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Investors buy into oil before price rise

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9 år sedan

den

2 november, 2015

Redaktionen

Commodity ETP Weekly – Investors buy into oil before price rise

•   WTI oil ETP inflows surged to a seven-month high.
•   Investors buy gold on dips.
•   Inflows into US natural gas ETPs hit a 4-month high.
•   Upcoming webinar: Global commodities, have we reached the floor in prices?

A hawkish post-meeting statement from the Federal Open Market Committee drove the US dollar (DXY) temporarily higher, suppressing gains in many commodities. However, subdued PCE deflators and muted increases in wages took the edge off upward US dollar pressure by the end of the week and barring any surprises, commodities should be able to trade on their own fundamentals. The week has started off with the release of better-than-expected manufacturing China Caixin and Euro Area PMIs and the market expects a US ISM reading above the expansionary 50 marker, which could provide a cyclical boost for commodity market sentiment.

WTI oil ETP inflows surged to a seven-month high. WTI oil bounced 6.3% on Wednesday following a lower-than-expected inventory build last week. In the run-up to the announcement, investors piled into long WTI oil ETPs (totalling more than US$86.2mn, between Friday and Wednesday), before taking profit on the news, leaving net inflows for the week at US$66.4mn, the highest since March 2015. Many investors correctly believed that the prior week’s excessively high inventory build would not be repeated. Indeed rig counts in the US have been declining for 9 consecutive weeks and are currently 63% below the levels last year. More than US$200bn of CAPEX cuts have been announced across the industry and the effect of the stalled projects will soon bite into global oil supply and moderate the glut. Meanwhile with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries operating at close to capacity, the traditional role of the cartel – to increase production in times of outages elsewhere – will be compromised, increasing the risk of price shocks in the oil market.

Investors buy gold on dips. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish post-meeting statement send gold 2.6% lower on Thursday, driving US$15.8mn into long gold ETPs on the day. For the week as a whole, we saw more than $31.5mn of inflows into long gold products as investors position for a potential bounce back. With the Fed downplaying global risks and conditioning their next rate move on the domestic market, many see the next two labour market reports as a pivotal guide to the timing of first rate hike in nine years. However, sophisticated investors realise that the payroll numbers in the labour market report are not only volatile, but subject to frequent and significant revisions. Gold’s decline this week could once again turn out to be premature.

Inflows into US natural gas ETPs hit a 4-month high. Natural gas prices surged 11% on Thursday after the release of storage data, which showed inventory building below expectations. Investors bought US$7.2mn of long natural gas ETPs during the week. We are likely to see some profit-taking from this, as inventories still lie more than 1 standard deviation above their five-year average, and prospects for a warmer winter with El Niño affecting US weather could see some of the recent injections being underutilised.

Key events to watch this week. Markets will be focused on the non-farm payrolls numbers out at the end of this week. A disappointing September reading and large downward revisions to July and August estimates has set the tone for a sub-200k consensus expectation for October. However, for many FOMC Governors, including NY Fed’s Dudley, a figure of 120k-150k is enough to ‘push the unemployment rate lower’ and could pull the trigger to vote for a rate hike. Should this month’s reading disappoint, we could see gold rally as rate hike expectations get pushed further out.

Video Presentation

Nitesh Shah, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

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MiCA’s into full effect, Bitcoin’s structural importance and Polymarket’s stellar year

Publicerad

2 timmar sedan

den

7 januari, 2025

Redaktionen

December 30, 2024, has not only marked the upcoming new year, but also brought the second part of the EU’s MiCA Regulation into full effect. In 2025, industries will face new requirements for crypto-asset service provider (CASP) licensing and market abuse prevention, aimed at enhancing the legitimacy and stability of the European crypto-asset market.

With Bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 milestone, investors and financial institutions are renewing their focus on crypto-related products, making MiCA’s introduction particularly timely. As regulatory developments in the crypto universe make headlines in 2025 (not only in Europe, but also in the US after Trump’s triumph in the elections), we expect that a more developed framework will allow for blockchain technology services to gradually be integrated into our daily lives seamlessly.

Two of the key aspects lie upon the following trends: Tokenization and Stablecoins. Tokenization enables digital asset representations, offering faster payments and seamless wallet integration via secure blockchain ledgers. Stablecoins, pegged to assets like fiat currencies or gold, stand out as practical and stable options for everyday use.

We believe Europe’s innovations go beyond these two trends, with notable efforts like the Digital Euro (a CBDC by the European Central Bank) and advancements in electronic identification and authentication systems.

We suggest investors to consider that, just as Bitcoin’s institutional adoption and market cap grew after the approval of US spot ETFs, stablecoins could see similar growth as Europe and the US adopt more inclusive integration policies.

Source: Hashdex Research with data from Messari (from January 01, 2024 to June 30, 2024).

Dec 29 2024 – Jan 05 2025

JPMorgan backs BTC and gold structural importance as key assets in “debasement trade”

• JPMorgan highlighted the importance of bitcoin and gold as key components in investor portfolios, in midst of an increasing “debasement trade” trend.

• This underscores the growing importance of bitcoin as a store of value asset in investors’ portfolios, being closely associated with gold, in their battle against currency debasement.

• Furthermore, this growing importance could have its crescendo in 2025, as bitcoin becomes even more mainstream and institutional investors choose to adopt it as a tool to protect their portfolios.

