While the market has greeted OPEC’s 90% compliance rate with its new quota with a lot of enthusiasm, we believe that rising US production will continue to weigh on oil prices and limit WTI oil to US$55/bbl in the first half of the year, US supply response to weigh on prices.
As oil prices have stabilised in the US$50-55/bbl region since December 2016, oil production in the US has surged. Rig counts in the US have risen 85% since the low was reached in May 2016. Gains in rig efficiency mean that the US can produce a lot more oil with less rigs in operation than in back in 2014.
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Production in the US is now only 7% below the peak reached in June 2015, after production surged since October 2016.
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US crude oil inventory is only 1% below its all-time high. The last time inventory was this high (September 2016), WTI was trading at US$45/bbl.
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With so much faith placed on the OPEC/non-OPEC deal to cut output, we fear that the market is set up for disappointment. Speculative positioning on NYMEXWTI futures contracts is more than 2.5 standards deviations above its historical average. Compliance with quotas often starts strong and deteriorates as time goes on. While Russia has cut oil production and therefore has complied with its deal with OPEC, it aims to increase exports, offloading existing stocks. With seasonal low demand in Saudi Arabia, we believe that exports from the country could also remain strong despite productions cuts that more than meet the quota requirement. In 2016 Saudi Arabia exported record levels of oil (7.65 million barrels per day).
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Nitesh Shah, Research Analyst at ETF Securities
Niteshis a Commodities Strategist at ETF Securities. Nitesh has 13 years of experience as an economist and strategist, covering a wide range of markets and asset classes. Prior to joining ETF Securities, Nitesh was an economist covering the European structured finance markets at Moody’s Investors Service and was a member of Moody’s global macroeconomics team. Before that he was an economist at the Pension Protection Fund and an equity strategist at Decision Economics. He started his career at HSBC Investment Bank. Nitesh holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics from the London School of Economics and a Master of Arts in International Economics and Finance from Brandeis University (USA).
Vissa företag har lyckats skapa en strategisk fördel gentemot sina konkurrenter. Metaforiskt kallas detta för breda vallgravar, vilket återspeglar dessa företags starkt befästa marknadsposition. Sådana konkurrensfördelar kan bero på ett varumärkes särprägel eller på en forsknings- och utvecklingsfördel baserad på patent. En vallgrav kan också vara resultatet av territoriell distribution eller produktionsrättigheter som ett företag kan göra anspråk på. En annan möjlighet är en stark position genom den utbredda användningen av företagets produkter bland kunderna, vilket gör det svårt för de senare att byta till andra leverantörer. Dessutom kan vissa företag producera sina varor mycket billigare än sina konkurrenter.
För att kunna utvärdera sådana konkurrensfördelar måste analytiker noggrant undersöka verksamheten, konkurrenssituationen och företagens strategiska tillvägagångssätt. Resultaten kan sedan användas för att skapa ett index som kan spåras med ETFer.
I den här investeringsguiden hittar du alla ETFer som fokuserar på företag med en bred vallgrav. Vi har identifierat sex index som spåras av sex olika börshandlade fonder. Den årliga förvaltningskostnaden ligger på mellan 0,39 och 0,52 procent per år.
Breda vallgravar ETFer i jämförelse
När man väljer en ETF med fokus på breda vallgravar bör man överväga flera andra faktorer utöver metodiken för det underliggande indexet och prestanda för en ETF. För bättre jämförelse hittar du en lista över alla breda vallgrav ETFer med detaljer om namn, kortnamn, förvaltningskostnad, utdelningspolicy, hemvist och replikeringsmetod. För ytterligare information om någon av de olika börshandlade fonderna klicka på kortnamnet i tabellen nedan.
Amundi S&P Global Information Technology ESG UCITSETF DR EUR (D) (WELL ETF) med ISIN IE000GEHNQU9, försöker följa S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Information Technology-index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Information Technology-indexet spårar stora och medelstora företag från IT-sektorn. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,18 % p.a. Amundi S&P Global Information Technology ESG UCITSETF DR EUR (D) är den billigaste ETF som följer S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Information Technology-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).
