides a foundation for others to build new networks, also referred to as rollups.

Developers can launch rollups or full execution environments, and use Celestia to handle the consensus and data availability side. This unlocks several key benefits:

• Massive scalability: Apps can scale independently from each other.

• Customization: Developers choose their own virtual machines, consensus mechanism and execution logic.

• Decentralization: Thanks to DAS, even small devices can validate the system.

This approach flips the script on how we think about launching and scaling blockchains. Instead of competing for space on a monolithic chain, apps get their own chains, backed by Celestia’s secure and scalable data availability layer while giving developers full stack control over their applications.

Celestia Enables Scalability and Offers Full-Stack Control

Using the restaurant example from Sui vs Aptos. Imagine a big, busy restaurant where the chefs, waiters, and cashiers all work in the same small kitchen. It gets crowded, orders take forever, and sometimes things go wrong while the backlog of orders keeps growing. That’s how traditional blockchains work, doing everything in one place.

Now imagine if the restaurant separated the jobs: the chefs cook in a big kitchen, waiters serve from a clean dining area, and the cashiers handle payments at the front desk. Everything runs smoother, faster, and the restaurant can grow in a environment that is less prone to congestion. That is what Celestia is doing for blockchains. Let’s say a small specialty restaurant opens up next door, leveraging Celestia’s register and order management system. That new restaurant can fully focus on delivering the best food and experience to customers, knowing that Celestia’s technology won’t be the limiting factor when scaling up their kitchen. The modularity that Celestia’s restaurant offers is allowing a lot of small scale restaurants to exist without the overhead of individual administrative work. It goes even a step further, Celestia allows you to just use it register while letting smaller restaurants pick their own kitchen (execution environment) and order management system (consensus layer).

In conclusion, Celestia is challenging the believe that blockchains should always be monolithic and blockchains need to offer the same technology stack to all developers on its chain. It is a significant leap forward in the crypto ecosystem and opens possibilities that were previously not feasible.

Diversify Crypto Exposure to Modular Blockchain Technology with the VanEck Celestia ETN

Key features of the VanEck Celestia ETN

• Celestia enables secure scaling of blockchain applications with modular technology.

• Fully-collateralized by TIA in cold-storage.

• Total return of TIA: Tracks the MarketVector™ Celestia VWAP Close Index (MVTIAV).

Why VanEck Crypto ETNs? Here’s why:

• With nearly 70 years in asset management and a strong track record in crypto, we bring deep industry knowledge and proven reliability.

• We combine traditional financial strengths with cutting-edge crypto innovation, backed by a CEO who truly believes in crypto’s future.

• We ensure clarity in our product structures and avoid high-risk or opaque practices, with assets fully backed by cryptocurrency in secure cold storage.

• Our assets are secured by a licensed European bank in Liechtenstein, providing top-tier compliance and security.

• We use the safest institutional custody setup available, prioritizing your security over cost savings.

Crypto is an asset class with high potential returns but investing in digital assets comes with great risk, why choose products that potentially introduce even more risks? Choose VanEck for a secure, transparent, and expertly managed crypto investment experience.

Main Risk Factors:

Investors should note that there is no direct ownership for the crypto assets, but a claim against Issuer to receive such assets.

• Complexity risk: The complexity of the project and its technological concepts make it challenging to assess its viability and valuation.

Adoption risk: Celestia introduces additional adoption risk as it is uncertain if the concept of modular blockchains will succeed.

Technology risk: Celestia introduces additional technology risk due to the technology being less mature and therefore could be more prone to bugs and exploits.

Regulatory Risk: market disruptions and governmental interventions may make digital assets illegal.

Risk of Losses and Volatility: The trading prices of many digital assets have experienced extreme volatility in recent periods and may continue to do so. There is a risk of total loss as no guarantee can be made regarding custody due to hacking risk, counterparty risk and market risk.

• Other risks specific to this ETN’s Digital Assets can also be found on the VanEck Crypto Academy.

This is not financial research but the opinion of the author of the article. We publish this information to inform and educate about recent market developments and technological updates, not to give any recommendation for certain products or projects. The selection of articles should therefore not be understood as financial advice or recommendation for any specific product and/or digital asset. We may occasionally include analysis of past market, network performance expectations and/or on-chain performance. Historical performance is not indicative for future returns.

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

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This information originates from VanEck (Europe) GmbH, Kreuznacher Strasse 30, 60486 Frankfurt am Main, Deutschland and VanEck Switzerland AG, Genferstrasse 21, 8002 Zurich, Switzerland.

It is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as investment, legal or tax advice. VanEck (Europe) GmbH and its associated and affiliated companies (together “VanEck”) assume no liability with regards to any investment, divestment or retention decision taken by the investor on the basis of this information. Views and opinions expressed are current as of the date of this information and are subject to change with market conditions. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward looking statements, which do not reflect actual results. VanEck makes no representation or warranty, express or implied regarding the advisability of investing in securities or digital assets generally or in the product mentioned in this information (the “Product”) or the ability of the underlying Index to track the performance of the relevant digital assets market.

Investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal up to the entire invested amount and the extreme volatility that ETNs experience. You must read the prospectus and KID before investing, in order to fully understand the potential risks and rewards associated with the decision to invest in the Product. The approved Prospectus is available at www.vaneck.com. Please note that the approval of the prospectus should not be understood as an endorsement of the Products offered or admitted to trading on a regulated market.

The underlying Index is the exclusive property of MarketVector GmbH, which has contracted with CC Data Limited to maintain and calculate the Index. CC Data Limited uses its best efforts to ensure that the Index is calculated correctly. Irrespective of its obligations towards the MarketVector GmbH, CC Data Limited has no obligation to point out errors in the Index to third parties.

Investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal up to the entire invested amount and the extreme volatility that ETNs experience. You must read the prospectus and KID before investing, in order to fully understand the potential risks and rewards associated with the decision to invest in the Product. The approved Prospectus is available at www.vaneck.com. Please note that the approval of the prospectus should not be understood as an endorsement of the Products offered or admitted to trading on a regulated market.

Performance quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results and which may be lower or higher than current performance.

Current performance may be lower or higher than average annual returns shown. Performance shows 12 month performance to the most recent Quarter end for each of the last 5yrs where available. E.g. ’1st year’ shows the most recent of these 12-month periods and ’2nd year’ shows the previous 12 month period and so on. Performance data is displayed in Base Currency terms, with net income reinvested, net of fees. Brokerage or transaction fees will apply. Investment return and the principal value of an investment will fluctuate. Notes may be worth more or less than their original cost when redeemed.

Index returns are not ETN returns and do not reflect any management fees or brokerage expenses. An index’s performance is not illustrative of the ETN’s performance. Investors cannot invest directly in the Index. Indices are not securities in which investments can be made.No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of VanEck.

© VanEck (Europe) GmbH / © VanEck Switzerland AG

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