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China fears fade but commodity investors remain defensive on Fed rate outlook

Publicerad

9 år sedan

den

7 september, 2015

Redaktionen

ETF Securities Commodity ETP Weekly – China fears fade but commodity investors remain defensive on Fed rate outlook

Highlights

• Defensive investors prompt third week of inflows into gold ETPs.

• Nine week inflow streak breaks on profit taking in oil ETPs.

• ETFS Short Copper (SCOP) sees largest outflows in 17 weeks as sentiment rebounds.

• Wheat drives first inflows into agricultural sector in four weeks.

Rebounding economic sentiment has seen cyclical commodity prices surge over the past week, with the exception of the agricultural sector. Despite more optimism surrounding US economic activity – a tighter jobs market and an overall robust report from the US Beige Book – investors have maintained a relatively defensive stance, with gold receiving the largest inflows in the commodities sector. We expect that as the prevailing optimism over global growth overshadows fears over a Chinese slowdown, commodity markets should continue to benefit, even in the face of a rising US Dollar as we saw last week. The Fed lies ahead.

Defensive investors prompt third week of inflows into gold ETPs. G20 deliberations over the weekend addressed concerns about Chinese market volatility but any conclusions or detail was scarce. Alongside the potential for a Fed rate hike in 20- 15, investors are retaining a cautious stance, with both gold and silver receiving solid inflows. Long gold ETPs have received nearly US$265mn over the past three weeks, and this is likely to continue, especially from European investors trying to seek a buffer against further Euro depreciation. Certainly the ECB appears prepared to do more on the stimulus front after last week’s policy meeting and gold continues to provide a good buffer against a loss of international purchasing power for Eurozone residents, with gold in Euros rising nearly 3% so far this year. Silver saw the largest inflows in 22 weeks, totaling US$7.8mn after rising 3.1%.

Nine week inflow streak breaks on profit taking in oil ETPs. Back-to-back weekly gains in crude oil prices has seen investors reduce exposure to the energy sector. The gains appear to be somewhat premature, with US stockpiles posting the largest gains since April last week. Indeed, stockpiles, while in the midst of a seasonal downtrend, are 20% above the 5-year average, indicating the market remains oversupplied. Outflows totaled US$45.9mn last week and were dominated by US WTI exposed ETPs. Meanwhile, reinforcing the view that potential weakness lies ahead, ETFS Daily Short WTI Crude Oil (SOIL) received the largest inflows in 15 weeks, totaling US$6.9mn.

ETFS Short Copper (SCOP) sees largest outflows in 17 weeks as sentiment rebounds. SCOP experienced US$5.8mn of outflows, and alongside US$3.3mn inflows into long copper ETPs, indicates a sharp shift in the negative sentiment that has previously been affecting the industrial metals sector. ETFS Aluminium (ALUM) received the largest inflows in four weeks as global stockpiles reached 6-year lows.

Wheat drives first inflows into agricultural sector in four weeks. Investors appear to be ignoring the
plentiful global supplies that are having a depressing impact on wheat prices in recent weeks, with inflows into long wheat ETPs the largest in three weeks. Five of the past six weeks have seen positive inflows into long wheat ETPs, totaling over US$20mn over that period. Sugar was again the best performer among agricultural commodities as wetter weather in Brazil and fears of the El Nino impacting production in India lent support to price. Investors thus far have not capitalized on the gains seen in sugar over the past month, with outflows totaling US$6.5mn.

Key events to watch this week. Central bank policy will remain key focus this week, as investors weigh the growth and inflation outlook of major economies against a backdrop of lingering uncertainty surrounding China. Ahead of the Fed next week, the Bank of England and Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate meetings will be scrutinised for any hints of the extent of feedback from global volatility on domestic economies.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.

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2025 Begins: Insights, Market Update Dec.24 and ETPs Performance Attribution

Publicerad

17 timmar sedan

den

9 januari, 2025

Redaktionen

Happy New Year! On behalf of the Hashdex team, I wish you success and prosperity in 2025. As we enter the new year, we are filled with optimism about the opportunities ahead in the crypto asset market. The current market dynamics, regulatory advancements, and increasing institutional adoption continue to strengthen the foundation for growth. At the core of our outlook lies the stronger investment case for crypto index strategies—an effective way to capture the evolving opportunities in this dynamic asset class.

Notably, since the US elections, our Multi-Crypto Index ETPs have been outperforming Bitcoin, demonstrating the value of diversified exposure in this bull cycle.

Explore our latest insights:

• 2025 Crypto Investment Outlook
• Latest CIO Notes: Which Crypto Assets Will Outperform Bitcoin in 2025?

Below is our 2024 December market update and performance attributions for our Crypto Index ETPs.

Hashdex Crypto Index ETPs: performances (USD) as of end of December 24

• Beta Index ETP – Nasdaq Crypto Index ETP (HASH or HDX1) (largest Crypto Index ETP): December: -3.66%, 2024 +101%.
•
• Smart-Beta Index ETP – Crypto Momentum Index ETP (HAMO or HDXM): December: -7.72%, 2024 +51%.

