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Crypto Market Compass 6 May 2024

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Crypto Market Compass 6 May 2024 Bitcoin reverses sharply from oversold levels following the dovish FOMC meeting last week

• Bitcoin reverses sharply from oversold levels following the dovish FOMC meeting last week

• Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Indicator” has rebounded sharply from very bearish levels and currently signals neutral sentiment again

• Crypto hedge fund’s beta implies that crypto hedge funds have significantly increased their market exposure to Bitcoin from underweight to neutral levels over the past week

Chart of the Week

Performance

Last week, cryptoassets rebounded from very oversold levels as macro sentiment and risk appetite improved following the latest FOMC meeting.

More specifically, the Fed has started tapering its Quantitative Tightening by announcing that the limit of US Treasury bond redemptions will be reduced from 60 bn USD per month to 25 bn USD per month starting in June. The market interpreted this announcement as a signal that the Fed is inching closer towards an eventual monetary policy easing cycle.

The reversal in overall risk appetite was further supported by weak US labour market data that were released last Friday. Non-farm payroll growth came in well below consensus expectations and the US unemployment rate remained at cycle highs.

This increased the probability of looser monetary policy by the Fed which is bullish for cryptoassets.

As a result, Bitcoin rebounded sharply from very oversold levels in crypto sentiment.

We had already indicated that further downside was limited due to the very bearish levels in the Cryptoasset Sentiment Index .

Since then, we saw a very sharp reversal in crypto hedge fund’s beta that implies crypto hedge funds have on aggregate significantly increased their market exposure from underweight to neutral levels over the past week (Chart-of-the-Week).
Besides, there was also a sharp increase in whale BTC balances over the past week as well.

All in all, this implies that institutional investors seem to have bought the recent dip in cryptoassets.

Meanwhile, overall ETP fund flows into cryptoassets still remained relatively weak over the past week. A bright spot were the new Hong Kong spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs that had a combined net inflow of around +224.1 mn USD last week. However, this was not enough to offset negative ETP flows in other jurisdictions, predominantly in the US.

In general, among the top 10 crypto assets, Avalanche, Toncoin, and Dogecoin were the relative outperformers.

However, overall altcoin outperformance vis-à-vis Bitcoin remained relatively low, with only around 45% of our tracked altcoins managing to outperform Bitcoin on a weekly basis.

Sentiment

Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Index” has rebounded sharply from very oversold levels. The index is currently signalling neutral sentiment again.

At the moment, 8 out of 15 indicators are above their short-term trend.

Last week, there were significant reversals to the upside crypto hedge fund’s beta to Bitcoin and global crypto ETP fund flows.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index signals ”Greed” again as of this morning. It had shortly dropped to “Fear” levels last week.

Performance dispersion among cryptoassets has continued to decline amid the recent reversal in cryptoassets. Overall performance dispersion among cryptoassets remains relatively low.

Altcoin outperformance vis-à-vis Bitcoin was only moderate, with around 45% of our tracked altcoins that have outperformed Bitcoin on a weekly basis. At the same time, there was a slight underperformance of Ethereum vis-à-vis Bitcoin last week.

In general, increasing (decreasing) altcoin outperformance tends to be a sign of increasing (decreasing) risk appetite within cryptoasset markets.

Meanwhile, sentiment in traditional financial markets has not yet rebounded, judging by our own measure of Cross Asset Risk Appetite (CARA).

Fund Flows

Last week, we saw continued net outflows from global crypto ETPs with around -372.4 mn USD (week ending Friday) based on Bloomberg data.

A bright spot were the new Hong Kong spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs that had a combined net inflow of around +224.1 mn USD last week according to data provided by Bloomberg. However, this was not enough to offset negative ETP flows in other jurisdictions, predominantly in the US.

Global Bitcoin ETPs continued to see net outflows of -409.1 mn USD of which -433.0 mn (net) were related to US spot Bitcoin ETFs alone. The newly issued Hong Kong spot Bitcoin ETFs were able to attract +156.2 mn USD in net inflows last week according to data provided by Bloomberg.

The ETC Group Physical Bitcoin ETP (BTCE) also saw net outflows equivalent to -15.2 mn USD last week.

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) continued to experience net outflows of approximately -277.2 mn USD last week. That being said, last week Friday saw the very first daily net inflow into GBTC since its conversion to an ETF in January of around +63.0 mn USD which is a positive sign.

