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Krona strength may resurface

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Market Insight – Foreign Exchange - Krona strength may resurface Swedish economy surpasses expectations trength may resurface. Swedish growth and underlying inflation have continued to develop strongly, rising to the highest

Market Insight – Foreign Exchange – Krona strength may resurface

Swedish economy surpasses expectations

Krona strength may resurface. Swedish growth and underlying inflation have continued to develop strongly, rising to the highest levels in over four years and beating expectations of both its own central bank (Sveriges Riksbank or the “Riksbank”), and the market consensus (see Figure 1). Yet, the EUR/SEK currency pair has risen almost 1.8%* in the past month (SEK weakening), as accommodative monetary measures aimed at limiting Krona strength have been successful. However, at the last two monetary policy meetings, there have been increasing signs that members of the Riksbank’s Executive Board view further monetary easing as unnecessary, especially given the strong outperformance of the Swedish economy and the improving financial environment. Data due in the next three weeks1 will likely reaffirm these views and potentially reduce expectations of intervention. This may remove upward momentum for the EUR/SEK and potentially cause the pair to reverse recent gains.

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Board members voice differing views

The Riksbank cut its benchmark interest rate to -0.5% in February and expanded its asset purchase programme by SEK45bn (US$4.8bn) at its April meeting. The measures were taken to ensure weakness of the Krona and reinforce its important contribution in helping lift inflation. At the last two meetings, Executive Board members have dissented when voting for additional monetary measures, or expressed a more conservative view as to the appropriate course of action. In the absence of a significant catalyst, further monetary measures to weaken the SEK are likely to be met with resistance, especially if upcoming growth and inflation data (due on the 30th May and 14th June respectively) surprise to the upside.

ETFS2

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Resistance ahead

The EUR/SEK is moving towards the higher end of its recent 9.15-9.5 range. Should the pair approach its 2016 high of 9.5046* then it is likely that it will face resistance (see Figure 2). This is because at such levels the Krona weakness would sit in stark contrast to the significant outperformance of the Swedish economy relative to its European peers. In Q4 15, Sweden’s GDP growth was 4.5%*, almost three times that of the Euro Area over the same period.

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This communication has been issued and approved for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (“ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the “FCA”).

The information contained in this communication is for your general information only and is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investments may go down in value.

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This communication may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. Although ETFS UK endeavours to ensure the accuracy of the content in this communication, ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee its accuracy or correctness. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data. Where ETFS UK has expressed its own opinions related to product or market activity, these views may change. Neither ETFS UK, nor any affiliate, nor any of their respective officers, directors, partners, or employees accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this publication or its contents.

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Bitcoin now the world’s seventh-largest asset, SEC commissioner offers support for crypto, and Coinbase CEO to meet with Trump

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Last week, the Nasdaq Crypto Index™ (NCI™) climbed 9.4%, continuing its strong upward trend. Bitcoin (BTC) rose 8.0%, maintaining its momentum as it approaches $100,000, while Ethereum (ETH) gained 8.7%, building on its post-election strength. Solana (SOL) also saw positive movement, up 6.3%, showcasing resilience amidst broader market dynamics. Since the US elections, the NCI has risen significantly, reflecting growing optimism in the crypto space, particularly with regards to assets beyond BTC and ETH. This continued upward trajectory highlights the outperformance of crypto assets against traditional markets, driven by increasing investor confidence and expectations of more favorable regulatory clarity in the near future.

Last week, the Nasdaq Crypto Index™ (NCI™) climbed 9.4%, continuing its strong upward trend. Bitcoin (BTC) rose 8.0%, maintaining its momentum as it approaches $100,000, while Ethereum (ETH) gained 8.7%, building on its post-election strength. Solana (SOL) also saw positive movement, up 6.3%, showcasing resilience amidst broader market dynamics. Since the US elections, the NCI has risen significantly, reflecting growing optimism in the crypto space, particularly with regards to assets beyond BTC and ETH. This continued upward trajectory highlights the outperformance of crypto assets against traditional markets, driven by increasing investor confidence and expectations of more favorable regulatory clarity in the near future.

Bitcoin topples Saudi Aramco to become world’s seventh-largest asset

Bitcoin reached an historic milestone, surpassing Saudi Aramco to become the world’s seventh-largest asset by market capitalization, valued at $1.82 trillion, just days after overtaking silver. This achievement places BTC behind only Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA, and gold. This milestone symbolizes BTC’s remarkable evolution as it approaches 16 years since its creation, solidifying its position as one of the world’s most valuable and influential assets.

SEC ccommissioner pledges crypto-forward approach after Gensler resignation

SEC Commissioner Mark Uyeda, a potential candidate to lead the agency following Gary Gensler’s resignation, has pledged to prioritize regulatory clarity for crypto assets if selected and criticized Gensler’s “anti-crypto” stance, proposing the creation of regulatory sandboxes to foster innovation in the US. This potential appointment could mark a turning point for the crypto industry, bringing clearer regulations, encouraging innovation, and creating a more favorable environment for market growth in the US.

