Nyheter
Equity all-time highs are meaningless
Equity all-time highs are meaningless. Today the Dow Jones and S&P 500 have both hit all-time historical highs, but we believe its a meaningless milestone, with the headlines only likely to feed further positive momentum.
Looking historically the Dow Jones Industrial index has regularly made new “all-time highs”, since the 1950s there have been 1161 all-time highs and so far this year there have been 7.
(click to enlarge)
Looking at all trading days since the beginning of 1950, a total of 6.7% of all trading days represent new all-time highs. In fact, if we were to interpret the data correctly it seems this we are achieving less all-time highs this decade than ever before, despite QE (quantitative easing) ramping up equity valuations.
The pattern of all-time highs really reflect periods after economic malaise, typically during these weaker points we see drought periods where no new all-time highs are achieved. For instance, from 2007 to 2013 there were 1973 days where no new all-time highs were achieved, then after this period we saw a whole flurry of them.
(click to enlarge)
In terms of the real experience for the investor, total return (including dividends) must be taken into consideration too. After the all-time highs achieved in 2007 in simple price terms investors had to wait until 2013 to achieve a new all-time high, but in total return terms this was 2 years earlier.
Equities, unlike bonds, are to some extent a real asset as companies tend to pass on rising costs to their consumers rather than allow margins to be squeezed, and therefore do tend to continue to rise over time.
Aside from being a psychological level, all-time highs are a bit like Denis Quaid’s view on golf, its meaningless but it means so much.
James Butterfill, Head of Research & Investment Strategy at ETF Securities
James Butterfill joined ETF Securities as Head of Research & Investment Strategy in 2015. James is responsible for leading the strategic direction of the global research team, ensuring that clients receive up-to-date, expert insight into global macroeconomic and asset class specific developments.
James has a wealth of experience in strategy, economics and asset allocation gained at HSBC and most recently in his role as Multi- Asset Fund Manager and Global Equity Strategist at Coutts. James holds a Bachelor of Engineering from the University of Exeter and an MSc in Geophysics from Keele University.
- Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
- Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
- What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has amassed a staggering $43 billion in Bitcoin, positioning itself at the forefront of the corporate “reserve race.” Under the leadership of Bitcoin maximalist Michael Saylor, the company now boasts an $84 billion market cap. But with such an aggressive strategy, how sustainable is its approach—and what risks lie ahead? We break it down in today’s analysis.
Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
A drop below $72,000 could flush longs, while a breakout above $90,000 may squeeze shorts. One key positive indicator is that Bitcoin continues to print higher lows since March 10, which preserves a bullish market structure in our view. Dive into our technical analysis.
What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Imagine owning a slice of a skyscraper or a piece of fine art with just a few clicks. Tokenization, the act of converting ownership rights to real-world assets (RWAs) into tradable tokens, has surpassed $10 billion in on-chain value, unlocking global 24/7 access to once-exclusive markets with liquidity, efficiency, and yield. Find out how it works.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
Since President Trump appointed Mark Uyeda as acting SEC chair two months ago, many investigations into crypto businesses have been dropped, as the SEC moves away from regulation by enforcement and works to create a framework for digital assets. As regulations become clearer and news flow turns more positive, crypto prices—which dropped sharply this week—should begin to better reflect the new regulatory landscape in the US.
We believe this regulatory shift could ultimately help trigger the next leg of the current bull run, as investors better understand the significance of regulatory clarity and seek to acquire bitcoin and altcoins at what we believe are currently very favorable levels.
Market Highlights
SEC Dismisses Crypto Enforcement Actions
The SEC dropped its enforcement actions against crypto-related companies Kraken, Consensys, and Cumberland DRW.
This indicates a shift in SEC’s regulatory approach, favoring clearer guidelines over enforcement actions. Such a pivot could foster a more predictable environment, encouraging innovation within the sector.
Banks to Engage in Crypto Activities
The FDIC has rescinded previous guidelines which prevented financial institutions from engaging with crypto activities without prior sign-off.
By removing bureaucratic hurdles, banks may more readily offer crypto-related services, potentially leading to broader adoption and integration of digital assets.
Bitcoin ETFs Inflow Streak Surpassed $1 Billion
US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded a 10-day inflow streak exceeding $1 billion marking the longest such streak in 2025.
This underscores growing institutional and retail investor confidence in Bitcoin as an asset class that helps increase market stability and possibly paving the way for the approval of other crypto-based financial products.
Market Metrics
All NCITM constituents had negative performance last week, with XRP (-10.8%) and UNI (-10.7%) seeing the steepest declines. ETH also experienced a sharp drop (-9.1%), contributing to NCITM’s underperformance relative to BTC (-2.9%). The NCITM -4.2% decline reflects a broader risk-off sentiment in the crypto market, as investors reassess their positions amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
NCITM (-4.2%) extended its underperformance last week, deepening year-to-date losses. Traditional indices like the S&P 500 (-1.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (-2.4%) saw smaller declines. The gap between crypto and other risk assets continues to widen, while gold has emerged as the top performer in 2025, gaining nearly 20% amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. This trend highlights a growing risk-off sentiment, with investors shifting toward defensive assets and away from high-volatility investments.
Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
BSE0 ETF köper bara företagsobligationer med förfall 2030
US regulatory shift provides a beacon for optimism
BCFP ETF en ackumulerande fond som investerar i Nasdaq-100
21Shares ringer i klockan på Nasdaq Stockholm
Fonder som ger exponering mot försvarsindustrin
WisdomTree lanserar europeisk försvarsfond.
Warren Buffetts råd om vad man ska göra när börsen kraschar
Trumps återkomst får europeiska aktier att rusa
SAVR Global by Vanguard: Ett billigt alternativ till globala indexfonder
-
Nyheter1 vecka sedanFonder som ger exponering mot försvarsindustrin
-
Nyheter3 veckor sedanWisdomTree lanserar europeisk försvarsfond.
-
Nyheter1 vecka sedanWarren Buffetts råd om vad man ska göra när börsen kraschar
-
Nyheter3 veckor sedanTrumps återkomst får europeiska aktier att rusa
-
Nyheter4 veckor sedanSAVR Global by Vanguard: Ett billigt alternativ till globala indexfonder
-
Nyheter2 veckor sedanDe bästa börshandlade fonderna för tyska utdelningsaktier
-
Nyheter4 veckor sedanUtdelning i XACT Norden Högutdelande mars 2025
-
Nyheter1 vecka sedanEn av de mest nedladdade finansapparna i Sverige
