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Profit taking in precious metals but contrarian inflows into cocoa and oil

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Weekly Flows Analysis Profit taking in precious metals but contrarian inflows into cocoa and oil Profit taking on precious metals after last week’s strong

ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – Profit taking in precious metals but contrarian inflows into cocoa and oil

  • Profit taking on precious metals after last week’s strong rally.
  • Opportunistic inflows into crude oil ETPs as oil prices corrected last week.
  • 8th straight week into cocoa ETPs as spot prices hit a 4-year low USD shorts are building.

Profit taking in precious metals. With gold almost reaching our target price for the year (US$1,300/oz by mid-year), we saw outflows of US$-30 mn from gold ETPs. The escalation of tensions in Syria, North Korea as well as uncertainty of the outcome of the French elections have driven inflows in previous weeks. Year-to-date, we have seen more than US$600mn into our gold ETPs, with almost US$80mn in the last month. Gold prices could continue to see support as the market probability for further Federal Reserve (Fed) action in June has fallen below 50% and inflation expectations / bond yields continue to fall.

USD shorts are building. Following recent disappointment in both US soft data (such as manufacturing PMIs) and hard data (CPI inflation), as well as the lack of any forecast upgrades from the latest Fed meeting, we have seen inflows into short USD ETPs of US$16mn over the last one month.

Crude ETPs receive inflows as oil prices fell on disappointing US inventory data. U.S. oil prices fell nearly -4% last Wednesday to US$50.28 per barrel as US inventories declined less than expected. On the back of this we saw US$14mn inflows into crude oil ETPs. We continue to see oil range bound: expectations that OPEC could announce another production cut at their 25th May meeting could provide support, however, the continued backlog of crude in the US is likely to exert downward pressure.

Continued selling of European equities and buying of EUR. Similar to last week’s flows, we saw buying of long EUR ETPs (US$ 5mn) despite the French elections over the weekend. In the equity space, we also saw buying of FTSE100 ETPs (US$ 5 inflows) as UK equities corrected last week following the announcement of a snap General election in June.

8th straight week of inflows into cocoa ETPs: US$60mn inflows YTD Cocoa hit a fresh 4-year low in both London and New York last week. The rise in the UK currency on the general election announcement last week contributed to the selling as cocoa traded in London is priced in sterling. Worries about supplies in the Ivory Coast, the leading producer, also weighed on prices. Cocoa’s 42 percent slump over the last 12 months makes it one of the worst performing commodities this year, however, investor sentiment may be getting less bearish as speculative net short positions on CFTC exchange have fallen.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the ”FCA”).

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WEL8 ETF är en satsning på globala finansföretag

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Amundi S&P Global Financials ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WEL8 ETF) med ISIN IE000ENYES77, försöker följa S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Financials-index. S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Financials-index spårar stora och medelstora företag från finanssektorn. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Amundi S&P Global Financials ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WEL8 ETF) med ISIN IE000ENYES77, försöker följa S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Financials-index. S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Financials-index spårar stora och medelstora företag från finanssektorn. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,18 % p.a. Amundi S&P Global Financials ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) är den billigaste ETF som följer S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Financials index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

Amundi S&P Global Financials ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) är en mycket liten ETF med tillgångar på 2 miljoner euro under förvaltning. ETFen lanserades den 20 september 2022 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål

AMUNDI S&P GLOBAL FINANCIALS ESG UCITS ETF DR – EUR (D) försöker replikera, så nära som möjligt, resultatet av S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Financials Index (Netto Total return index). Denna ETF har exponering mot stora och medelstora företag i utvecklade länder. Den innehåller uteslutningskriterier för tobak, kontroversiella vapen, civila och militära handeldvapen, termiskt kol, olja och gas (inkl. Arctic Oil & Gas), oljesand, skiffergas. Den är också utformad för att välja ut och omvikta företag för att tillsammans förbättra hållbarhet och ESG-profiler, uppfylla miljömål och minska koldioxidavtrycket.

Handla WEL8 ETF

Amundi S&P Global Financials ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WEL8 ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURWELY
XETRAUSDWEL8
XETRAEURWELY

Största innehav

Denna fond använder fysisk replikering för att spåra indexets prestanda.

NamnValutaVikt %Sektor
JPMORGAN CHASE & COUSD6.31 %Finans
VISA INC-CLASS A SHARESUSD5.15 %Finans
MASTERCARD INC-CL AUSD4.41 %Finans
BANK OF AMERICA CORPUSD3.18 %Finans
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIAAUD1.86 %Finans
S&P GLOBAL INCUSD1.85 %Finans
HSBC HLDGING PLC GBPGBP1.82 %Finans
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA CADCAD1.78 %Finans
MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUPJPY1.61 %Finans
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCUSD1.57 %Finans

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Tariffs spark turmoil: BTC holds its ground

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President Trump announced a highly aggressive tariff package—one with broad macroeconomic implications—and global markets reacted sharply. In this environment of heightened volatility, we urge investors to maintain perspective, just as they should when prices are volatile to the upside (e.g., last year’s post-election rally).