Coinbase CEO plans to discuss personnel appointments with president-elect Trump

Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, plans to meet with Donald Trump, to discuss potential appointments in the new administration, including the plan to create a ”Presidential Bitcoin and Crypto Council” for clear regulatory guidance. After facing actions from the SEC, Armstrong has taken a more active political stance, supporting pro-crypto candidates and contributing millions of dollars to the Fairshake PAC, an alliance to support political candidates committed to securing the US as the home to innovators building the next generation of the internet. This meeting highlights the growing interaction between the crypto industry and the political landscape and signals a potential regulatory shift in the US favorable to the crypto market, bringing greater political influence and growth opportunities for the sector.


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CBEU ETF, en eurohedgad satsning på cybersäkerhet

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First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Acc (CBEU ETF), med ISIN IE000P16KP52, försöker spåra Nasdaq CTA Cybersecurity (EUR Hedged)-index. Nasdaq CTA Cybersecurity (EUR Hedged)-index spårar företag som är aktivt involverade i att tillhandahålla cybersäkerhetsteknik och -tjänster. Valutasäkrad till euro (EUR).

First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Acc (CBEU ETF), med ISIN IE000P16KP52, försöker spåra Nasdaq CTA Cybersecurity (EUR Hedged)-index. Nasdaq CTA Cybersecurity (EUR Hedged)-index spårar företag som är aktivt involverade i att tillhandahålla cybersäkerhetsteknik och -tjänster. Valutasäkrad till euro (EUR).

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,60 % p.a. First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Acc är den enda ETF som följer Nasdaq CTA Cybersecurity (EUR Hedged) index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Acc är en liten ETF med tillgångar på 44 miljoner GBP under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 18 juli 2023 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål/strategi

First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF är en börshandlad fond. Fonden eftersträvar investeringsresultat som generellt motsvarar priset och avkastningen (före fondens avgifter och utgifter) för ett aktieindex som kallas Nasdaq CTA Cybersecurity Index™.

Det finns ingen garanti för att fondens investeringsmål kommer att uppnås.

Index Beskrivning Enligt Indexleverantören

Nasdaq CTA Cybersecurity™ Index är utformat för att spåra resultatet för företag som är engagerade i cybersäkerhetssegmentet inom teknik- och industrisektorerna. Det inkluderar företag som primärt är involverade i att bygga, implementera och hantera säkerhetsprotokoll som tillämpas på privata och offentliga nätverk, datorer och mobila enheter för att skydda data- och nätverksdriftens integritet.

För att ingå i indexet måste ett värdepapper vara noterat på en indexberättigad global börs och klassificeras som ett cybersäkerhetsföretag enligt bestämt av Consumer Technology Association (CTA).

Varje värdepapper måste ha ett världsomspännande börsvärde på 500 miljoner USD, ha en minsta tremånaders genomsnittlig daglig handelsvolym i dollar på 1 miljon USD och ha ett minimum fritt flytande på 20 %.

Indexet utvärderas halvårsvis i mars och september, men om ett indexpapper vid någon annan tidpunkt under året än utvärderingen inte längre uppfyller behörighetskriterierna, eller på annat sätt bedöms ha blivit olämpligt att ingå i indexet, säkerhet tas bort från indexet och ersätts inte. Varje indexpapper som når sin utländska investeringsgräns mellan kvartalsvisa ombalanseringar tas bort från indexet.

Indexet använder en viktningsmetod baserad på fritt flytande marknadsvärde, som inkluderar tak för procentandelen av varje enskilt värdepapper för att härleda de slutliga vikterna för värdepapperen. Inget värdepapper får vägas mindre än 0,25 %.

Indexet ombalanseras kvartalsvis.

Handla CBEU ETF

First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Acc (CBEU ETF) är en börshandlad fond (ETF) som handlas på Euronext Amsterdam.

Euronext Amsterdam är en marknad som få svenska banker och nätmäklare erbjuder access till, men DEGIRO gör det.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
Euronext AmsterdamEURCBEU