Amundi S&P Global Information Technology ESG UCITSETF DR EUR (D) är en liten ETF med tillgångar på 27 miljoner euro under förvaltning. ETF:n lanserades den 20 september 2022 och har sin hemvist i Irland.
Investeringsmål
AMUNDI S&P GLOBAL INFORMATIONSTEKNOLOGI ESG UCITSETF DR – EUR (D) strävar efter att replikera, så nära som möjligt, resultatet för S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Information Technology Index (Netto Total Return Index). Denna ETF har exponering mot stora och medelstora företag i utvecklade länder. Den innehåller uteslutningskriterier för tobak, kontroversiella vapen, civila och militära handeldvapen, termiskt kol, olja och gas (inkl. Arctic Oil & Gas), oljesand, skiffergas. Den är också utformad för att välja ut och omväga företag för att tillsammans förbättra hållbarhet och ESG-profiler, uppfylla miljömål och minska koldioxidavtrycket
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.
In a world where financial value is traditionally tied to cash flows, utility, or cutting-edge technology, Dogecoin stands as a bold exception.
Launched in 2013 as a lighthearted experiment, Dogecoin began as a meme, a Shiba Inu with a quirky caption. But over time, it has grown into something far greater: a symbol of internet-native value. What started as a playful jab at the seriousness of finance has become a global phenomenon, proving that in the digital age, emotion, culture, and community can be just as powerful as a balance sheet.
DOGE is an emotion
Dogecoin isn’t your typical crypto asset. It doesn’t boast a groundbreaking protocol or a meticulously engineered roadmap. Instead, it thrives on something more intangible yet undeniably potent: relevance.
Memes are the internet’s lifeblood, serving as carriers of humor, identity, and connection. Dogecoin took this ephemeral currency of the web and turned it into a lasting asset, not by chasing trends but by embedding itself in the fabric of online culture. While most memecoins have flared up and faded away, Dogecoin has endured, evolving into digital folklore that resonates worldwide.
At the core of this phenomenon is Dogecoin’s community: vibrant, irreverent, global, and fiercely loyal—a self-sustaining digital tribe that truly matters in a decentralized world.
Dogecoin’s power is in its people
This community creates attention, which brings liquidity; builds a sense of belonging, which drives retention; and inspires advocacy, which fuels growth. In a world where attention is scarce and sentiment shapes capital flows, this grassroots network isn’t just a feature—it’s the engine.
DOGE’s value lies in its ability to rally people around a shared, lighthearted ethos, turning a meme into a movement that challenges us to rethink what ”value” means in a hyper-connected world.
With that said, let’s meet Dogecoin, the original memecoin that’s rewriting the rules.
Doge is becoming more mainstream
With a jaw-dropping return of over 130,000%, or 127% annualized over the last decade, Dogecoin stands as the best-performing top 25 cryptocurrency of the past 10 years and has rapidly grown into a $30 billion asset embraced by millions.
Fueled by fast, low-cost transactions, a vibrant grassroots community, and growing mainstream acceptance, including from Tesla, AMC, and Newegg, Dogecoin continues to reinforce its retail appeal and real-world utility.
After reaching its all-time high in May 2021, Dogecoin’s network has continued to grow. The total number of wallet addresses has nearly doubled from 44 million to over 84 million in less than four years, showcasing Dogecoin’s rapid adoption and growing mainstream recognition.
With millions of holders worldwide, Dogecoin’s ascent as the original memecoin has cemented its place as both a cultural icon and a widely used entry point into crypto. Its approachable, community-led ethos has onboarded countless first-time investors into the digital asset space.
Now, with the launch of traditional financial products, Dogecoin enters a new chapter, available through a regulated, institutionally-backed investment vehicle offering secure, transparent access to a more traditional generation of investors as they get acquainted with the oldest dog on the blockchain.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.