ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – Investors appear to rotate from gold to silver ETPs
Highlights
Silver ETPs receive highest weekly inflows since January 2015.
Equity contrarians looking to buy Italian ETFs.
Long crude oil ETPs saw US$45mn outflows as WTI oil declined the most in 10 weeks.
Silver ETPs receive highest weekly inflows since January 2015. Silver’s underperformance relative to gold has been correcting in recent weeks. The gold-to-silver ratio has declined to 78 on 25th May from a 2-year high of 82 reached in April. While gold remains under pressure from a rising interest rate environment in the US, silver has the potential to leverage off its industrial’s traits. With global purchasing managers indices seeing improvement in the start Q2, the outlook for industrial demand for silver is looking good. Silver had been in a supply deficit in since 2013 and the lack of capital expenditure in mines in recent years its likely to see that supply deficit persist. Growing demand from electronics (in particular in cars) and photovoltaics bodes well for the metal. Long silver ETPs saw US$97.3mn of inflows last week. Gold ETPs on the other hand saw outflows. Despite gold seeing gains toward the end of the week after the US-North Korea-South Korea summit experienced further turbulence, gold ETPs saw US$63.5mn outflows during the week as gold prices were predominantly falling.
Equity contrarians looking to buy Italian ETFs. The forming of an all-populist coalition government in Italy spooked the market and the FTSE MIB declined a good 4.5% last week. Prior to the events that caused further turmoil over the weekend, ETF investors appear to have sensed a buying opportunity. US$8.2mn of inflows into long FTSE MIB ETFs were the highest since July 2016.
Sugar ETPs saw largest outflows since July 2015 as investors appear to take profit.Sugar pricesrose 7% last week as the market reassessed the extent of global over-supply. After a bumper cane crop (and strong crush thereafter), the market was conditioned to think that India would flood the market with high levels of exports. But it appears that India is happy to hold a larger inventory this year. At the same time, less favourable weather is likely to reduce supplies from Brazil and relatively strong oil prices are likely to see a higher amount of cane be diverted to ethanol production rather than sugar. Long sugar ETPs saw US$8.5mn of outflows last week as investors appeared to take profit on the recent price increase.
Investors appear to profit-take on industrial metals. Broad industrial metal prices have risen 1.5% after in the past month, after a period of decline. Investors appear to have taken profit on these moves. US$16.6mn of outflows last week were the highest in eight weeks. While the fundamentals on industrial metals remain supportive, near-term headwinds from an appreciating US Dollar could cap price gains.
Long crude oil ETPs saw US$45mn outflows as WTI oil declined the most in 10 weeks.WTI oil prices fell 5% last week as OPEC and Russia signalled they are ready to increase supply. It is not clear by how much they will increase production or to what extent the 14 member group (and 10 non-OPEC countries participating in the voluntary production adjustments) even agree with reducing production curbs. We expect more clarity after the 174th OPEC meeting scheduled on 22nd June.
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Amid ongoing market volatility, gold has surged to a new record high above the $3,400 threshold, fueled by growing demand for safe-haven assets. With a YTD performance that places it as the top-performing major asset class, gold has benefitted from concerns over inflation, macro uncertainty, and a weakening US dollar. Investors have sought protection in stores of value, driving strong inflows into gold despite mixed equity performance and sluggish economic indicators. This shift reflects a broader trend that began in 2023, when both gold and bitcoin started showing strong price momentum amid rising global instability.
As digital assets continue to gain legitimacy in global finance, bitcoin increasingly stands alongside gold as a modern alternative store of value. Given gold’s significantly larger market cap, it’s reasonable to expect that fundamentals-driven triggers—such as the opening of the US institutional market and the establishment of a BTC strategic reserve—could have an even more pronounced impact on bitcoin’s price trajectory. With the same macro tailwinds now propelling gold, BTC may be poised for an outsized rally in the coming months as investors seek resilient, decentralized hedges against systemic risk.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Bloomberg (from Dec 31, 2022, to April 20, 2025). The last price for bitcoin and gold is from April 20 as the month is not closed yet.
