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BNB’s 2025 Roadmap: Why This Sleeper Crypto is Surging

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BNB isn’t just another token—it’s the fuel powering Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, and BNB Chain, a high-speed blockchain driving DeFi, AI, and next-gen applications.

BNB isn’t just another token—it’s the fuel powering Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, and BNB Chain, a high-speed blockchain driving DeFi, AI, and next-gen applications.

Initially launched in 2017 as an ERC-20 token on Ethereum, BNB has since migrated to its own blockchain, evolving into a hybrid exchange and utility token with diverse applications. Further, the BNB chain was amongst the earliest networks that offered a scalable alternative to Ethereum, on top of being the first EVM-compatible network, developers could migrate their existing applications from Ethereum without heavily changing the codebase. As a result, BNB is one of the most battle-tested networks in the crypto landscape, having successfully withstood multiple stress-test scenarios.

Impressively, while much of the year’s attention has been on the big three—Bitcoin, Solana, and Ethereum—BNB has quietly flown under the radar. Yet, it has outperformed all three, surging by approximately 90% over the past year.

Figure 1: 1-Year Performance of Major Cryptoassets

Source: 21Shares, Coingecko

So, why are we talking about BNB now?

For one, centralized exchange (CEX) tokens ranked second among the fastest-growing sectors last year, surging 370% in value. This growth trailed only tokenization-related assets, which skyrocketed by around 700% during the same timeframe, as depicted below.

Figure 2: Sector Performance in Last Year

Source: 21Shares, Artemis

The reason they stood out is that they have proved their product-market fit. These tokens remain structurally dependent on centralized exchanges that function as primary liquidity gateways for retail traders, particularly during periods of high market activity. Their value accrual operates through a dual mechanism: direct exposure to exchange revenue growth combined with mandatory utility functions, including transaction cost reductions, ecosystem interoperability requirements, and participation in yield-bearing initiatives controlled by platform operators. This symbiotic relationship between token and platform creates a potent network effect.

In addition, BNB just revealed its 2025 technical roadmap, which promises to significantly increase the competitiveness of the network by focusing on scalability, security, and AI integration:

  1. Sub-Second Transaction Speeds

• BNB Chain will reduce block time from 3 seconds to sub-second latency while maintaining capacity for 100M daily transactions.

Impact: Upgrade eliminates frustrating network delays, making blockchain interactions feel nearly instantaneous – critical for high-frequency applications like DeFi & AI.

  1. Gasless Transactions

• ”Megafuel system” is a system that previously allowed users to pay gas fees with stablecoins. This is now expanded to other BEP-20 tokens (BNB-based tokens) instead of just BNB and stables.

• Organizations can also sponsor gas fees for specific transactions, which is a similar feature to what newer networks like SUI offer.

Impact: This removes a major barrier for new users unfamiliar with crypto gas mechanics and enables novel business models like ”freemium” dApps.

  1. Anti-MEV Protection

• New safeguards target sandwich attacks and other malicious Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) strategies.

• Validators and wallets will collaborate to hide transaction details until blocks are finalized, preventing front-running, while transaction details could be encrypted to prevent bots from exploiting pending transactions.

• Validators facilitating MEV abuse face slashing and expulsion via governance votes, while users will be Incentivized with reporting systems to flag bad actors.

Impact: This creates a fairer trading environment, particularly crucial for retail investors.

  1. Smart Wallet Integration

• EIP-7702 compatible wallets introduce batch transactions and simplified key management. Users can execute multi-step operations (like DEX trades) in one click instead of multiple approvals.

Future plans include AI-powered wallet assistants to optimize spending, cross-chain swaps, and portfolio management.

Impact: Simplify on-chain interactions and create a more user-intuitive experience

  1. AI-First Infrastructure – with key initiatives including:

• Code Copilot: AI-assisted coding/debugging for smart contracts

• DataDAOs: Monetize private datasets for AI training via decentralized governance

• Trusted Execution Environment (TEEs): Secure environments for autonomous AI agents handling financial decisions

Impact: These tools lower development barriers while enabling sophisticated AI dApps in healthcare, gaming, and DeFi.

  1. Memecoin Ecosystem Support

• BNB Chain commits to infrastructure for meme coins like simplified launch platforms and liquidity tools.

Impact: While controversial, this recognizes memes’ role in driving retail adoption and network activity, which can be realized below in the case of Trump’s token launch.

What sets BNB apart?