In contrast to Bitcoin ETPs, Global Ethereum ETPs saw a reversal in ETP flows last week, with net inflows of around +25.2 mn USD. This was mostly due to significant inflows into the newly issued Hong Kong spot Ethereum ETFs that were able to attract +67.9 mn USD last week, according to data provided by Bloomberg.

Meanwhile, the ETC Group Physical Ethereum ETP (ZETH) saw small net outflows (-0.9 mn USD). The ETC Group Ethereum Staking ETP (ET32) had neither share creations nor redemptions (+/- 0 mn USD) last week.

Besides, Altcoin ETPs ex Ethereum AuM’s were mostly stable last week with only minor net inflows of around +0.9 mn USD.

Besides, Thematic & basket crypto ETPs also experienced some net inflows of +10.6 mn USD, based on our calculations. The ETC Group MSCI Digital Assets Select 20 ETP (DA20) did experience neither in- nor outflows last week (+/- 0 mn USD).

Besides, the beta of global crypto hedge funds to Bitcoin over the last 20 trading rebounded sharply to around 0.97. This implies that global crypto hedge funds have significantly increased their market exposure and have currently a neutral exposure to Bitcoin.

On-Chain Data

Bitcoin’s on-chain data have continued to improve over the past week.

Short-term holders of bitcoin generally took losses as we declined below their costs basis at round 58k USD. So, there was a capitulation by short-term investors as the short-term holder spent output profit ratio (STH SOPR) reached the lowest level since March 2023. This tends to be a reliable signal for a short-term tactical bottom and also coincided with a generally very bearish sentiment.

Moreover, the increase in accumulation activity in Bitcoin that we had already observed the week prior has continued last week as well which put a floor below prices. What is more is that accumulation activity has even broadened to include larger wallet cohorts. Both very small and very large wallet cohorts currently seem to increase their wallet balances again judging by our own “average accumulation score”.

The average accumulation score aggregates individual accumulation scores across different wallet cohorts and shows the average balance growth across these different wallet cohorts.

The fact that larger wallet cohorts have started increasing their accumulation activity is also supported by the fact that wallets in excess of 100 BTC have significantly increased their purchases in the short term.

This is also corroborated by the fact that BTC whale net exchange flows have turned negative again over the past week with more outbound than inbound whale transfers from/to exchanges.

That being said, active addresses remain relatively weak and have declined towards year-to-date lows again. However, our own measure of overall Bitcoin network activity which includes active addresses, transaction count, UTXO count and block size remains near all-time highs.

Besides, Bitcoin’s hash rate still remains near all-time highs as miners still remain relatively unaffected by the recent halving of the block subsidy. BTC miners transfers to exchanges remain very low and overall miner balances are currently still moving sideways implying no significant selling by miners.

Overall, capitulation by short-term holders as well as broadening accumulation activity are a positive signal.

Futures, Options & Perpetuals

Last week, futures open interest continued to move sideways in BTC-terms and perpetual BTC futures only experienced a slight increase in open interest.

Despite the most recent price correction last week there were no significant futures long liquidations either. That being said, the BTC perpetual funding rate turned negative last week on Thursday and Friday which indicates oversold positioning and which tends to be a reliable signal for a short-term tactical bottom as well.

The Bitcoin futures basis mostly went sideways last week. It declined to new cycle lows during the latest price correction before reversing to around 9.3% p.a. again.

Bitcoin options’ open interest increased only slightly last week as BTC option traders seem to have increased their exposure to puts relative to calls. This was also evident in a short-term spike in relative put volumes.

Consistent with this observation, the 25-delta BTC 1-month option skew increased to levels last seen in January during the volatile US spot Bitcoin ETF trading launch.

Despite the dip to new lows in price, BTC option implied volatilities have only increased slightly. Implied volatilities of 1-month ATM Bitcoin options are currently at around 56.4% p.a., up from 54% p.a. the week prior.

Bottom Line

• Bitcoin reverses sharply from oversold levels following the dovish FOMC meeting last week

• Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Indicator” has rebounded sharply from very bearish levels and currently signals neutral sentiment again

• Crypto hedge fund’s beta implies that crypto hedge funds have significantly increased their market exposure to Bitcoin from underweight to neutral levels over the past week

To read our Crypto Market Compass in full, please click the button below

This is not investment advice. Capital at risk. Read the full disclaimer

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Fastställd utdelning i MONTDIV april 2025

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Idag fastställdes utdelningen i MONTDIV april 2025. Montrose Global Monthly Dividend MSCI World UCITS ETF (MONTDIV ETF) fastställdes till 0,39465 kronor per andel. Utdelningen i MONTDIV april 2025 beräknas betalas ut den 12 maj 2025.