Prediction platform Polymarket had a stellar year in 2024

• The most famous crypto prediction market, Polymarket, had astonishing 2024 numbers to display, with monthly volume growing by 66.5% throughout the year, leading to a cumulative trading volume that has surpassed $9 billion.

• As highlighted in our Crypto Investment Outlook 2025, applications are going to be the key to attract users, and Polymarket illustrates yet another successful user-driven application in crypto showcasing the untapped potential of applications in crypto.

The Nasdaq Crypto Index™

The year started in a promising fashion for crypto, with the NCI™ soaring 6.9% in the year. This is a great recovery from the last few weeks of December, when markets witnessed a downtrend amid Powell’s hawkish comments.

Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Bloomberg (from December 31, 2024 to January 05, 2025).

The first week of 2025 was positive for crypto, with the NCI™ increasing by 6.6%. Such performance could be attributed to new money inflows in wake cheaper price points, after a mild correction.

Source: Hashdex Research with data from Messari (from December 29, 2024 to January 05, 2025).

Indices tracked by Hashdex

Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Vinter (from January 05, 2024 to January 05, 2025).

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VALD ETF köper europeiska värdeaktier med höga ESG-betyg

Publicerad

3 timmar sedan

den

7 januari, 2025

Redaktionen

BNP Paribas Easy ESG Value Europe UCITS ETF (VALD ETF) med ISIN LU1481201702, strävar efter att spåra BNP Paribas Value Europe ESG-index. BNP Paribas Value Europe ESG-index följer europeiska aktier med en hög värderiskpremie. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,32 % per år. BNP Paribas Easy ESG Value Europe UCITS ETF är den billigaste ETF som följer BNP Paribas Value Europe ESG-index. ETFen replikerar resultatet för det underliggande indexet syntetiskt med en swap. Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

BNP Paribas Easy ESG Value Europe UCITS ETF är en mycket liten ETF med tillgångar på 3 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 31 januari 2017 och har sin hemvist i Luxemburg.

Handla VALD ETF

BNP Paribas Easy ESG Value Europe UCITS ETF (VALD ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och Euronext Paris.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

Börs	Valuta	Kortnamn
gettex	EUR	VALD
Stuttgart Stock Exchange	EUR	VALD
Euronext Paris	EUR	VALD
SIX Swiss Exchange	EUR	VALD
XETRA	EUR	VALD

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E960 ETF köper ESG-företag som ingår i STOXX® Europe 600

Publicerad

1 dag sedan

den

6 januari, 2025

Redaktionen

Amundi STOXX Europe 600 ESG II UCITS ETF Dist (E960 ETF) med ISIN DE000ETF9603, strävar efter att spåra STOXX® Europe 600 ESG Broad Market-index. STOXX® Europe 600 ESG Broad Market Index följer europeiska företag. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning). Moderindexet är STOXX® Europe 600.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,19 % p.a. Amundi STOXX Europe 600 ESG II UCITS ETF Dist är den enda ETF som följer STOXX® Europe 600 ESG Broad Market-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

Amundi STOXX Europe 600 ESG II UCITS ETF Dist är en liten ETF med tillgångar på 61 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 29 januari 2018 och har sin hemvist i Tyskland.

Investeringsmål

Fondens mål är att spåra både uppåt- och nedåtutvecklingen för STOXX® Europe 600 ESG Broad Market EUR Net Return Index. Indexet spårar utvecklingen för cirka 480 aktier från STOXX® Europe 600 bestämt genom att tillämpa ESG-kriterier. ESG-kriterierna är skärmar för efterlevnad, engagemang och ESG-prestanda.

Företag som inte följer Global Standards Screening baserat på dataleverantörens bedömning Sustainalytics är uteslutna. Global Standards Screening identifierar företag som bryter mot eller riskerar att bryta mot allmänt accepterade internationella normer och standarder som är inskrivna i FN:s Global Compact (UNGC) principer, Organisationen för ekonomiskt samarbete och utveckling (OECD) riktlinjer för multinationella företag, FN:s vägledande principer om företag och mänskliga rättigheter (UNGP) och deras underliggande konventioner.

Handla E960 ETF

Amundi STOXX Europe 600 ESG II UCITS ETF Dist (E960 ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och London Stock Exchange.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

Börs	Valuta	Kr
gettex	EUR	E960
Frankfurt Stock Exchange	EUR	E960
SIX Swiss Exchange	CHF	CB1EU6
Stuttgart Stock Exchange	EUR	E960
XETRA	EUR	E960

Största innehav

Denna fond använder fysisk replikering för att spåra indexets prestanda.

Namn	Valuta	Vikt %	Sektor
NOVO NORDISK A/S-B	DKK	4.43 %	Health Care
ASML HOLDING NV	EUR	3.97 %	Informationsteknologi
NESTLE SA-REG	CHF	2.73 %	Dagligvaror
ASTRAZENECA GBP	GBP	2.39 %	Health Care
SHELL PLC	EUR	2.18 %	Energi
NOVARTIS AG-REG	CHF	2.07 %	Health Care
LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUI	EUR	1.98 %	Sällanköpsvaror
SAP SE / XETRA	EUR	1.98 %	Informationsteknologi
ROCHE HOLDING AG – GENUSSS	CHF	1.80 %	Health Care
HSBC HLDGING PLC GBP	GBP	1.62 %	Finans