Nyheter
Monthly crypto market update and performance attribution of Hashdex Crypto-Index ETPs
Please find below our monthly crypto market update and performance attribution for our Crypto-Index ETPs for June 2024.
You’ll also find a commentary from our research analysts on Bitcoin’s current short-term price action, suggesting a potential entry point on the asset class. Our optimistic mid-term perspectives for this market remain unchanged (see my email from end of June).
Our flagship ETP on the Nasdaq Crypto Index (HASH or HDX1) recently surpassed $100 million in AUM. To support further growth, and since we are optimistic on its potential performance, we are waiving the TER fee until it reaches $1 billion in AUM.
Hashdex Crypto Index ETPs: performances (USD) as of end of June 2024
• Beta Index ETP – Nasdaq Crypto Index ETP (HASH or HDX1): June -9%, YTD +36%, 12m +99%.
• Smart-Beta Index ETP – Crypto Momentum Index ETP (HAMO or HDXM): June -10%, YTD -1%, 12m +76%.
Market Update
June was a challenging month for crypto assets, with the Nasdaq Crypto Index (NCI) declining by 9.3%. However, in the past 12 months, the NCI has achieved significant growth, up 99%, with eight positive and four negative months. Despite the recent downturn, several short-term catalysts suggest a potential inflection point in the crypto market, driven by rising ETF demand and increasing institutional interest.
• Altseason on the Horizon: As discussed in Samir Kerbage’s latest CIO Notes, we are approaching a phase where altcoins are expected to outperform, coinciding with potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and the US elections.
• Macroeconomic Tailwinds: Increased global liquidity and anticipated Fed rate cuts by Q4 provide a favorable backdrop for risk assets, including crypto.
• US Election Impact: The upcoming US election is likely to create a more favorable regulatory environment for crypto, with both major parties adjusting their stances to attract crypto-supportive voters.
• Institutional Interest: The recent progress in crypto ETFs marks a pivotal moment, opening doors to significant institutional capital inflows. Our decision to waive fees for the Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index ETP (HASH) reflects our confidence in the growing demand.
• Cyclical Timing: Historical data shows that buying crypto assets in the current phase of the cycle (60-90 days post-Bitcoin halving) often results in substantial upside and minimizes downside risk.
Nasdaq Crypto Index (NCI) relative to other asset class in June 24
Source: Hashdex, as of 30/06/24.
June was quite positive for traditional risk assets. Driven mainly by the performance of technology sector companies, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices appreciated by 3.6% and 6.3%, respectively. Crypto assets, decoupled and posted negative returns.
June’s Performance attribution
Nasdaq Crypto Index (NCI): Negative performance was widespread among the NCI’s constituent assets, notably -10.6% (Bitcoin), -21% (Chainlink), and -21.2% (Avalanche).
Source: Hashdex, as of 30/06/24.
Crypto Momentum Factor Index
Source: Hashdex, as of 30/06/24.
Correlation (3m) to traditional asset classes
Source: Hashdex
Research commentary on recent price action of Bitcoin
Is it 2023 all over again?
• While Bitcoin’s price action since early March might seem uneventful and disappointing, this consolidation phase is not unusual. Looking back to 2023, after Bitcoin entered the $26,000 to $30,400 range, it remained there for about 224 days (7 and 1/2 months) before finally breaking out into the $40,000s.
• Currently, following the significant upward movement due to the success of spot ETFs in the US, bitcoin’s weekly closes have remained between $61,500 and $71,250 for around 112 days (almost 4 months).
• If the pattern from 2023 repeats, the next upward move for Bitcoin might still be a few months away, possibly beginning between late September and early October of this year.
• Although past performance is not a guarantee of future results, this comparison suggests that the current ”boring” period is maybe just ”business as usual,” and that a significant upswing may be on the cards for the last quarter of 2024.
Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index Europe ETP – documentation
ISIN: CH1184151731 / Tickers: HASH (SIX and Euronext) or HDX1 (Xetra) – tradable in USD, EUR, CHF and GBP
Hashdex Crypto Momentum Factor ETP – documentation
ISIN: CH1218734544 / Tickers: HAMO (SIX and Euronext) or HDXM (Xetra) – tradable in USD, EUR, CHF and GBP
- Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
- Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
- What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has amassed a staggering $43 billion in Bitcoin, positioning itself at the forefront of the corporate “reserve race.” Under the leadership of Bitcoin maximalist Michael Saylor, the company now boasts an $84 billion market cap. But with such an aggressive strategy, how sustainable is its approach—and what risks lie ahead? We break it down in today’s analysis.
Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
A drop below $72,000 could flush longs, while a breakout above $90,000 may squeeze shorts. One key positive indicator is that Bitcoin continues to print higher lows since March 10, which preserves a bullish market structure in our view. Dive into our technical analysis.
What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Imagine owning a slice of a skyscraper or a piece of fine art with just a few clicks. Tokenization, the act of converting ownership rights to real-world assets (RWAs) into tradable tokens, has surpassed $10 billion in on-chain value, unlocking global 24/7 access to once-exclusive markets with liquidity, efficiency, and yield. Find out how it works.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
Since President Trump appointed Mark Uyeda as acting SEC chair two months ago, many investigations into crypto businesses have been dropped, as the SEC moves away from regulation by enforcement and works to create a framework for digital assets. As regulations become clearer and news flow turns more positive, crypto prices—which dropped sharply this week—should begin to better reflect the new regulatory landscape in the US.
We believe this regulatory shift could ultimately help trigger the next leg of the current bull run, as investors better understand the significance of regulatory clarity and seek to acquire bitcoin and altcoins at what we believe are currently very favorable levels.
Market Highlights
SEC Dismisses Crypto Enforcement Actions
The SEC dropped its enforcement actions against crypto-related companies Kraken, Consensys, and Cumberland DRW.
This indicates a shift in SEC’s regulatory approach, favoring clearer guidelines over enforcement actions. Such a pivot could foster a more predictable environment, encouraging innovation within the sector.
Banks to Engage in Crypto Activities
The FDIC has rescinded previous guidelines which prevented financial institutions from engaging with crypto activities without prior sign-off.
By removing bureaucratic hurdles, banks may more readily offer crypto-related services, potentially leading to broader adoption and integration of digital assets.
Bitcoin ETFs Inflow Streak Surpassed $1 Billion
US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded a 10-day inflow streak exceeding $1 billion marking the longest such streak in 2025.
This underscores growing institutional and retail investor confidence in Bitcoin as an asset class that helps increase market stability and possibly paving the way for the approval of other crypto-based financial products.
Market Metrics
All NCITM constituents had negative performance last week, with XRP (-10.8%) and UNI (-10.7%) seeing the steepest declines. ETH also experienced a sharp drop (-9.1%), contributing to NCITM’s underperformance relative to BTC (-2.9%). The NCITM -4.2% decline reflects a broader risk-off sentiment in the crypto market, as investors reassess their positions amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
NCITM (-4.2%) extended its underperformance last week, deepening year-to-date losses. Traditional indices like the S&P 500 (-1.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (-2.4%) saw smaller declines. The gap between crypto and other risk assets continues to widen, while gold has emerged as the top performer in 2025, gaining nearly 20% amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. This trend highlights a growing risk-off sentiment, with investors shifting toward defensive assets and away from high-volatility investments.
Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
BSE0 ETF köper bara företagsobligationer med förfall 2030
US regulatory shift provides a beacon for optimism
BCFP ETF en ackumulerande fond som investerar i Nasdaq-100
21Shares ringer i klockan på Nasdaq Stockholm
Fonder som ger exponering mot försvarsindustrin
WisdomTree lanserar europeisk försvarsfond.
Warren Buffetts råd om vad man ska göra när börsen kraschar
Trumps återkomst får europeiska aktier att rusa
SAVR Global by Vanguard: Ett billigt alternativ till globala indexfonder
-
Nyheter1 vecka sedanFonder som ger exponering mot försvarsindustrin
-
Nyheter3 veckor sedanWisdomTree lanserar europeisk försvarsfond.
-
Nyheter1 vecka sedanWarren Buffetts råd om vad man ska göra när börsen kraschar
-
Nyheter3 veckor sedanTrumps återkomst får europeiska aktier att rusa
-
Nyheter4 veckor sedanSAVR Global by Vanguard: Ett billigt alternativ till globala indexfonder
-
Nyheter2 veckor sedanDe bästa börshandlade fonderna för tyska utdelningsaktier
-
Nyheter4 veckor sedanUtdelning i XACT Norden Högutdelande mars 2025
-
Nyheter1 vecka sedanEn av de mest nedladdade finansapparna i Sverige
