The state of the weakening dollar gave a glimmer of hope for a relief rally, conservatively lifting both equities and crypto. Within the cryptoverse, large caps remained steadier than previous weeks as Bitcoin was seen ranging between the $28.5K-$31K, meanwhile Ethereum wicked down to the yearly-low major support level at $1700 only to rebound, sweep the $2100 resistance level and continue oscillating within this range. The total crypto marketcap gained roughly 6% following the turbulent week that saw the collapse of the Luna token and its counterpart UST stablecoin.
Now, even though the valuations of some of the market’s blue chips has returned to levels not seen since late 2020, it still seems that further drawdown could be on the table. Reason being is that entities with less than 10 BTC in their portfolio managed to add the 2nd highest amount to their stack on the 20th of May, as seen below. A signal that illustrates that we may not be out of the woods yet since retail hasn’t been able to aptly time local or macro bottoms on a historical basis.
Source: Glassnode
However, as the dust begins to settle pertaining to this implosion, the industry has begun to comprehend what came to pass during this unsettling period. The collapse first started with a huge sell-off of $UST on both Centralized and Decentralized Exchanges, which caused the peg to deviate from the $1 mark. While the native mint-burn mechanism (Check out our Statement for details) between $LUNA and $UST can help $UST to slightly restore the peg at the beginning, the consequences are crashing $LUNA’s price by minting tremendous amount of $LUNA in the market. Accordingly, the token’s circulating supply soared to 6T from 340M, causing Luna’s value to deteriorate and bring down UST’s peg along with it.
The crumbling state of affairs led to what is known as the death spiral. It became apparent that despite the Luna Foundation Guard’s attempts to use their 80K BTC reserve to maintain the UST peg, the liquidity was not enough to act as the exit liquidity for UST holders. Not only did the peg fail to restore, but the BTC selloff also caused the slump in Bitcoin’s price and the wider market drawdown that followed. In light of the collapse of the blockchain and the algorithmic stablecoin, Terra’s founder, Do Kwon, has announced a Revival Plan that includes launching a new Terra blockchain. The new Terra blockchain will go live on 27 May if the proposal passes successfully. The existing network will be renamed to Terra Classic, while its token will be renamed as $LUNC.
Regulations and Adoption
The main key giveaway on the regulatory side this week had been the Biden’s Administration’s plans to demand crypto exchanges to separate retail and corporate clients’ funds. The key driver behind the proposition could be due to Coinbase’s recent alert that customers will lose money if they go bankrupt.
Within the exchanges vertical, Binance was found to be seeking regulatory approval in Germany, trying to obtain a license for operation. Bitmex’s Founder was recently sentenced to 6 months of home detention instead of jail time due to violating the US Bank Secrecy Act (BSA). However, the event did not stop Bitmex’s expansions efforts. They have launched a spot trading service beyond solely focusing on derivatives. While traditional players are trying to gain exposure in crypto, FTX US expanded its offerings to traditional finance by offering 0 commission stock trading. There will be no minimum balances, 0 fee brokerage account, 0 commission trading and free market data.
Speaking of crypto’s adoption, the trend was preserved as we saw multiple traditional players tipping their toes or expanding their exposures into the industry. For example, one of the Big 4 Accounting firms, EY, has launched a new supply chain service, OpsChain, on Polygon Nightfall. This service is co-developed with Polygon and will allow organizations to create tokens or NFTs as a representation of assets and inventory within companies that can be traced on the blockchain. Nomura is preparing to launch a crypto subsidiary in the traditional banking side, and Julius Baer is also planning to offer their high net worth clients crypto exposures.
The race for building an EVM wallet is heating up as we saw multiple companies gearing up their efforts to launch a Metamask competitor. First it was reported that Revolut had plans to launch a non-custodial crypto wallet on Ethereum. The function will be similar to Metamask, one of the most popular non-custodial wallets. GameStop also has released a self-custodial Ethereum wallet instead of a non-custodial one for users to store, send and receive cryptos and NFTs. Robinhood also has indicated its plans to launch a custodial wallet for users to trade cryptos and NFTs. In other news, the E-Commerce giant eBay will be launching their 1st NFT collection, with 13 limited-edition NFTs in partnership with Web3 platform OneOf. Spotify and Instagram are pilot testing the NFT features on their platforms via selected producers/artists.