  1. Streamlined Development and a Diverse Ecosystem

The BNB ecosystem unifies development across its three core chains with shared tooling, eliminating external dependencies while consolidating typically fragmented blockchain use cases across multiple networks:

• BNB Smart Chain: Supports diverse dApps as a general-purpose network.

• opBNB: Processes 100M+ daily transactions via low-cost Optimistic rollups, optimized for DeFi/gaming.

• BNB GreenField: Integrates decentralized storage with DeFi/NFTs via programmable data ownership, driving a 350% surge in stored data this year through AI and data economy applications.

Figure 3: BNB GreenField Data Stored

Source: 21Shares, GreenFieldScan

This vertically integrated design enables developers to address diverse needs – scalability, privacy, and cost – without bridging to external ecosystems.

  1. Unmatched Integration with Binance’s Global Infrastructure

The BNB ecosystem leverages Binance’s position as the world’s largest crypto exchange to create a seamless, interconnected experience:

• Direct Exchange-to-Blockchain Onboarding: Binance’s Web3 Wallet simplifies onboarding for millions of users, enabling one-click access to BNB Chain DeFi, NFTs, and dApps without leaving the exchange interface.

• Token Utility Synergy: BNB’s role spans fee discounts, staking rewards, Launchpad participation, and gas fees on all three networks (BNB Chain, OpBNB & GreenField), creating circular demand tied directly to Binance’s services.

  1. Corporate Muscle

In 2023, Binance earned nearly $15B, with 2024 profits expected to grow amid record crypto activity. Despite spinning off, Binance Labs remains invested in the BNB ecosystem, backing key projects like THENA, a major DEX with dual AMMs and full revenue sharing, which plans to merge with Venus, the chain’s largest lending protocol. Binance Labs also fosters innovation through the MVB Accelerator program, supporting 131 startups in 2024 across DeFi, NFTs, AI-driven Web3, and infrastructure and helping BNB to stand out from other networks where the foundation doesn’t have a VC arm that invests directly in the ecosystem.

  1. Safety Features

Beyond the 2025 MEV-focused upgrades, BNB Chain enhances user protection through:

• Built-in MEV Protection: Wallets like Trust Wallet, Binance Web3 Wallet, and OKX Wallet automatically shield transactions from sandwich attacks and predatory bots.

• Free Private RPCs: Users of wallets like MetaMask can use private RPCs (e.g., PancakeSwap, Merkle BSC) to keep transactions hidden from the public mempool.

  1. Deflationary Supply

BNB is amongst the few networks with a truly deflationary policy. To be able to execute this strategy, the network employs two different apparatuses:

Quarterly Burns

• Burns tokens based on BNB’s price and network activity

• Removed 58M BNB total so far

• Became truly deflationary after 2022 (23M net reduction)

• Continues until supply drops below 100M, currently at 146M

Real-Time Burns

• Destroys part of every transaction fee automatically

• Burned 252K BNB ($166M value) to date

With a capped supply and a 5.2% deflation rate in 2024 (depicted below), BNB’s scarcity-driven approach sets it apart in a market dominated by inflationary tokens.

Figure 4: BNB Chain Annual Inflation Rates

Source: 21Shares, TokenTerminal

Real-time Burn: Via the BEP-95 improvement proposal, BNB burns a portion of gas fees collected by validators from each block on the BNB Chain. This has burnt close to 252K BNB, since its inauguration, currently worth around $166M.

As a result, BNB’s deflationary monetary policy ranks among the strongest in crypto, combining a 5.2% 2024 deflation rate with a capped max supply—a stark contrast to assets reliant on uncapped emissions. This deliberate scarcity framework positions it uniquely in a market dominated by inflationary tokens.

  1. Leader in Embracing AI

As outlined in the BNB 2025 technical roadmap, the network aims to introduce features designed to enhance its competitiveness and strengthen its position as a leader in next-generation blockchain infrastructure. At the core of this vision is an AI-first architecture that natively integrates advanced tools for debugging smart contracts and enabling private data monetization without dependence on third-party services. This strategic shift positions BNB as the premier platform for scalable AI applications, bridging the divide between speculative AI concepts and practical, user-focused innovation.

What are BNB’s Challenges and Risks?

Centralization Risks: Operates with only 45 active validators vs. thousands in networks like Ethereum.

Competitive Pressures

AI Complexity Risks: The ”AI-first” roadmap introduces untested risks, including AI-generated smart contracts that may exacerbate vulnerabilities. In 2024 alone, 35K high-risk contracts were flagged on the BNB Chain, and AI tools could worsen this trend.