Största innehav

VärdepapperKortnamnSektorVikt %
Broadcom Inc.AVGOSemiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment6.72%
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (Class A)CRWDSoftware6.68%
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.PANWSoftware6.41%
Cisco Systems, Inc.CSCOCommunications Equipment6.23%
Infosys Limited (ADR)INFYIT Services5.37%
Darktrace PlcDARK.LNSoftware5.25%
Thales S.A.HO.FPAerospace & Defense3.83%
Gen Digital Inc.GENSoftware3.64%
Leidos Holdings, Inc.LDOSProfessional Services3.64%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding CorporationBAHProfessional Services3.23%
Science Applications International CorporationSAICProfessional Services3.06%
Trend Micro Incorporated4704.JPSoftware3.02%
Okta, Inc.OKTAIT Services3.00%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.CHKPSoftware2.95%
CyberArk Software Ltd.CYBRSoftware2.92%
F5 Inc.FFIVCommunications Equipment2.91%
Tenable Holdings, Inc.TENBSoftware2.86%
Fortinet, Inc.FTNTSoftware2.78%
Akamai Technologies, Inc.AKAMIT Services2.69%
Qualys, Inc.QLYSSoftware2.68%
Varonis Systems, Inc.VRNSSoftware2.66%
Open Text CorporationOTEX.CNSoftware2.48%
SentinelOne, Inc. (Class A)SSoftware2.43%
Cloudflare, Inc. (Class A)NETIT Services2.39%
Zscaler, Inc.ZSSoftware2.31%
Rapid7, Inc.RPDSoftware2.04%
BlackBerry Ltd.BBSoftware1.82%
NetScout Systems, Inc.NTCTCommunications Equipment1.58%
A10 Networks, Inc.ATENSoftware1.26%
Radware Ltd.RDWRSoftware0.89%
US Dollar$USDOther0.29%
Japanese Yen$JPYOther0.00%

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LYTR ETF en likaviktad råvarufond som väljer bort jordbruksprodukter

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Amundi Bloomberg Equal-weight Commodity ex-Agriculture UCITS ETF Acc (LYTR ETF) med ISIN LU1829218749, försöker följa Bloomberg Energy and Metals Equal-Weighted-index. Bloomberg Energy and Metals Equal-Weighted-index följer utvecklingen av råvaror inom energi-, ädelmetall- och industrimetallsektorerna. Alla råvaror som är representerade i indexet är likaviktade.

Amundi Bloomberg Equal-weight Commodity ex-Agriculture UCITS ETF Acc (LYTR ETF) med ISIN LU1829218749, försöker följa Bloomberg Energy and Metals Equal-Weighted-index. Bloomberg Energy and Metals Equal-Weighted-index följer utvecklingen av råvaror inom energi-, ädelmetall- och industrimetallsektorerna. Alla råvaror som är representerade i indexet är likaviktade.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,30 % p.a. Amundi Bloomberg Equal-weight Commodity ex-Agriculture UCITS ETF Acc är den enda ETF som följer Bloomberg Energy and Metals Equal-Weighted-index. ETFen replikerar resultatet för det underliggande indexet syntetiskt med en swap.

Amundi Bloomberg Equal-weight Commodity ex-Agriculture UCITS ETF Acc är en mycket stor ETF med tillgångar på 1 173 miljoner euro under förvaltning. ETF lanserades den 26 januari 2006 och har sin hemvist i Luxemburg.

Investeringsmål

Amundi Bloomberg Equal-weight Commodity ex-Agriculture UCITS ETF Acc (”delfonden”) är en UCITS-kompatibel börshandlad fond som syftar till att spåra både den uppåtgående och nedåtgående utvecklingen av Bloomberg Energy & Metals Equal-Weighted Total Return Index ( ”Indexet”) uttryckt i US-dollar och omräknat i euro, representativt för råvarumarknaden och mer specifikt av energi-, basmetall- och ädelmetallmarknaderna, samtidigt som volatiliteten i skillnaden mellan delfondens avkastning och indexets avkastning (”spårningsfelet”) minimeras.

Handla LYTR ETF

Amundi Bloomberg Equal-weight Commodity ex-Agriculture UCITS ETF Acc (LYTR ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och London Stock Exchange.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURLYTR
Stuttgart Stock ExchangeEURLYTR
Borsa ItalianaEURCOMO
Euronext ParisEURCOMO
London Stock ExchangeGBXCOMG
London Stock ExchangeUSDCOMU
SIX Swiss ExchangeCHFCOMO
SIX Swiss ExchangeUSDCOMO
XETRAEURLYTR

Största innehav

Denna fond använder syntetisk replikering för att spåra indexets prestanda.

NamnValutaVikt %Sektor
NATURAL GAS 01/25 NYMEUSD9.94 %Energi
LOW SULPHUR GASOIL 01/25 ICE-FUTUSD9.33 %Energi
LME PRI ALUM FUTR Jan25USD9.22 %Basmetall
BRENT CRUDE 02/25 ICE-FUTUSD9.21 %Energi
NICKEL 01/25 LMEUSD9.20 %Basmetall
CRUDE OIL 01/25 NYMEUSD9.20 %Energi
ZINC 01/25 LMEUSD8.89 %Basmetall
GOLD 100 OZ 02/25 CECUSD8.75 %Ädelmetall
LME COPPER FUTURE Jan25USD8.72 %Basmetall
SILVER 03/25 CECUSD8.71 %Ädelmetall

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