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Oil Falls as OPEC Disappoints

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Oil Falls as OPEC Disappoints

Oil Falls as OPEC Disappoints

ETFSW201448

OPEC resisted calls to cut production last week, disappointing investors who had positioned for a tightening of oil supply. Brent oil fell more than 8% in response. OPEC countries, which produce approx. 40% of global oil output, refrained cutting because non-members like Russia and Mexico made it clear that they will not reciprocate and hence OPEC countries will simply lose market share. Last week’s inaction increases the need for a large cut at the June 2015 OPEC meeting. Although the Swiss population rejected the proposal for their central bank to hold 20% of its assets in gold, support for metal will likely come from India. In a surprise move, the Indian government loosened the restrictions on gold imports, which will likely increase physical gold demand as local premiums fall

Oil ETPs inflows surged in anticipation of production cuts. Last week we saw US$12.4mn and US$13.3mn of flows into long Brent and long WTI oil ETPs respectively. Flows into Brent were the highest since August while flows into WTI were the highest in four weeks. Although OPEC resisted calls to cut production last week, we believe the cartel will eventually have to reduce supply to help stabilise global oil prices. The cartel jointly produces approximately 40% of global oil output. While the US is gaining an increasing share of global output (by displacing oil imports through its own production) and Russia remains a formidable player, we believe it is too early to write off OPEC as an irrelevant cartel when it comes to setting global prices. We believe that last week’s inaction increases the need for a large cut at the June 2015 OPEC meeting. Many OPEC countries need oil prices above US$100/bbl to balance government budgets. While these countries can run budget deficits, the appetite to do so will wear thin as the cost of financing starts to increase. We believe that OPEC countries will reunite to work in their common interest instead of engaging in a price war. Indeed the price of oil right now is too low for many of the shale and tight oil operations in the US to remain profitable and will curtail the rapid expansion of US oil production until prices stabilise at a higher level. We believe some investors will view today’s oil price as an attractive entry point in anticipation of tightening supplies in 2015 and will accumulate long positions in oil ETPs. Other investors may pare their holdings in response to yesterday’s inaction if they have a shorter investment horizon.

Investors favour palladium over platinum. Palladium ETPs received US$33.6mn of inflows last week, marking a 3-week high, while platinum ETPs saw outflows of US$10.4mn, marking a nine-week low. Both demand and supply drivers support palladium over platinum. Brisker car sales growth in the US and China compared to Europe supports more greater palladium use over platinum. Palladium supply is also more constrained, given historic reliance on Russian State stockpile sales, which we believe have dwindled close to zero.

ETFS Nickel (NICK) sees highest inflows since May on supply concerns. US$14.9mn flowed into NICK last week. Some investors fear that the Philippines could follow Indonesia’s lead in banning raw ore exports. China had become highly reliant on the Philippines for high grade laterites imports for its nickel-pig-iron (NPI) production. If the Philippines also ban exports of the ore, Chinese production of NPI could suffer and raise demand for closely related nickel in 2015.

Key events to watch this week. Next week will be dominated by central bank decisions with the Bank of Canada, Bank of England and European Central Bank having their respective policy meetings. While no changes in policy setting are expected, guidance for the future will be closely watched. We will finish the week with US non-farm payrolls. Any strong growth in jobs could be construed as a cue for the Federal Reserve of the US to raise interest rates in H1 2015, which would be gold price negative.

Video Presentation

Nitesh Shah, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.

Important Information

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

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Solana: A Blockchain Built to Blossom

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Solana has emerged as one of the top-performing blockchains in recent years, outperforming both Bitcoin and Ethereum with its unmatched speed and low costs. In this report, we dive into what sets Solana apart, including its role in powering next-gen payments, hosting decentralized physical infrastructure, and AI agents.

Solana has emerged as one of the top-performing blockchains in recent years, outperforming both Bitcoin and Ethereum with its unmatched speed and low costs. In this report, we dive into what sets Solana apart, including its role in powering next-gen payments, hosting decentralized physical infrastructure, and AI agents.

Investment case for Solana

• Cross-border payments: Solana is one of the fastest blockchains, having drawn big names like Visa and Stripe to integrate its infrastructure. Whether moving $1 or $100 million, transaction fees remain negligible, making Solana the go-to blockchain for payments and everyday use.