President Trump announced a highly aggressive tariff package—one with broad macroeconomic implications—and global markets reacted sharply. In this environment of heightened volatility, we urge investors to maintain perspective, just as they should when prices are volatile to the upside (e.g., last year’s post-election rally).

Notably, since the election, bitcoin and the Nasdaq Crypto Index have outperformed gold, the S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100. Even in the wake of the tariffs, only gold has outpaced bitcoin and the NCI—highlighting the relative strength of digital assets amid global market declines.

Market Highlights

Stablecoin legislation advances in US

The House Financial Services Committee voted to advance a monumental bill to regulate stablecoins, the STABLE Act, following the Senate Banking Committee approval of similar legislation earlier this year.

President Trump has said he wants stablecoin legislation approved by Congress before its August recess, reinforcing the new administration’s focus on establishing clear crypto regulation.

Tokenized fund sets dividend benchmark

BlackRock’s BUIDL paid an estimated $4.17 million in monthly dividends during March.

This highlights the potential of crypto to create attractive investment instruments, such as tokenized funds, which stood out this month paying massive dividends and setting a new benchmark for the class.

SEC chair orders review of crypto guidance

Acting SEC Chair Mark T. Uyeda ordered a review of past staff guidance on crypto, including risk warnings and interpretations of the Howey test.

This move, like others before, signals a broader shift toward a more open regulatory approach, potentially strengthening the presence of bitcoin and other digital assets in the US in the near future.

Market Metrics

The NCITM constituents had another negative week, with only XRP (-7.0%) and BTC (-3.8%) avoiding double-digit losses. The overall NCITM decline of -5.2% was cushioned by BTC’s relative resilience, as it performed better as a store-of-value asset. However, the drop still reflects a broader risk-off sentiment across all markets, driven by Trump’s tariff policies and growing macroeconomic uncertainties that are prompting investors to reassess their positions.

This week, the NCITM fell -5.3%, narrowing the gap with traditional indices such as the Nasdaq 100 (-9.8%) and S&P 500 (-9.1%) which experienced sharper losses following Trump’s tariff announcements. BTC (-3.8%) performed similarly to gold (-3.3%), though gold remains the top-performing asset class year-to-date. The week reinforced the risk-off sentiment, with investors broadly retreating from risk assets. Still, it also highlighted crypto’s growing relevance, as the most volatile asset class managed to outperform traditional markets in a stressed environment.

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JMES ETF en aktivt förvaltad fond från JPMorgan

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JPMorgan Global Emerging Markets Research Enhanced Index Equity SRI Paris Aligned Active UCITS ETF USD (acc) (JMES ETF) med ISIN IE000ANHU3J3, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond.

JPMorgan Global Emerging Markets Research Enhanced Index Equity SRI Paris Aligned Active UCITS ETF USD (acc) (JMES ETF) med ISIN IE000ANHU3J3, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond.

JP Morgan Global Emerging Markets Research Enhanced Index Equity SRI Paris Aligned Active Strategy investerar i företag från tillväxtmarknader. ETF strävar efter att generera en högre avkastning än MSCI Emerging Markets SRI EU PAB Overlay ESG Custom-index. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning). Dessutom beaktas EUs direktiv om klimatskydd.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,30 % p.a. Utdelningarna i ETF:n ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

JPMorgan Global Emerging Markets Research Enhanced Index Equity SRI Paris Aligned Active UCITS ETF USD (acc) är en mycket liten ETF med tillgångar på 2 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 5 mars 2025 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål

Delfondens mål är att uppnå en långsiktig avkastning som överstiger MSCI Emerging Markets SRI EU PAB Overlay ESG Custom Index* (”riktmärket”) genom att aktivt investera i huvudsak i en portfölj av tillväxtmarknadsföretag, samtidigt som målen i Parisavtalet är i linje.

Handla JMES ETF

JPMorgan Global Emerging Markets Research Enhanced Index Equity SRI Paris Aligned Active UCITS ETF USD (acc) (JMES ETF)

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURJMES
Borsa ItalianaEURJSEM
London Stock ExchangeGBXJSME
London Stock ExchangeUSDJSEM
SIX Swiss ExchangeUSDJSEM
XETRAEURJMES

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