Market Dependency: BNB’s performance is highly reliant on favorable market conditions and Binance’s legal standing. Regulatory or operational issues with Binance could severely impact BNB’s prospects.

Binance Reliance: BNB’s success is tightly tied to Binance’s reputation and operations, creating a single point of failure that could deter investors amid security or regulatory challenges.

To sum up, here is our outlook for the BNB Chain, taking into account potential outcomes for the bull and bear scenarios:

What’s happening this week?

If you have any questions or want to discuss a product in detail, please visit our website at www.21shares.com or contact us.

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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SPFT ETF är en global satsning på teknikföretag

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SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITS ETF (SPFT ETF) med ISIN IE00BYTRRD19, strävar efter att spåra MSCI World Information Technology-index. MSCI World Information Technology-index spårar informationsteknologisektorn på de utvecklade marknaderna över hela världen (GICS-sektorklassificering).

SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITS ETF (SPFT ETF) med ISIN IE00BYTRRD19, strävar efter att spåra MSCI World Information Technology-index. MSCI World Information Technology-index spårar informationsteknologisektorn på de utvecklade marknaderna över hela världen (GICS-sektorklassificering).

ETFENs TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,30 % p.a. SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITS ETF är den billigaste ETF som följer MSCI World Information Technology index. ETF:n replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFEn ackumuleras och återinvesteras i ETFEn.

SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITS ETF är en stor ETF med tillgångar på 709 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 29 april 2016 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Fondens mål

Fondens investeringsmål är att följa resultatet för företag inom tekniksektorn, över utvecklade marknader globalt.

Indexbeskrivning

MSCI World Information Technology 35/20 Capped Index mäter utvecklingen för globala aktier som klassificeras som fallande inom tekniksektorn, enligt Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS).

Handla SPFT ETF

SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITS ETF (SPFT ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och London Stock Exchange.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURSS47
Bolsa Mexicana de ValoresMXNWTECN
Borsa ItalianaEURWTEC
Euronext AmsterdamEURWTCH
London Stock ExchangeUSDWTEC
London Stock ExchangeGBPTECW
SIX Swiss ExchangeUSDWTEC
XETRAEURSPFT

Största innehav

VärdepapperVikt %
Apple Inc.18,34%
Microsoft Corporation18,34%
NVIDIA Corporation18,09%
Broadcom Inc.4,29%
ASML Holding NV2,39%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.1,50%
Adobe Inc.1,44%
Salesforce Inc.1,44%
Oracle Corporation1,33%
QUALCOMM Incorporated1,28%

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Dogecoin in a portfolio: A small 1% allocation has a loud bark!

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Dogecoin has outperformed other major cryptoassets over the past decade, while also exhibiting a low correlation to crypto and traditional assets. This creates a compelling argument for a portfolio allocation. We tested a Bitcoin-enhanced growth portfolio, which is a traditional 60/40 infused with 3% Bitcoin, and we introduced a modest 1% DOGE allocation. Since most prospective investors likely already hold Bitcoin, this offers a lens into how the two assets can complement each other.

Dogecoin has outperformed other major cryptoassets over the past decade, while also exhibiting a low correlation to crypto and traditional assets. This creates a compelling argument for a portfolio allocation. We tested a Bitcoin-enhanced growth portfolio, which is a traditional 60/40 infused with 3% Bitcoin, and we introduced a modest 1% DOGE allocation. Since most prospective investors likely already hold Bitcoin, this offers a lens into how the two assets can complement each other.

Despite the small portfolio allocation, every approach delivered stronger returns. The benchmark returned 7.25% annually, while DOGE-enhanced portfolios reached as high as 8.95%. Sharpe ratios improved in almost all tests, indicating better risk-adjusted returns. Volatility did slightly tick up, but drawdowns remained largely contained. Even with no rebalancing, the max drawdown only deepened by a few percentage points, underscoring that even a 1% DOGE allocation adds meaningful punch without destabilizing the broader portfolio.

Rebalancing remains essential to capturing upside effectively. Without it, returns can plateau while risk quietly compounds. Monthly or weekly rebalancing offered the best balance, maximizing returns while keeping volatility and drawdowns in check, especially during periods of broader market stress, as we’ve recently seen. Given Dogecoin’s momentum-driven nature, a more strategic approach linked to broader crypto market cycles may offer even greater optimization beyond routine rebalancing.

With the right structure, a 1% allocation to Dogecoin isn’t reckless—it’s rewarding.

