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Crypto’s political influence is accelerating: Does it matter?
The last week was quite memorable for the crypto community and investors. On Tuesday, Ethereum ETFs began trading in the US, something most observers didn’t think would happen until at least 2025. Later in the week, two of the three US presidential candidates spoke at the Bitcoin 2024 conference, an event attended by several US Senators and dozens of other elected officials. At the event, both former president Trump and independent RFK, Jr. announced support for the US to hold bitcoin as a strategic reserve, among many other comments they made in strong support of Bitcoin and the crypto industry.
In recent months, crypto has become part of public policy conversations on a scale like never before. In addition to the independent and Republican presidential candidate’s supportive comments, influential Democrats hosted a crypto roundtable and are advocating for a crypto-friendly party platform, while bipartisan legislation to create a regulatory framework was approved in the US House of Representatives.
This attention from policymakers would have been unfathomable even just a few years ago. But these developments shouldn’t be a complete surprise given that there’s over 50 million crypto owners in the US alone, representing about one out of every five potential voters.
Crypto is clearly here to stay and politicians around the world have started to appreciate that their country’s will need to compete to attract this technology onshore. The history of the internet is a good place to go to help understand this dynamic. The US proactively embraced the development of the internet through favorable legislation and regulation for decades. As a result, the country is currently home to 85% of the market cap of the largest internet companies in the world. Politicians appreciate that to try and replicate anything like this will require policies that attract capital and promote innovation in this space.
But as more politicians pay attention to this industry, how important are election results and other political developments to the long-term investment case for crypto assets?
The short answer is that they are important, but only in the context of the massive long-term institutional developments pushing politicians to take notice.
What we see over and over again with crypto is that it’s easy to get swept away in near-term events, good or bad, and political developments are no different. As Ethereum’s founder Vitalik Buterin rightly noted in a recent article, the nature of politics reminds us that “crypto-friendly now does not mean crypto-friendly five years from now.” As consequential as the November elections may be, they will ultimately have little impact on the investment case for crypto over 5, 10, or 20 years.
What’s more impactful than the direction of current political winds are the events helping to guarantee that crypto will continue to thrive in the coming decades. And these events have been coming fast this year, including:
• The approval and trading of both bitcoin and ether ETFs in the US, which will likely lead to more crypto assets included within this investor-friendly structure;
• Wall Street’s continued acceptance of blockchain-based technologies, including perennial critic Jamie Dimon’s rumored shift toward a favorable outlook for bitcoin;
• the public sector’s embrace of crypto, such as a $160B public pension plan allocating to bitcoin ETFs and the world’s largest pension plan considering bitcoin;
• ecosystem developments that strengthen the resilience of crypto networks, including Bitcoin’s most recent halving and Ethereum’s recent upgrades.
So, while crypto entering the political discourse might grab headlines in the coming months, the bigger underlying story investors should be paying attention to is the ongoing individual and institutional adoption and acceptance of crypto. This is what’s driving the long-term investment case for crypto and is the real factor behind the recent interest from politicians.
- Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
- Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
- What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has amassed a staggering $43 billion in Bitcoin, positioning itself at the forefront of the corporate “reserve race.” Under the leadership of Bitcoin maximalist Michael Saylor, the company now boasts an $84 billion market cap. But with such an aggressive strategy, how sustainable is its approach—and what risks lie ahead? We break it down in today’s analysis.
Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
A drop below $72,000 could flush longs, while a breakout above $90,000 may squeeze shorts. One key positive indicator is that Bitcoin continues to print higher lows since March 10, which preserves a bullish market structure in our view. Dive into our technical analysis.
What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Imagine owning a slice of a skyscraper or a piece of fine art with just a few clicks. Tokenization, the act of converting ownership rights to real-world assets (RWAs) into tradable tokens, has surpassed $10 billion in on-chain value, unlocking global 24/7 access to once-exclusive markets with liquidity, efficiency, and yield. Find out how it works.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
Since President Trump appointed Mark Uyeda as acting SEC chair two months ago, many investigations into crypto businesses have been dropped, as the SEC moves away from regulation by enforcement and works to create a framework for digital assets. As regulations become clearer and news flow turns more positive, crypto prices—which dropped sharply this week—should begin to better reflect the new regulatory landscape in the US.
We believe this regulatory shift could ultimately help trigger the next leg of the current bull run, as investors better understand the significance of regulatory clarity and seek to acquire bitcoin and altcoins at what we believe are currently very favorable levels.
Market Highlights
SEC Dismisses Crypto Enforcement Actions
The SEC dropped its enforcement actions against crypto-related companies Kraken, Consensys, and Cumberland DRW.
This indicates a shift in SEC’s regulatory approach, favoring clearer guidelines over enforcement actions. Such a pivot could foster a more predictable environment, encouraging innovation within the sector.
Banks to Engage in Crypto Activities
The FDIC has rescinded previous guidelines which prevented financial institutions from engaging with crypto activities without prior sign-off.
By removing bureaucratic hurdles, banks may more readily offer crypto-related services, potentially leading to broader adoption and integration of digital assets.
Bitcoin ETFs Inflow Streak Surpassed $1 Billion
US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded a 10-day inflow streak exceeding $1 billion marking the longest such streak in 2025.
This underscores growing institutional and retail investor confidence in Bitcoin as an asset class that helps increase market stability and possibly paving the way for the approval of other crypto-based financial products.
Market Metrics
All NCITM constituents had negative performance last week, with XRP (-10.8%) and UNI (-10.7%) seeing the steepest declines. ETH also experienced a sharp drop (-9.1%), contributing to NCITM’s underperformance relative to BTC (-2.9%). The NCITM -4.2% decline reflects a broader risk-off sentiment in the crypto market, as investors reassess their positions amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
NCITM (-4.2%) extended its underperformance last week, deepening year-to-date losses. Traditional indices like the S&P 500 (-1.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (-2.4%) saw smaller declines. The gap between crypto and other risk assets continues to widen, while gold has emerged as the top performer in 2025, gaining nearly 20% amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. This trend highlights a growing risk-off sentiment, with investors shifting toward defensive assets and away from high-volatility investments.
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