DeFi and NFTs
Ethereum($ETH) Co-Founder, Vitalik Buterin said “The Merge” upgrade will happen in August. This upgrade will shift Ethereum from a Proof-of-Work to a Proof-of-Stake blockchain. Alternative Layer 1 blockchain, Fantom($FTM) has seen a price pump this week. $FTM token dropped to $0.25 on 11 May and rose as high as $0.51 on 24 May. The price movement is likely fueled by the speculation that Andre Cronje, the founder of Yearn Finance, is returning to Fantom since he committed the github of Fantom’s stablecoin project. Ethereum’s scaling solution, Optimism, is going to launch a new upgrade named Bedrock. The upgrade will bring higher speed, lower cost, and Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) Compatibility to the solution.
In the DeFi market, Near’s ($NEAR) Layer 2 solution, Aurora($AURORA) launched Aurora+, which offers users 50 free transactions per month and airdrop to early users. In light of the brief depeg event that occured to $USDT, Tether announced that they had reduced the commercial paper holding to improve the reserves’ quality. In the meantime, Tether also requested the state of New York’s supreme court to refrain the public from examining documents related to Tether’s reserves during the last several years. However, the request was denied.
In the NFT market, Aave($AAVE), a blue-chip money market protocol, has launched a decentralized social graph named Lens Protocol on Polygon. Developers can build social media platforms on top of Lens Protocol and users can mint social profiles, follow others, and create and collect posts in an on-chain way. Finally, with respect to capital raising, VC giant A16Z launched a $600M gaming fund to be utilised for investing in game studios, apps and infrastructure. While it may not be a crypto native fund, crypto gameFi startups could also benefit from the funding given A16Z ‘s rapid investments in the crypto space. Good news aside, Axie Infinity’s Discord bot was compromised. Hackers released fake minting messages to users, but the team deleted the statement shortly after.
Weekly Returns
The returns of the top five cryptoassets over the last week were as follows — BTC (-4.38%), ETH (-5.77%), BNB (3.65%), ADA(-11.28%), XRP (-7.65%).
Net Inflows per 21Shares ETP
The net Inflows of our ETPs amounted to $4.65M in the past week. Find the breakdown of the inflows and outflows per ETP below.
Media Coverage
This week we are thrilled to reveal that we are launching two US-based funds; the 21Shares Crypto Basket 10 Index Fund, tracking the performance of the top 10 cryptocurrencies with regards to market capitalization, and 21Shares Crypto Mid-Cap Index Fund, offering diversified exposure to the next tier of emerging cryptoassets, those ranked 3 through 10 in market capitalisation.
“Historically, the cumulative return rate of the top dozen cryptocurrencies has vastly outperformed traditional indexes like the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, or Nasdaq Composite,” said Arthur Krause, Director of Product at 21Shares. “Our two new index funds enable accredited investors to participate in cryptocurrencies without assuming the responsibility of managing custodial arrangements, tracking private keys and passwords, or being susceptible to hacking or security breaches.”
On this occasion, Ophelia Snyder, president and co-founder of 21Shares, made an appearance on Coindesk to discuss the launch of our first two crypto ETPs in the US for accredited investors. Ophelia also discussed the impact of Terra’s collapse and the wider crypto bear market on investor demand. On Bloomberg Technology, Hany Rashwan, 21Shares’ CEO and co-founder was featured to also speak about the company’s first ETPs in the US market.
News
Opensea introduces seaport, a protocol for creating tailor-made NFT marketplaces
What happened?
Opensea revealed the launch of their latest NFT platform – built on the centralized firm’s new marketplace protocol. Dubbed Seaport, the new protocol is expected to accord users with flexibility in exchanging NFT collections such that other ERC20 tokens (ETH-based tokens), as well as ERC 721/1151 (baseline standards for NFT collections), would be deemed as an acceptable form of payment. This is rather than exclusively relying on the native tokens of the multiple blockchains Opensea supports for its hosted collections.
Furthermore, the brand new protocol will feature an improved message signing capability that should help reduce the exuberant gas fees while clearly illustrating what item should be obtained in exchange for which collection of token(s). In addition, the protocol’s refinements should bring forward a more nuanced trading regime as offers will not be limited to collections anymore and will instead trickle down to traits.
Why does it matter?
Several reasons contribute to the excitement behind this key development. One, buyers in this new paradigm will have the opportunity to leverage their current asset holdings immediately without jumping through several hoops to obtain either ETH or any of the other currencies their preferred collections are denominated in. The convenience offered through this system design is reminiscent of the early days of the decentralized exchanges vertical, particularly around the birth of Uniswap.
