Global ETP sector again records high net inflows in October; Strong month for ETFs on European Equity indices in particular; Inflows for Bond ETFs grew significantly in October; ETFs on the Japanese equity market as well as emerging markets recorded slight inflows; Gold and Crude Oil ETPs popular in October.
Europe Monthly ETF Market Review; Deutsche Bank Markets Research Global ETP sector again records high net inflows in October
Data as at: 30.10.2015
Global ETP Market In and Outflows:
• The global ETP sector continued to grow during October. After net inflows totaling US dollar 34.2 billion in September, the October figure was US dollar 34.1 billion. The industry now manages US Dollar 2.9 trillion (p. 1, 22). • The American ETP market in particular was a key driver of global growth. Following net inflows of virtually US dollar 20 billion in September, inflows in October increased to US dollar 28 billion. Once again ETFs on Equity indices made the largest contribution delivering inflows of US dollar 15.8 billion. However, Bond ETFs also made a positive contribution with over US dollar 11 billion. After Commodities ETPs suffered outflows of 0.4 billion in September, the October figure saw inflows of US dollar 0.5 billion. Since the beginning of the year, US ETP inflows total in excess of US dollar 172 billion (p. 3, 22). • The European ETP market also generated significant inflows. In October it grew by US dollar 7.1 billion following 2 billion US dollar growth the previous month. Indeed, Commodities ETPs successfully turned the corner with growth of US dollar 0.4 billion. • Conversely, the Asian market recorded net outflows of US dollar 1 billion, after achieving net inflows during September in excess of US dollar 12.2. Both Bond ETPs and Equity ETPs suffered a decline in the Asian market (p. 22).
European ETF Market In and Outflows Equities:
• Net inflows recorded by the European ETF market during October increased substantially in comparison to September. During the past month, new money of Euro 6.1 billion was invested in ETFs, compared to the previous month’s figure of Euro 1.9 billion. The European ETF industry currently manages a total of Euro 447 billion (p. 12, 22). • In October European Equity ETFs generated net inflows of Euro 2.5 billion which equates to 40 per cent of all European ETF inflows. The previous month’s net inflows figure for Equity ETFs was substantially lower at Euro 1.6 billion. Continuing the trend, in October most money was directed to developed markets. ETFs from industrialized countries recorded growth of Euro 1.3 billion, while Emerging Markets ETFs achieved Euro 0.8 billion. This signals a turnaround as Emerging Markets had still been suffering outflows during September (p. 22). • ETFs on the Japanese equity market once again recorded net inflows in excess of Euro 0.7 billion during October, in comparison to the previous month when Japan ETFs suffered outflows of Euro 0.1 billion (p. 22). • For ETFs on individual emerging markets, China ETFs recorded slight inflows, while ETFs on the Taiwanese and Russian markets registered slight outflows (p. 26). • At a sector level, Energy was again one of the sectors attracting the highest growth with a plus of Euro 0.12 billion. In addition Consumer Goods ETFs recorded net inflows of Euro 0.1 billion. Strategy ETFs suffered significant outflows of Euro 0.4 billion which included short and leveraged products (p. 23).
Bonds
• October was also a month of significant inflows for Bond ETFs. This segment continued the positive trend from recent months by adding Euro 3.5 billion. As such, Bond ETFs contributed more than one half of the positive cash flow in the European ETF market during October (p. 1, 22). • ETFs on Investment Grade Bonds attracted the highest inflows with an increase of Euro 2.9 billion. Consequently, total net inflows since the beginning of this year stand at Euro 20 billion. High Income Bonds also recorded positive inflows in October of Euro 0.7 billion bucking the net outflow trend over previous months (p. 1).
Commodities
• In October, European Commodities ETPs again recorded net inflows of almost Euro 0.4 billion, after outflows in September of Euro 0.26 billion. The winners mainly included ETPs on Crude Oil (Euro +0.19 billion) as well as Gold (Euro +0.14 billion) (p. 26).
Most Popular Indices
• The most popular equity indices in October remained the Euro STOXX 50, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, the STOXX 600 as well as the DAX. TheS&P 500 and the MSCI Europe were also in demand (p. 27). • For Bonds, investors focused particularly on ETFs on Sovereign Bonds issued by Emerging Markets as well as Euro High-Income Bonds (p. 27).
iShares Global Infrastructure UCITSETF GBP Hedged (Acc) (INGH ETF) med ISIN IE000TCZMZM8, försöker följa FTSE Global Core Infrastructure (GBP Hedged)-index. FTSE Global Core Infrastructure (GBP Hedged)-index spårar de största globala infrastrukturaktierna. Valutasäkrad till brittiska pund (GBP).
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,70 % p.a. iShares Global Infrastructure UCITSETF GBP Hedged (Acc) är den enda ETF som följer FTSE Global Core Infrastructure (GBP Hedged)-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETF:n ackumuleras och återinvesteras.
iShares Global Infrastructure UCITSETF GBP Hedged (Acc) är en liten ETF med tillgångar på 23 miljoner GBP under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 28 oktober 2024 och har sin hemvist i Irland.
