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Special Report on the FTX Debacle
It was one of the most shocking weeks in crypto history. On November 2, CoinDesk leaked Alameda’s balance sheet, showing that $5.2 billion of the trading firm’s $14.6 billion of assets (36%) were held in FTT, a token issued by the now-bankrupt FTX crypto exchange.
In light of these revelations, Binance chose to sell a portion of FTT on its books, which spooked investors and prompted a bank run on FTX. By November 8, FTX had halted withdrawals, and the price of FTT had dropped more than 85% since the CoinDesk report came out. After failing to raise capital, on November 11, more than 130 entities tied to FTX.com, FTX US, and Alameda Research filed for bankruptcy, with the Alameda petition listing assets and liabilities of at least $10 billion each.
As of Monday’s close, Bitcoin and Ethereum are down by 19.42% and 20.85% week-over-week, respectively. In addition, among the top cryptoassets within the major categories, the most hurt is Solana, which declined by 52.82% over the same period. In this report, we will walk you through the events of the FTX debacle and what to expect in the coming weeks and months.
Figure 1: Weekly TVL and Price Performance of Major Crypto Categories
Source: Messari (Close Price) and DeFi Llama, Data as of November 14, 2022
Key takeaways
• More than $1.5 billion in liquidations between November 6-11.
• Ether’s net issuance since the Merge has turned negative.
• FTX US, FTX.com, and Alameda filed for bankruptcy with a multi-billion dollar hole in their balance sheets.
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• Binance among a number of crypto exchanges to provide proof-of-reserves.
Spot and Derivatives Markets
Figure 2: Total liquidations (longs and shorts) over the past three months
Source: Coinglass, Data as of November 13, 2022
If we look at the derivatives market, between November 6 and 11, we saw more than $1.5 billion of liquidations (primarily longs) as BTC’s price breached below $16,000 for the first time since November 2020. This event constituted the most significant long liquidations in recent months (see Figure 2), indicating that many investors were positioned to the upside amidst the FTX debacle.
On-chain Indicators
Figure 3: BTC percent supply in profit
Source: Glassnode, Data as of November 13, 2022
Figure 3 highlights the percentage of the current BTC circulating supply in profit. This metric represents an oscillator that allows us to understand the current state of the market better. Historically, values above 95% have coincided with market tops, while values below 50% have preceded past cycles’ bottoms. On November 9, the BTC percent supply in profit reached 45.93%, the lowest level since March 2020.
Next Week’s Calendar
Read our full report on the FTX debacle here
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
- Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
- Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
- What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has amassed a staggering $43 billion in Bitcoin, positioning itself at the forefront of the corporate “reserve race.” Under the leadership of Bitcoin maximalist Michael Saylor, the company now boasts an $84 billion market cap. But with such an aggressive strategy, how sustainable is its approach—and what risks lie ahead? We break it down in today’s analysis.
Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
A drop below $72,000 could flush longs, while a breakout above $90,000 may squeeze shorts. One key positive indicator is that Bitcoin continues to print higher lows since March 10, which preserves a bullish market structure in our view. Dive into our technical analysis.
What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Imagine owning a slice of a skyscraper or a piece of fine art with just a few clicks. Tokenization, the act of converting ownership rights to real-world assets (RWAs) into tradable tokens, has surpassed $10 billion in on-chain value, unlocking global 24/7 access to once-exclusive markets with liquidity, efficiency, and yield. Find out how it works.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
Since President Trump appointed Mark Uyeda as acting SEC chair two months ago, many investigations into crypto businesses have been dropped, as the SEC moves away from regulation by enforcement and works to create a framework for digital assets. As regulations become clearer and news flow turns more positive, crypto prices—which dropped sharply this week—should begin to better reflect the new regulatory landscape in the US.
We believe this regulatory shift could ultimately help trigger the next leg of the current bull run, as investors better understand the significance of regulatory clarity and seek to acquire bitcoin and altcoins at what we believe are currently very favorable levels.
Market Highlights
SEC Dismisses Crypto Enforcement Actions
The SEC dropped its enforcement actions against crypto-related companies Kraken, Consensys, and Cumberland DRW.
This indicates a shift in SEC’s regulatory approach, favoring clearer guidelines over enforcement actions. Such a pivot could foster a more predictable environment, encouraging innovation within the sector.
Banks to Engage in Crypto Activities
The FDIC has rescinded previous guidelines which prevented financial institutions from engaging with crypto activities without prior sign-off.
By removing bureaucratic hurdles, banks may more readily offer crypto-related services, potentially leading to broader adoption and integration of digital assets.
Bitcoin ETFs Inflow Streak Surpassed $1 Billion
US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded a 10-day inflow streak exceeding $1 billion marking the longest such streak in 2025.
This underscores growing institutional and retail investor confidence in Bitcoin as an asset class that helps increase market stability and possibly paving the way for the approval of other crypto-based financial products.
Market Metrics
All NCITM constituents had negative performance last week, with XRP (-10.8%) and UNI (-10.7%) seeing the steepest declines. ETH also experienced a sharp drop (-9.1%), contributing to NCITM’s underperformance relative to BTC (-2.9%). The NCITM -4.2% decline reflects a broader risk-off sentiment in the crypto market, as investors reassess their positions amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
NCITM (-4.2%) extended its underperformance last week, deepening year-to-date losses. Traditional indices like the S&P 500 (-1.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (-2.4%) saw smaller declines. The gap between crypto and other risk assets continues to widen, while gold has emerged as the top performer in 2025, gaining nearly 20% amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. This trend highlights a growing risk-off sentiment, with investors shifting toward defensive assets and away from high-volatility investments.
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