Cultivating a user-intuitive front-end experience encourages wider market participation while allowing for sophisticated trading strategies. Considering how DeFi was pushed forwards with the introduction of new complicated protocols that leveraged the DEXs infrastructure, the NFT industry should expect to observe an unprecedented level of innovation over the next couple of months on the back of this refinement.
Open Sourcing the protocol is another benefit that will allow for healthy competition to underpin the breeding of new exciting products. In fact, the evolution will assist in better servicing the end-users, while clearing the way for further decentralization of the NFT marketplace landscape by enabling growing protocols to target a portion of the lion’s share dominated by opensea.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
2024 was a landmark year for bitcoin, solidifying its role as a fully institutionalised asset class.
Institutional inflows into physical bitcoin exchange-traded products (ETPs) reached nearly $35 billion globally, signalling a major shift in how traditional investors view crypto. As bitcoin continued to enhance portfolios’ risk-return profiles, more institutional investors followed suit, reshaping the financial landscape.
Looking ahead, 2025 promises to bring exciting developments across the crypto ecosystem. Here are the top five crypto trends to watch.
Fear of being left behind
The era of bitcoin as a niche investment is over. Institutional adoption is creating a ripple effect, forcing hesitant players to reconsider. Portfolios with bitcoin allocations are consistently outperforming those without, highlighting its growing importance.
Source: Bloomberg, WisdomTree. From 31 December 2013 to 30 November 2024. In USD. Based on daily returns. The 60/40 Global Portfolio is composed of 60% MSCI All Country World and 40% Bloomberg Multiverse. You cannot invest directly in an index. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investment may go down in value.
With bitcoin’s ability to noticeably improve portfolios’ risk-return profiles, asset managers face a clear choice: integrate bitcoin into multi-asset portfolios or risk falling behind in a rapidly evolving financial landscape. In 2025, expect the competition to heat up as clients demand exposure to this powerhouse cryptocurrency.
Expanding crypto investment options
In 2024, regulatory breakthroughs opened the doors for physical bitcoin and ether ETPs in key developed markets. This marked a critical step towards making cryptocurrencies mainstream, providing seamless access to institutional and retail investors alike.
Figure 2: Global physical crypto ETP assets under management (AUM) and 2024 net flows
Source: Bloomberg, WisdomTree. 02 January 2025. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investment may go down in value.
In 2025, this momentum is expected to accelerate as the crypto regulatory environment becomes more friendly in the United States and as key developed markets follow Europe’s lead and approve ETPs for altcoins such as Solana and XRP. With their clear utility and growing adoption, these altcoins are strong candidates for institutional investment vehicles.
This next wave of altcoin ETPs will expand the diversity of crypto investment opportunities and further integrate cryptocurrencies into the global financial system.
The maturing of Ethereum’s layer-2 ecosystem
Ethereum’s role as the backbone of decentralised finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and Web3 is unmatched, but its scalability challenges remain a hurdle. Layer-2 solutions—technologies such as Arbitrum and Optimism—are transforming Ethereum’s scalability and usability by enabling faster, cheaper transactions.
In 2025, Ethereum’s recent upgrades, such as Proto-Danksharding (introduced in the ‘Dencun’ upgrade), will drive layer-2 adoption even further. Innovations like Visa’s layer-2 payment platform leveraging Ethereum for instant cross-border transactions will underscore the platform’s evolution.
Expect Ethereum’s layer-2 ecosystem to power real-world use cases ranging from tokenized assets to decentralised gaming, positioning it as the infrastructure of a truly scalable digital economy.
Stablecoins: bridging finance and blockchain
Stablecoins are becoming indispensable to the global financial system, offering the stability of traditional assets with the efficiency of blockchain. Platforms such as Ethereum dominate the stablecoin landscape, hosting stablecoin giants Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), which facilitate billions in daily transactions.
Figure 3: Key stablecoin chains
Source: Artemis Terminal, WisdomTree. 05 January 2025. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investment may go down in value.
As we move into 2025, stablecoins will increasingly interact with blockchain ecosystems such as Solana and XRP. Solana’s high-speed, low-cost infrastructure makes it ideal for stablecoin payments and remittances, while XRP Ledger’s focus on cross-border efficiency positions it as a leader in global settlements. With institutional adoption rising and DeFi applications booming, stablecoins will serve as the backbone of a seamless, interconnected financial ecosystem.