Varför INGH?
Exponering mot de största och mest likvida infrastrukturföretagen över hela världen
Tillgång till infrastrukturföretag från både tillväxtmarknader och utvecklade marknader
Fonden strävar efter att följa resultatet för ett index som består av internationella infrastrukturföretag från både utvecklade länder och tillväxtländer.
Indexleverantören har beslutat att avveckla Macquarie Global Infrastructure 100-index från och med den 22 maj 2017, och som ett resultat av detta har fonden beslutat att ersätta detta index med FTSE Global Core Infrastructure Index. Förändringen kommer att återspeglas i benchmarkdata.
SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITSETF (SPFT ETF) med ISIN IE00BYTRRD19, strävar efter att spåra MSCI World Information Technology-index. MSCI World Information Technology-index spårar informationsteknologisektorn på de utvecklade marknaderna över hela världen (GICS-sektorklassificering).
ETFENs TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,30 % p.a. SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITSETF är den billigaste ETF som följer MSCI World Information Technology index. ETF:n replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFEn ackumuleras och återinvesteras i ETFEn.
SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITSETFär en stor ETF med tillgångar på 709 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 29 april 2016 och har sin hemvist i Irland.
Fondens mål
Fondens investeringsmål är att följa resultatet för företag inom tekniksektorn, över utvecklade marknader globalt.
Indexbeskrivning
MSCI World Information Technology 35/20 Capped Index mäter utvecklingen för globala aktier som klassificeras som fallande inom tekniksektorn, enligt Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS).
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.
Dogecoin has outperformed other major cryptoassets over the past decade, while also exhibiting a low correlation to crypto and traditional assets. This creates a compelling argument for a portfolio allocation. We tested a Bitcoin-enhanced growth portfolio, which is a traditional 60/40 infused with 3% Bitcoin, and we introduced a modest 1% DOGE allocation. Since most prospective investors likely already hold Bitcoin, this offers a lens into how the two assets can complement each other.
Despite the small portfolio allocation, every approach delivered stronger returns. The benchmark returned 7.25% annually, while DOGE-enhanced portfolios reached as high as 8.95%. Sharpe ratios improved in almost all tests, indicating better risk-adjusted returns. Volatility did slightly tick up, but drawdowns remained largely contained. Even with no rebalancing, the max drawdown only deepened by a few percentage points, underscoring that even a 1% DOGE allocation adds meaningful punch without destabilizing the broader portfolio.
Rebalancing remains essential to capturing upside effectively. Without it, returns can plateau while risk quietly compounds. Monthly or weekly rebalancing offered the best balance, maximizing returns while keeping volatility and drawdowns in check, especially during periods of broader market stress, as we’ve recently seen. Given Dogecoin’s momentum-driven nature, a more strategic approach linked to broader crypto market cycles may offer even greater optimization beyond routine rebalancing.
With the right structure, a 1% allocation to Dogecoin isn’t reckless—it’s rewarding.
Bear Case
Despite strong fundamentals and a rich cultural legacy, Dogecoin’s recent rally, fueled by post-election memecoin mania, may have front-run its true cycle potential. As attention shifts to newer narratives, DOGE risks being seen as ’yesterday’s play,’ potentially underperforming even in a rising market. Still, that wouldn’t signal a flaw in its model, just a pause in a fast-rotating cycle.
Assuming a continued 10% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) from its 2021 peak of $0.73, DOGE would be projected to land around $0.38 by 2025—still more than 2x from today’s levels but modest relative to past cycles. More notably, this would mark the first time Dogecoin fails to reach a new all-time high in a full market cycle.
Neutral Case
Dogecoin may not dominate headlines like it did at its peak, but it still holds cultural relevance and widespread recognition. In a scenario where the total crypto market cap peaks at $5 trillion this cycle and DOGE maintains a solid, albeit slightly reduced, market share of 3% instead of its previous 4%, this would result in a market capitalization of approximately $150 billion for DOGE.
At that valuation, DOGE would trade near $1 per coin, a ~5.5x gain from current levels around $0.185. This neutral case assumes Dogecoin retains its stature as the leading memecoin, despite increased competition, with stable adoption and renewed retail interest, but without the same euphoria of the last cycle.
Bull Case
If we take DOGE’s bottom price of $0.007 just before the last bull run began and fast-forward two years to the bottom of the current cycle at $0.0585, that move reflects a CAGR of 189%. If DOGE were to mirror this explosive growth, DOGE would reach approximately $1.42.
In this scenario, Dogecoin benefits from renewed memecoin mania, increasing real-world adoption, and stronger interest fueled by regulatory clarity and potential integration with major platforms like Elon Musk’s X. A full return of retail enthusiasm and broad cultural momentum could reestablish DOGE as the breakout asset of the cycle, potentially even doubling its all-time high.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.