Despite macroeconomic challenges in 2024, crypto and financial markets saw opportunities and hurdles. A landmark event was the U.S. approval of Bitcoin Spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the most successful ETF launch in history a few months before the Halving event. Yet, summer selloffs driven by major liquidations and geopolitical tensions tempered market enthusiasm. More recently, macro conditions have improved with easing inflation and central banks worldwide cutting interest rates, giving a lift to assets like Bitcoin and pricing in the highly anticipated pro-crypto regulatory environment brewing for 2025.
While no one can predict the future with absolute certainty, we’ve developed 12 key predictions to outline our market outlook for 2025 – here are three of them, and you can read more in our full report just released yesterday!
1) Another nation-state will adopt Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset The investor sentiment is evident in the chart below, displaying the accumulation of long-term Bitcoin holders, with assets unmoved for at least 155 days, hedging against monetary debasement and market turmoil. In 2025, we expect countries like Argentina to adopt Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. Argentina aims for a zero-debt budget by 2025; therefore, a crypto-forward agenda and President Milei’s collaboration with El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele may signal broader Bitcoin adoption.
2) Ethereum’s revenue renaissance will begin in 2025, as its scalability solutions invite more demand for blob space: a storage area on Ethereum for large data chunks called “blobs,” helping Layer 2 (L2) solutions process transactions faster and cheaper by reducing the main blockchain’s workload. We explect L2s to drive the next wave of Ethereum’s adoption, funneling fees back to Ethereum’s mainnet and fueling its growth. Adjustments like raising BLOB fees and revenue-sharing agreements with L2s could further strengthen Ethereum’s economic sustainability.
3) Revenue-sharing will completely change the investment case for DeFi. The chart below highlights the trading volume trends of leading decentralized exchanges (DEXs), showing consistent activity in DeFi despite market volatility. Uniswap dominates the space, with occasional spikes likely tied to market events. The narrative emphasizes DeFi’s resilience and the potential for significant changes in 2025. Uniswap’s Unichain initiative could redefine its token utility, signaling a broader shift in DeFi towards fee-sharing mechanisms and enhanced token economics, particularly under a favorable regulatory regime.
As the year winds down and the holiday season begins, there’s no better time to dive into the transformative trends shaping blockchain’s future.
From Bitcoin’s bustling ecosystem of scalability solutions to the rise of protocols directly competing with existing infrastructure networks, the shifts in adoption and technology are impossible to ignore.
Grab a cup of cocoa, settle into a cozy spot, and explore our full report to uncover what’s next for DeFi, Layer 1 networks, and beyond. Let’s shape the conversation heading into 2025—happy reading!
If you have any questions or want to discuss a product in detail, please visit our website at www.21shares.com or contact us.
This document is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for securities of 21Shares AG in any jurisdiction. Neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any offer or commitment whatsoever or for any other purpose in any jurisdiction. Nothing in this document should be considered investment advice.
This document and the information contained herein are not for distribution in or into (directly or indirectly) the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan or any other jurisdiction in which the distribution or release would be unlawful. This document does not constitute an offer of securities for sale in or into the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan. The securities of 21Shares AG to which these materials relate have not been and will not be registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act. There will not be a public offering of securities in the United States. Neither the US Securities and Exchange Commission nor any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States has approved or disapproved of an investment in the securities or passed on the accuracy or adequacy of the contents of this presentation. Any representation to the contrary is a criminal offence in the United States.
Within the United Kingdom, this document is only being distributed to and is only directed at: (i) to investment professionals falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the “Order”); or (ii) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”); or (iii) persons who fall within Article 43(2) of the Order, including existing members and creditors of the Company or (iv) any other persons to whom this document can be lawfully distributed in circumstances where section 21(1) of the FSMA does not apply. The securities are only available to, and any invitation, offer or agreement to subscribe, purchase or otherwise acquire such securities will be engaged in only with, relevant persons. Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents.
Exclusively for potential investors in any EEA Member State that has implemented the Prospectus Regulation (EU) 2017/1129 the Issuer’s Base Prospectus (EU) is made available on the Issuer’s website under www.21Shares.com.
The approval of the Issuer’s Base Prospectus (EU) should not be understood as an endorsement by the SFSA of the securities offered or admitted to trading on a regulated market. Eligible potential investors should read the Issuer’s Base Prospectus (EU) and the relevant Final Terms before making an investment decision in order to understand the potential risks associated with the decision to invest in the securities. You are about to purchase a product that is not simple and may be difficult to understand.
This document constitutes advertisement within the meaning of the Prospectus Regulation (EU) 2017/1129 and the Swiss Financial Services Act (the “FinSA”) and not a prospectus. The 2023 Base Prospectus of 21Shares AG has been deposited pursuant to article 54(2) FinSA with SIX Exchange Regulation AG in its function as Swiss prospectus review body within the meaning of article 52 FinSA. The 2023 Base Prospectus and the key information document for any products may be obtained at 21Shares AG’s website (https://21shares.com/ir/prospectus or https://21shares.com/ir/kids).