Tokenization: redefining ownership and revolutionising finance
Tokenization is set to redefine how we think about ownership and value. By converting tangible assets like real estate, commodities, stocks, and art into digital tokens, tokenization breaks down barriers to entry and creates unprecedented liquidity.
In 2025, tokenization will expand dramatically, empowering investors to own fractions of high-value assets. Platforms such as Paxos Gold and AspenCoin are already showcasing how tokenization can revolutionize markets for gold and luxury real estate. The integration of tokenized assets into DeFi will unlock new financial opportunities, such as using tokenized real estate as collateral for loans. As tokenization matures, it will transform industries ranging from private equity to venture capital, creating a more inclusive and efficient financial system.
For the avoidance of any doubt, tokenization complements crypto by expanding the use cases of blockchain to include real-world applications.
Looking ahead
2025 is set to be a defining year for crypto, as innovation, regulation, and adoption converge. Whether it is bitcoin cementing its position as a portfolio staple, Ethereum scaling for mainstream use, or tokenization unlocking liquidity in untapped markets, the crypto ecosystem is poised for explosive growth. For investors and institutions alike, the opportunities have never been clearer or more compelling.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Fidelity Sustainable Research Enhanced Global Equity UCITSETFAcc (FGLR ETF) med ISIN IE00BKSBGV72, är en aktivt förvaltad ETF.
Denna ETF investerar i aktier från utvecklade marknader över hela världen. Värdepapper väljs ut enligt hållbarhet och grundläggande kriterier.
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,25 % p.a. Fidelity Sustainable Research Enhanced Global Equity UCITSETFAcc är den enda ETF som följer Fidelity Sustainable Research Enhanced Global Equity-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.
Fidelity Sustainable Research Enhanced Global Equity UCITSETFAcc är en liten ETF med tillgångar på 45 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 27 maj 2020 och har sin hemvist i Irland.
Investeringsmål
Fonden strävar efter att uppnå långsiktig kapitaltillväxt från en portfölj som huvudsakligen består av aktier i företag med säte globalt.
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.
On January 20, 2025, bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high, surpassing $109,000, and this milestone coincided with Donald Trump’s inauguration for his second term as U.S. President.
Historical trends show that BTC has performed exceptionally well in the 12 months following the past three U.S. elections. If history repeats, this could signal another bullish phase. With Trump’s pro-BTC stance and a U.S. Congress aligned on favorable digital regulation, the outlook for the coming months appears highly promising.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from Messari (from November 6, 2012 to January 19, 2025).
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS | Jan 13 2025 – Jan 19 2025
Bitcoin-backed loans enabled on Coinbase’s L2
• Now customers can borrow USDC in the new base’s lending protocol by using bitcoin as collateral.
• This underscores the importance of onchain innovations as the pillar for future adoption of blockchain technology, in this case enhancing personal finance to be more decentralized and intuitive in a permissionless etho..
• As Donald Trump’s inauguration approaches, several asset managers have filed applications for new crypto ETF products, including those focused on assets like LTC and XRP.
• This reflects optimism for 2025’s crypto regulations and their potential to transform the regulated products landscape.
Trump to make crypto top priority in US agenda
• U.S. President-elect Donald Trump allegedly plans to issue an executive order making crypto a national policy priority and establishing an advisory council.
• The announcement signals that crypto has gained political importance. Even if not all promises are met, crypto has already crossed the chasm.
MARKET METRICS
The Nasdaq Crypto Index™
This week saw a significant rise in digital assets as the market awaits Trump’s inauguration, with the NCI™ (+15.3%) outperforming all traditional asset classes. The NCI™ (+13.2%) also outperformed BTC (+12.1%), highlighting the value of diversification in a volatile market. The performance was positively impacted by SOL’s strong 46.3% gain, while ETH’s underwhelming 3.0% growth had a dampening effect.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Bloomberg (from December 31, 2024 to January 19, 2025).
It was a strong week for the NCI™ , with SOL leading the pack (among others, like XRP and LINK), surging 46.3%, while BTC (12.1%) and ETH (3.0%) lagged behind. This price action seems driven by excitement around Trump’s inauguration and the crypto-friendly environment his promises suggest.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from Messari (from January 12, 2025 to January 19, 2025).
Indices tracked by Hashdex
Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Vinter (from January 19, 2024 to January 19, 2025).