• Rapid adoption across industries: Solana is helping power the next wave of AI-driven tools and peer-to-peer networks, supporting decentralized infrastructure like wireless systems and sensors.

• User-friendly experience: Solana offers an app-like experience that makes crypto easy to use. Features like Solana Blinks enable social media transactions, while Saga and Sleeker phones bring blockchain to users’ fingertips.

The builder’s blockchain: Solana is emerging as the top blockchain for innovative tech, with an 83% growth in developers in 2024, fueling innovation in AI and decentralized infrastructure industries that rely on fast, low-cost networks for real-time interactions.

Inside the Report:

• Solana vs. Ethereum, Sui & TON: Technical and market comparisons

• Sector deep-dives: DePIN, AI agents, DeFi, and memecoins

• Valuation framework: Is Solana undervalued?

• Portfolio impact: How Solana diversifies traditional asset exposure

Solana is not just another blockchain – it’s becoming the backbone of real-world crypto adoption, from payments to infrastructure to AI.

Best regards,

21Shares Team

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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FJAN ETF ger exponering mot S&P500 med ett skydd på nedsidan

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First Trust Vest U.S. Equity Buffer UCITS ETF - January Class A Accumulation (FJAN ETF) med ISIN IE000MDKBOB3, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond.

First Trust Vest U.S. Equity Buffer UCITS ETF – January Class A Accumulation (FJAN ETF) med ISIN IE000MDKBOB3, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond.

ETFen följer S&P 500:s utveckling och använder FLEX-optioner i ett försök att skydda investerare mot de första 10 % av förlusterna varje år. Buffertstrategin har nackdelen att eventuella värdevinster är begränsade.

Denna ETFs totala kostnadskvot (TER) uppgår till 0,85 % per år. Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

Denna ETF lanserades den 17 januari 2025 och har sitt säte i Irland.

Investeringsmål

Investeringsmålet för FT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF – January (”Fonden”) är att sträva efter att ge investerare avkastning (före avgifter och kostnader) som matchar prisavkastningen för SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (”Underliggande ETF”), upp till ett förutbestämt uppsidestak på 14,16 %, samtidigt som en buffert (före avgifter och kostnader) tillhandahålls mot de första 10 % av förlusterna i den underliggande ETF:n, under perioden från 21 januari 2025 till 16 januari 2026.

Handla FJAN ETF

First Trust Vest U.S. Equity Buffer UCITS ETF – January Class A Accumulation (FJAN ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och London Stock Exchange.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURFJAN
London Stock ExchangeGBXJANF
London Stock ExchangeUSDFJAN
XETRAEURFJAN

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Nya ETFer från iShares på Xetra och Börse Frankfurt

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iShares S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF följer utvecklingen för de 500 största börsnoterade företagen i USA, där varje företag ges lika stor vikt i kvartalsöversikten. Andelsklassen är valutasäkrad mot den amerikanska dollarn.

iShares S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF följer utvecklingen för de 500 största börsnoterade företagen i USA, där varje företag ges lika stor vikt i kvartalsöversikten. Andelsklassen är valutasäkrad mot den amerikanska dollarn.

iShares Dow Jones Global Titans 50 UCITS ETF investerar i de 50 största multinationella företagen. Dessa väljs ut baserat på kriterier som börsvärde (på fritt flytande basis), intäkter och nettoresultat.

NamnISINAvgiftUtdelnings-
policy
iShares S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF EUR Hedged (Acc)IE000DVLBQ03
EFRW (EUR)
0,17%Ackumulerande
iShares Dow Jones Global Titans 50 UCITS ETF (DE) EUR (Acc)DE000A2QP4C4
EXIF (EUR)
0,51%Ackumulerande

Produktutbudet inom Deutsche Börses ETF- och ETP-segment omfattar för närvarande totalt 2 424 ETFer, 200 ETCer och 257 ETNer. Med detta urval och en genomsnittlig månatlig handelsvolym på cirka 23 miljarder euro är Xetra den ledande handelsplatsen för ETFer och ETPer i Europa.

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