Market Update – December 24

December started strong, with the Nasdaq Crypto Index (NCI) climbing nearly 10% by mid-month, driven by optimism surrounding pro-crypto sentiment in the U.S. administration and strong inflows into Ethereum ETFs. However, the Federal Reserve’s December 18 announcement—indicating fewer-than-expected rate cuts in 2025—triggered a trend reversal across risk assets. The NCI ended December down 4%, but the year concluded with a +101% gain.

As highlighted in our CIO’s December Notes, we are firmly in a crypto bull cycle. Altcoins historically outperform Bitcoin in these cycles, and the NCI’s continued outperformance of BTC further signals this trend. Over the past three months, the NCI has returned +47.9%, compared to BTC’s +43.1%.

Nasdaq Crypto Index (NCI) and Crypto Momentum Index (HAMO) relative to other asset class in December 24

Source: Hashdex, as of 31/12/24, HAMO for Crypto Momentum Index, the underlying of HAMO ETP.

Despite December’s pullback, crypto remains a high-growth investment category, with strong fundamentals supporting further outperformance in 2025.

Performance Attribution

Nasdaq Crypto Index (NCI)

XRP led the month’s performance, rising over 10% due to regulatory optimism. Meanwhile, November’s top-performing assets, including Solana, Cardano, and Avalanche, saw corrections of ~20%. Bitcoin and Ethereum, the largest NCI constituents, fell by 3.7% and 10.0%, respectively.

Source: Hashdex, as of 31/12/24.

Crypto Momentum Factor Index

The Crypto Momentum Factor Index closely matched Bitcoin’s performance in December, bolstered by XRP’s 13.9% rise, which accounts for ~20% of the index. Since the U.S. elections, the index has seen a 53.7% increase, reinforcing its tactical edge in capturing bullish trends.

Source: Hashdex, as of 31/12/24.

Correlation (3m) to traditional asset classes

Source: Hashdex, as of 31/12/24. NCI for Nasdaq Crypto Index.

Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index ETP (HASH)

Broad exposure to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins with quarterly rebalancing – evolutive basket reflecting market capitalisations

Largest Crypto Index ETP in Europe, AUM +$400m

ISIN: CH1184151731 / Tickers: HASH (SIX and Euronext) or HDX1 (Xetra) – tradable in USD, EUR, CHF and GBP

Current allocation:

Hashdex Crypto Momentum Factor ETP (HAMO)

Momentum Factor-driven allocation with monthly rebalancing

ISIN: CH1218734544 / Tickers: HAMO (SIX and Euronext) or HDXM (Xetra) – tradable in USD, EUR, CHF and GBP

Current allocation:

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Börshandlade produkter som ger exponering mot kryptovalutan INJ

Publicerad

18 timmar sedan

den

9 januari, 2025

Redaktionen

I denna text tittar vi närmare på olika börshandlade produkter som ger exponering mot kryptovalutan INJ. Precis som för många andra kryptovalutor och tokens finns det flera olika börshandlade produkter som spårar INJ. Vi har identifierar två stycken sådana produkter.

De olika produkterna skiljer sig en del åt, en del av emittenter av ETPer arbetar med så kallad staking för vissa kryptovalutor, vilket gör att förvaltningsavgiften kan pressas ned. Det är emellertid inte så att alla dessa börshandlade produkter är identiska varför det är viktigt att läsa på.

Börshandlade produkter som ger exponering mot kryptovalutan INJ

Precis som för många andra kryptovalutor och tokens finns det flera olika börshandlade produkter som spårar INJ. Det finns faktiskt två börshandlad produkter som är noterade på svenska börser vilket gör att den som vill handla med dessa slipper växlingsavgifterna, något som kan vara skönt om det gäller upprepade transaktioner i olika riktningar.

För ytterligare information om respektive ETP klicka på kortnamnet i tabellen nedan.

Namn	Ticker	Valuta	Utlåning	Staking	ISIN	Avgift
Valour Injective (INJ) SEK	VALOUR INJ SEK	SEK	Nej	Nej	CH1108679312	1,90%
21Shares Injective Staking ETP	AINJ	USD	Nej	Nej	CH1360612134	2,50%

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QUED ETF fokuserar på europeiska kvalitetsaktier med höga ESG-betyg

Publicerad

19 timmar sedan

den

9 januari, 2025

Redaktionen

BNP Paribas Easy ESG Quality Europe UCITS ETF (QUED ETF) med ISIN LU1481201611, strävar efter att spåra BNP Paribas Quality Europe ESG-index. BNP Paribas Quality Europe ESG-index spårar aktier med en hög kvalitetsfaktor från länder i Europa. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,32 % per år. BNP Paribas Easy ESG Quality Europe UCITS ETF är den billigaste ETF som följer BNP Paribas Quality Europe ESG-index. ETFen replikerar resultatet för det underliggande indexet syntetiskt med en swap. Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

BNP Paribas Easy ESG Quality Europe UCITS ETF är en mycket liten ETF med 5 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 31 januari 2017 och har sin hemvist i Luxemburg.

Handla QUED ETF

BNP Paribas Easy ESG Quality Europe UCITS ETF (QUED ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och Euronext Paris.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.