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China Easing Supports Cyclical Commodities
China Easing Supports Cyclical Commodities. ETFS Physical Platinum (PHPT) sees US$6mn of inflows on price declines.
ETFS Nickel (NICK) receives US$5.7mn of inflows as recent price drop is seen as entry opportunity by some investors.
Both long and short natural gas ETPs see inflows as price jumps on lower than expected inventory build-up.
Lowest wheat price since February drives US$5.9mn of inflows into long wheat ETPs.
The end of the 21-week long South African strikes dominated the news last week, with both platinum and palladium suffering a correction as the risk premium was removed. Meanwhile, investors took advantage of recent price corrections in a number of commodities to accumulate, with platinum, nickel and wheat ETPs seeing inflows. With the most recent data from China rebounding and the authorities adding more stimulus through reserve requirement cuts and further fiscal easing, we expect cyclical commodities to continue to perform well.
ETFS Physical Platinum (PHPT) sees US$6mn of inflows on price declines. The platinum price dropped sharply on Thursday after Amplats, Implats and Lonmin announced an “in principle” agreement had been reached with the Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union (AMCU), ending the 21-week long strike. According to our calculations, over 1moz of platinum and 500koz of palladium were lost in the strikes and it will be some time before most mines are brought back to working condition. Given that there is no strike premium priced into platinum prices now and a pick-up in global demand, we believe the correction will be short-lived. At the same time, profit taking drove US$6mn out of palladium ETPs as the palladium price reached a 13-year high at US$864oz last week.
ETFS Nickel (NICK) receives US$5.7mn of inflows as recent price drop is seen as entry opportunity by some investors. Nickel price slumped 5.6% last week as some Chinese stainless steel mills announced they are now willing to pay less for nickel pig iron, a cheaper alternative to pure nickel. However, nickel is up 30% year to date, prompting Glencore’s CEO to announce that rising nickel prices are making mining Loma Miranda in Dominican Republic increasingly likely. Meanwhile, ETFS Tin (TINM) saw US$8.4mn of outflows, the biggest in over 16 months, on higher-than-expected exports numbers from Indonesia. The latter introduced export restrictions back in July 1, 2013 but since then smuggling has increased forcing Indonesia to temporarily seize a ship in March, delaying shipments out of Indonesia.
Both long and short natural gas ETPs see inflows as price jumps on lower than expected inventory build-up. Natural gas price increased the most since February as the EIA announced stockpiles increased by 107bcf vs 110bcf expected. With the low season for natural gas demand fast approaching, we believe the Henry Hub natural gas price will decline in the coming months. At the same time, ETFS WTI Crude Oil (CRUD) saw US$0.6mn of outflows on profit taking, as price hovered near US$107.
Lowest wheat price since February drives US$5.9mn of inflows into long wheat ETPs. The USDA revised the global wheat crop up by 4.6mn bushels for the incoming season. However, consumption was also revised upwards, meaning that the market is likely to be fairly balanced this year. At the same time, ETFS Corn (CORN) saw US$3.6mn of outflows as abundant supply continues to weigh on price.
Key events to watch this week. This week the focus will likely be on the FOMC meeting on Wednesday as investors will look for clues on the timing of a potential rate hike after the latest positive economic numbers. Bank of England minutes will also be looked at after Carney declared interest rates may be rising sooner than expected
Important Information
This communication has been issued and approved for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”).
Since President Trump appointed Mark Uyeda as acting SEC chair two months ago, many investigations into crypto businesses have been dropped, as the SEC moves away from regulation by enforcement and works to create a framework for digital assets. As regulations become clearer and news flow turns more positive, crypto prices—which dropped sharply this week—should begin to better reflect the new regulatory landscape in the US.
We believe this regulatory shift could ultimately help trigger the next leg of the current bull run, as investors better understand the significance of regulatory clarity and seek to acquire bitcoin and altcoins at what we believe are currently very favorable levels.
Market Highlights
SEC Dismisses Crypto Enforcement Actions
The SEC dropped its enforcement actions against crypto-related companies Kraken, Consensys, and Cumberland DRW.
This indicates a shift in SEC’s regulatory approach, favoring clearer guidelines over enforcement actions. Such a pivot could foster a more predictable environment, encouraging innovation within the sector.
Banks to Engage in Crypto Activities
The FDIC has rescinded previous guidelines which prevented financial institutions from engaging with crypto activities without prior sign-off.
By removing bureaucratic hurdles, banks may more readily offer crypto-related services, potentially leading to broader adoption and integration of digital assets.
Bitcoin ETFs Inflow Streak Surpassed $1 Billion
US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded a 10-day inflow streak exceeding $1 billion marking the longest such streak in 2025.
This underscores growing institutional and retail investor confidence in Bitcoin as an asset class that helps increase market stability and possibly paving the way for the approval of other crypto-based financial products.
Market Metrics
All NCITM constituents had negative performance last week, with XRP (-10.8%) and UNI (-10.7%) seeing the steepest declines. ETH also experienced a sharp drop (-9.1%), contributing to NCITM’s underperformance relative to BTC (-2.9%). The NCITM -4.2% decline reflects a broader risk-off sentiment in the crypto market, as investors reassess their positions amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
NCITM (-4.2%) extended its underperformance last week, deepening year-to-date losses. Traditional indices like the S&P 500 (-1.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (-2.4%) saw smaller declines. The gap between crypto and other risk assets continues to widen, while gold has emerged as the top performer in 2025, gaining nearly 20% amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. This trend highlights a growing risk-off sentiment, with investors shifting toward defensive assets and away from high-volatility investments.
21Shares ringer i klockan på Nasdaq Stockholm när denna kryptoemittent fortsätter att utöka sitt utbud av produkter som är tillgängliga i regionen med noteringen av sina börshandlade produkter CBTC (Bitcoin), ASOL (Solana) och AXRP (Ripple) ETP på Nasdaq Stockholm (OMX).
Detta markerar ytterligare ett steg framåt för 21Shares i Norden när 21Shares tittar på att göra ytterligare 21Shares-produkter mer tillgängliga för 21Shares lokala kundbas i svenska.
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