Bear Case

Despite strong fundamentals and a rich cultural legacy, Dogecoin’s recent rally, fueled by post-election memecoin mania, may have front-run its true cycle potential. As attention shifts to newer narratives, DOGE risks being seen as ’yesterday’s play,’ potentially underperforming even in a rising market. Still, that wouldn’t signal a flaw in its model, just a pause in a fast-rotating cycle.

Assuming a continued 10% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) from its 2021 peak of $0.73, DOGE would be projected to land around $0.38 by 2025—still more than 2x from today’s levels but modest relative to past cycles. More notably, this would mark the first time Dogecoin fails to reach a new all-time high in a full market cycle.

Neutral Case

Dogecoin may not dominate headlines like it did at its peak, but it still holds cultural relevance and widespread recognition. In a scenario where the total crypto market cap peaks at $5 trillion this cycle and DOGE maintains a solid, albeit slightly reduced, market share of 3% instead of its previous 4%, this would result in a market capitalization of approximately $150 billion for DOGE.

At that valuation, DOGE would trade near $1 per coin, a ~5.5x gain from current levels around $0.185. This neutral case assumes Dogecoin retains its stature as the leading memecoin, despite increased competition, with stable adoption and renewed retail interest, but without the same euphoria of the last cycle.

Bull Case

If we take DOGE’s bottom price of $0.007 just before the last bull run began and fast-forward two years to the bottom of the current cycle at $0.0585, that move reflects a CAGR of 189%. If DOGE were to mirror this explosive growth, DOGE would reach approximately $1.42.

In this scenario, Dogecoin benefits from renewed memecoin mania, increasing real-world adoption, and stronger interest fueled by regulatory clarity and potential integration with major platforms like Elon Musk’s X. A full return of retail enthusiasm and broad cultural momentum could reestablish DOGE as the breakout asset of the cycle, potentially even doubling its all-time high.

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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VBTC ETN spårar priset på kryptovalutan Bitcoin

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VanEck Bitcoin ETN (VBTC ETN) med ISIN DE000A28M8D0, spårar värdet på kryptovalutan Bitcoin. Den börshandlade produktens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 1,00 % p.a. Denna ETN replikerar resultatet av det underliggande indexet med en skuldförbindelse med säkerheter som backas upp av fysiska innehav av kryptovalutan.

VanEck Bitcoin ETN (VBTC ETN) med ISIN DE000A28M8D0, spårar värdet på kryptovalutan Bitcoin. Den börshandlade produktens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 1,00 % p.a. Denna ETN replikerar resultatet av det underliggande indexet med en skuldförbindelse med säkerheter som backas upp av fysiska innehav av kryptovalutan.

VanEck Bitcoin ETN är en stor ETN med 568 miljoner euro tillgångar under förvaltning. Denna ETN lanserades den 19 november 2020 och har sin hemvist i Liechtenstein.

Produktbeskrivning

Kombinera spänningen med bitcoin med enkelheten och säkerheten hos traditionell finans. Bitcoin är den äldsta kryptovalutan, med det största börsvärdet. Det ses ofta som digitalt guld, ett digitalt värdelager i en tid av osäkerhet. VanEck Bitcoin ETN är en fullständigt säkerställd börshandlad sedel som investerar i bitcoin.

  • 100 % uppbackad av bitcoin (BTC)
  • Förvaras hos en reglerad kryptodepå, med kryptoförsäkring (upp till ett begränsat belopp)
  • Kan handlas som en ETF på reglerade börser (om än inom ett annat segment)

Huvudriskfaktorer

Volatilitetsrisk: Handelspriserna för många digitala tillgångar har upplevt extrem volatilitet under de senaste perioderna och kan mycket väl fortsätta att göra det. Digitala tillgångar har bara introducerats under det senaste decenniet och klarhet i regelverket är fortfarande svårfångad i många jurisdiktioner.

Valutarisk, teknikrisk, juridiska och regulatoriska risker. Du kan förlora pengar genom att investera i fonderna. Värdet på investeringarna kan gå upp eller ner och investeraren kanske inte får tillbaka det investerade beloppet.

Underliggande index

MarketVector Bitcoin VWAP Close Index (MVBTCV Index).

Handla VBTC ETN

VanEck Bitcoin ETN (VBTC ETN) är en europeisk börshandlad kryptovaluta. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och Euronext Amsterdam.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETP genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
Euronext AmsterdamUSDVBTC
Euronext ParisEURVBTC
XETRAEURVBTC
gettexEURVBTC
SIX Swiss ExchangeCHFVBTC

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