Idag fastställdes utdelningen i MONTDIV april 2025. Montrose Global Monthly Dividend MSCI World UCITS ETF (MONTDIV ETF) fastställdes till 0,39465 kronor per andel. Utdelningen i MONTDIV april 2025 beräknas betalas ut den 12 maj 2025.

Handla MONTDIV ETF

Montrose Global Monthly Dividend MSCI World UCITS ETF (MONTDIV ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på Nasdaq Stockholm.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  NordnetSAVRDEGIRO och Avanza.

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WELG ETF en satsning på healthcareföretag världen över

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Amundi S&P Global Health Care ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELG ETF) med ISIN IE000JKS50V3, strävar efter att spåra S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Health Care-index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Health Care-indexet spårar stora och medelstora företag från hälso- och sjukvårdssektorn. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Amundi S&P Global Health Care ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELG ETF) med ISIN IE000JKS50V3, strävar efter att spåra S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Health Care-index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Health Care-indexet spårar stora och medelstora företag från hälso- och sjukvårdssektorn. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,18 % p.a. Amundi S&P Global Health Care ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) är den billigaste ETF som följer S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Health Care-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

Amundi S&P Global Health Care ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) är en mycket liten ETF med 17 miljoner euro förvaltade tillgångar. ETFen lanserades den 20 september 2022 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål

AMUNDI S&P GLOBAL HEALTH CARE ESG UCITS ETF DR – EUR (D) försöker replikera, så nära som möjligt, resultatet av S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Health Care Index (Netto Total Return Index). Denna ETF har exponering mot stora och medelstora företag i utvecklade länder. Den innehåller uteslutningskriterier för tobak, kontroversiella vapen, civila och militära handeldvapen, termiskt kol, olja och gas (inkl. Arctic Oil & Gas), oljesand, skiffergas. Den är också utformad för att välja ut och omvikta företag för att tillsammans förbättra hållbarhet och ESG-profiler, uppfylla miljömål och minska koldioxidavtrycket.

Handla WELG ETF

Amundi S&P Global Health Care ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELG ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURWELG
XETRAUSDWELZ
XETRAEURWELG

Största innehav

Denna fond använder fysisk replikering för att spåra indexets prestanda.

NamnValutaViktSektor
ELI LILLY & COUSD10.29 %Health Care
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCUSD7.99 %Health Care
NOVO NORDISK A/S-BDKK6.32 %Health Care
ABBVIE INCUSD6.12 %Health Care
ASTRAZENECA GBPGBP5.26 %Health Care
ROCHE HOLDING AG – GENUSSSCHF4.18 %Health Care
MERCK & CO. INC.USD3.93 %Health Care
NOVARTIS AG-REGCHF3.70 %Health Care
ABBOTT LABORATORIESUSD3.43 %Health Care
SANOFIEUR2.58 %Health Care

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Amundi noterar ETF för globala företagsobligationer

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Amundi Global Corporate Bond UCITS ETF investerar globalt i företagsobligationer med fast ränta, denominerade i lokal valuta och har en investment grade-rating. De måste ha en återstående löptid på minst ett år.

Amundi Global Corporate Bond UCITS ETF investerar globalt i företagsobligationer med fast ränta, denominerade i lokal valuta och har en investment grade-rating. De måste ha en återstående löptid på minst ett år.

Andelsklassen är valutasäkrad mot amerikanska dollar och delar ut avkastningen.

NamnISIN
Kortnamn
KostnadUtdelnings-
policy
Amundi Global Corporate Bond UCITS ETF USD Hedged DistLU2996613266
USBG (USD)
0,17%Utdelande

Produktutbudet inom Deutsche Börses ETF- och ETP-segment omfattar för närvarande totalt 2 405 ETFer, 198 ETCer och 256 ETNer. Med detta urval och en genomsnittlig månatlig handelsvolym på mer än 21 miljarder euro är Xetra den ledande handelsplatsen för ETFer och ETPer i Europa.

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