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Strong price performance drives gold rush
Commodity ETP Weekly – Strong price performance drives gold rush
Highlights
- Gold inflows surge to highest level since August 2015 as the metal remains one of the best performing assets year-to-date.
- Oil inflows continue for the eighth consecutive week as investor’s position for continued recovery.
- Inflows into broad commodity baskets rose to a five week high as negative sentiment towards the beleaguered asset class begins to thaw.
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Gold ETP inflows of US$108.5mn last week were the highest since August 2015. Gold has been one of the best performing assets this year and is up 9.1% year-to-date, compared to S&P 500 (-6.3%) and Bloomberg Commodity Index (-3.2%). Volatile cyclical asset performance has driven investors toward the defensive asset, while a weakening US dollar has been supportive for gold’s performance in dollar terms. Although investor fears about weaker real economic data maybe somewhat misplaced, the headlines of weak durable goods orders and below-expectation payroll figures could add to US dollar negativity. We believe there will be a brief period in which US dollar will appreciate again as investors realize the their reading of economic data and market volatility does not tally with the Fed’s view that the labour market is tightening and price pressures are mounting. However, once the market and Fed thinking are once again aligned, US dollar will depreciate again (following a familiar historic pattern of selling-off when rate increases crystalise).
Long oil ETPs received US$37.9mn, marking the eighth consecutive week of inflows. Furthermore short oil ETPs saw US$10.2mn of outflows. Brent oil gained 1.7% as investors remained optimistic that Venezuela would be able to convince Saudi Arabia to help reduce production at their meeting yesterday. However, there has been very little sign that the meeting has yielded any results and we expect Brent to decline in the very short-term and return to trading at a discount to WTI. WTI, being a more US-focused benchmark, lacked the same tail-wind as Brent last week and fell 4.5% last week. Over the course of this year we, expect global oil to be in a supply deficit as non- OPEC oil production is cut while demand continues to rise, which will provide an upward catalyst to prices.
Inflows into diversified commodity baskets hit a 4 week high. After a rocky start to the year for cyclical assets, most industrial metals and a broad range of agricultural commodities posted a gain in the past week. That is an encouraging sign that markets are looking past the weakness in some economic indicators that were too heavily influenced by weather and other idiosyncratic factors. However, with the Chinese New Year starting and the associated lack of data published during this period, we could see some more volatility in industrial metal prices as speculation of Chinese weakness cannot be quelled by facts. Inflows across diversified commodity baskets amounted to US$21.7mn last week.
Profit-taking saw US$12.4mn flow out of aluminium ETPs. Aluminium prices bounced 1.1% last week and are up 4.6% in the past month. The recent price moves gave some investors an opportunity to take profit.
Key events to watch this week. Janet Yellen, will testify to Congress, providing investors some insight into the Fed Chair’s thoughts on the state of the US economy
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Like Bitcoin, Dogecoin uses a proof-of-work (PoW) consensus mechanism but runs on its own blockchain, originally forked from Litecoin. It uses the Scrypt hashing algorithm, which is less resource-intensive than Bitcoin’s SHA-256, making mining more accessible to everyday users with consumer-grade hardware. Due to merged mining with Litecoin, Dogecoin benefits from shared infrastructure, with hashpower recently reaching all-time highs of 2.7 petahashes (quadrillion hashes) per second, making the network increasingly difficult to attack.
Dogecoin’s design is built for speed and utility, has no maximum supply, and confirms blocks every minute (10x faster than Bitcoin). Moreover, it maintains ultra-low transaction fees, which is ideal for tipping, microtransactions, and everyday use.
More than a meme
Although its supply is technically unlimited, Dogecoin’s issuance model is clear and predictable. Approximately 10,000 DOGE are mined every minute, adding up to around 5.25 billion new tokens each year. As the supply base expands, this fixed issuance creates a natural disinflationary trend that has cut nearly in half over the past decade while ensuring network security through consistent miner rewards.
Dogecoin’s technology fosters an aligned ecosystem between users and miners. With sustainable economic incentives, it acts as a kind of “retail Bitcoin”, built not just for hoarding but for real-world use, too.
While Dogecoin began as a lighthearted experiment, its evolution has proven it to be far more than a meme. Thanks to its speed, low fees, and strong community backing, Dogecoin has grown into a functional digital currency with a range of real-world use cases. From payments and merchant adoption to infrastructure development and charitable giving, Dogecoin continues to demonstrate its staying power as a practical and accessible tool in the broader crypto ecosystem.
Dogecoin as a payment tool
Dogecoin has transformed into a widely accepted digital currency, embraced by major brands like Tesla, AMC, Newegg, and the Dallas Mavericks. With fast transaction speeds and low fees, even amid surging transaction volumes, it has become a practical option for everyday payments. Crypto payment processors like BitPay have further expanded its reach, enabling thousands of merchants worldwide to accept DOGE. Most recently, The Open House Group, a prominent Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed real estate firm, added Dogecoin to its supported list, making it one of the few digital assets accepted for property transactions.
Enhancing Dogecoin’s payment infrastructure
Initiatives like Dogebox and GigaWallet are simplifying DOGE integration for businesses, while its scaling solution, Laika, is making meaningful progress in improving transaction speed and reducing costs.
Meanwhile, RadioDoge is working to expand access by enabling offline transactions in remote regions through low-cost radio and Starlink technology, advancing global crypto inclusion. A rumored integration with Elon Musk’s X platform could extend Dogecoin’s utility across digital tipping and commerce. These efforts collectively reinforce Dogecoin’s growing relevance in real-world payments and its potential as a frictionless, decentralized transaction layer.
Do Only Good Every Day
As we’ve seen, community drives memecoins, and Dogecoin’s community shines the brightest. This global network not only thrives on memes but also channels that energy into social good. From funding clean water in Kenya to sending Jamaica’s Bobsled Team to the Olympics and raising over $1 million for Ukraine relief, DOGE’s community transforms internet culture into real-world impact. Low fees and fast transactions make it a favorite for grassroots giving, showing a coin born as a joke can leave a lasting legacy. Dogecoin is more than a digital asset—it’s a movement powered by a community that believes in doing good every day.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
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