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
Apr 14 2025 – Apr 20 2025
Powell signals easing of crypto rules for banks
• Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled the potential easing of crypto-related regulations applicable to banks.
• Such a shift could facilitate greater institutional adoption of digital assets globally, as cryptocurrencies become more closely integrated into the traditional financial system of the world’s largest economy.
Arizona advances crypto reserve legislation
• Arizona’s Senate Bill 1373, which seeks to establish a state-managed digital asset reserve, has passed a House committee.
• This development positions Arizona as a leader in state-level crypto initiatives and may set a precedent for other states to follow.
Hyperliquid dominates on-chain perp market
• It was recently disclosed that the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid has captured 70% of the on-chain perpetual contracts market.
• This underscores the growing relevance of perpetual contracts for this protocol within DeFi and signals the emergence of another potential blue-chip in the digital assets space.
• The emergence of solid players in this niche could trigger a shift from centralized derivatives platforms to decentralized alternatives highlights the evolving landscape of crypto trading.
MARKET METRICS
The Nasdaq Crypto Index™
NCI™ constituents delivered mixed results last week. SOL (+6.9%) and LINK (+6.1%) stood out as top performers, while ADA lagged behind with a 3.3% decline—underperforming all other constituents. This divergence likely reflects a neutral macro backdrop, combined with token-specific catalysts, such as software company Janover (JVNR) purchasing $10.3 million of SOL as part of its Solana-focused digital asset treasury strategy.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from Messari (from April 13, 2025 to April 20, 2025).
MARKET METRICS
The Nasdaq Crypto Index™
This week, the NCI™ had relatively flat performance, rising 0.8% and helping it close the gap with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, which saw declines of 2.3% and 1.5%, respectively. The standout performer, however, was gold — the top-performing asset class of the year — which surged 4.7%, reaching a new record high above $3,400 amid rising global uncertainty. Gold’s strong performance may signal that other store-of-value assets, such as bitcoin, could see upward momentum soon, as it continues to lag behind gold YTD.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Bloomberg (from December 31, 2024 to April 20, 2025).
MARKET METRICS
Indices tracked by Hashdex
Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Vinter (from April 20, 2024 to April 20, 2025).
Tom Bailey, analyschef på HANetf, kommenterar nedan om guldpriset som når nya rekordnivåer: ”Guldpriset har återigen nått nya rekordnivåer, då investerare ser ädelmetallen som en säkring mot risk. Guld har blivit en ö av stabilitet i en till synes mer kaotisk värld. Trumps tullar utlöste prisfall på aktier och obligationer, vilket lämnade guld som en säker hamn. Traditionellt sett kommer en kris att se investerare flockas till amerikanska tillgångar, särskilt obligationer, med tanke på landets rykte om säkerhet och stabilitet. Men med tanke på att Trumps tullar av vissa ses som ett angrepp på den efterkrigsledda USA-ledda ordningen, utmanas detta rykte. Guld blir därför en gynnad tillgång. Efter en fantastisk prestation 2024 visar guld potential att bibehålla detta momentum 2025, och vi förväntar oss ytterligare uppsida härifrån.
”Sedan början av året har europeiska investerare lagt till 4 miljarder dollar till sina guld-ETC-innehav.” Det representerar en markant skillnad jämfört med förra året, då guld-ETCer registrerade utflöden. Vi har också sett en ökning av flödena i våra valutasäkrade guld-ETCer hos The Royal Mint, vilket tyder på att investerare vill öka sin guldexponering men minska sin exponering mot dollarrörelser.
”HANetfs The Royal Mint Responsibly Sourced Physical Gold ETC (RM8U), och dess valutasäkrade versioner (RMEH i euro och RMPH i pund), erbjuder ett unikt sätt för investerare att få tillgång till guldmarknaden. RM8U backas upp av ansvarsfullt anskaffat guld, inklusive återvunnet guld, och det fysiska guldet förvaras säkert i The Royal Mints valv, vilket ger oöverträffad sinnesro. Som Storbritanniens äldsta företag med över 1 100 års historia ger The Royal Mint en nivå av förtroende och arv som saknar motstycke på ETC-marknaden.”
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETC genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.
Invesco BulletShares 2027 EUR Corporate Bond UCITSETF EUR Dis (BE27 ETF) med ISIN IE000XOS4OJ6, försöker följa Bloomberg 2027 Maturity EUR Corporate Bond Screened-index. Bloomberg 2027 Maturity EUR Corporate Bond Screened Index följer företagsobligationer denominerade i EUR. Indexet speglar inte ett konstant löptidsintervall (som är fallet med de flesta andra obligationsindex). Istället ingår endast obligationer som förfaller under det angivna året (här: 2027) i indexet. Indexet består av ESG (environmental, social and governance) screenade företagsobligationer. Betyg: Investment Grade. Löptid: december 2027 (Denna ETF kommer att stängas efteråt).
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,10 % p.a. Invesco BulletShares 2027 EUR Corporate Bond UCITSETF EUR Dis är den billigaste ETF som följer Bloomberg 2027 Maturity EUR Corporate Bond Screened index. ETFen replikerar resultatet för det underliggande indexet genom samplingsteknik (köper ett urval av de mest relevanta indexbeståndsdelarna). Ränteintäkterna (kuponger) i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (kvartalsvis).
Invesco BulletShares 2027 EUR Corporate Bond UCITSETF EUR Dis är en mycket liten ETF med tillgångar på 2 miljoner euro under förvaltning. ETF lanserades den 18 juni 2024 och har sin hemvist i Irland.
Produktbeskrivning
Invesco BulletShares 2027 EUR Corporate Bond UCITSETFDist syftar till att tillhandahålla den totala avkastningen för Bloomberg 2027 Maturity EUR Corporate Bond Screened Index (”Referensindexet”), minus avgifternas inverkan. Fonden har en fast löptid och kommer att upphöra på Förfallodagen. Fonden delar ut intäkter på kvartalsbasis.
Referensindexet är utformat för att återspegla resultatet för EUR-denominerade, investeringsklassade, fast ränta, skattepliktiga skuldebrev emitterade av företagsemittenter. För att vara kvalificerade för inkludering måste företagsvärdepapper ha minst 300 miljoner euro i nominellt utestående belopp och en effektiv löptid på eller mellan 1 januari 2027 och 31 december 2027.
Värdepapper är uteslutna om emittenter: 1) är inblandade i kontroversiella vapen, handeldvapen, militära kontrakt, oljesand, termiskt kol eller tobak; 2) inte har en kontroversnivå enligt definitionen av Sustainalytics eller har en Sustainalytics-kontroversnivå högre än 4; 3) anses inte följa principerna i FN:s Global Compact; eller 4) kommer från tillväxtmarknader.
Portföljförvaltarna strävar efter att uppnå fondens mål genom att tillämpa en urvalsstrategi, som inkluderar användning av kvantitativ analys, för att välja en andel av värdepapperen från referensindexet som representerar hela indexets egenskaper, med hjälp av faktorer som index- vägd genomsnittlig varaktighet, industrisektorer, landvikter och kreditkvalitet. När en företagsobligation som innehas av fonden når förfallodag kommer kontanterna som fonden tar emot att användas för att investera i kortfristiga EUR-denominerade skulder.
ETFen förvaltas passivt.
En investering i denna fond är ett förvärv av andelar i en passivt förvaltad indexföljande fond snarare än i de underliggande tillgångarna som ägs av fonden.
”Förfallodag”: den andra onsdagen i december 2027 eller sådant annat datum som bestäms av styrelseledamöterna och meddelas aktieägarna.
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.