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An Opportunity to Buy Gold as Pressure on Prices Continues

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An Opportunity to Buy Gold as Pressure on Prices Continues Gold ETPs saw outflows of US$53mn as prices continue to drop on further signs of a potential rate hike in June.

ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – An Opportunity to Buy Gold as Pressure on Prices Continues

  • Gold ETPs saw outflows of US$53mn as prices continue to drop on further signs of a potential rate hike in June.
  • Larger-than-expected decline in US crude inventory pushed Brent crude above the US$50/bbl. for the first time since November 2015.
  • ETPs flows trends in industrial metals are volatile but more diversified across the commodity sector.

Gold ETPs recorded second largest weekly outflows in 2016 as prices retreat near its 2 months low. In line with the hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes report released on the 18th of May, Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have also been hinted in their speech on a higher probability for the Fed to hike rates again in June amidst concerns over the UK Brexit. However, the odds, derived from reading of the Fed Fund Futures, remain low, at 30%, highlighting that the uncertainty over the Fed next month move will likely continue to weigh on the metal price until then. The US dollar, on the other hand, rose 2.7% over the past month adding to the current downward pressure on commodities. In our model, we estimate the fair value of gold at US$1,250/oz. for year end 2016, assuming an inflation of 2% in the US and speculative net positioning falls back to 75,000. We, therefore, believe that the current price level should be seen as a potential buying opportunity for investors.

Oil ETPs recorded outflows for the seventh consecutive week as prices continue to recover. Oil prices rose 1.6% last week, trading above the US$50/bbl. for the first time since November 2015. As a result, oil ETPs recorded outflows for the seventh consecutive week, mainly out of WTI crude ETPs. While the US oil benchmark currently trades slightly below its European peers, investors fear that US shale oil production may return faster than expected, capping the potential gain on the WTI crude price while Brent crude should continue to benefit from depleting oil production in the North Sea. US crude stockpiles fell more than expected in the latest US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report as US oil production continued to decline at the same time, lending support to oil prices. We believe next week’s OPEC meeting will not have any meaningful impact on the global oil market. Both the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the US EIA raised their global demand growth forecast for 2016 to 1.4 million barrels per day on higher demand from China and India.

Industrial metals ETPs have been enjoying net inflows of US$38mn in 2016. While flows remain highly volatile from one week to another, the momentum is building up as industrial metals ETPs were the only commodity sector posting positive flows last week. Investor interest has traditionally been focussed on copper and aluminium ETPs. We however note that recent flows trends suggest a more diversified exposure across the sector with nickel ETPs actually recording positive flows over the past year. Increasing signs that China economy is stabilising combined with continued capex cuts from miners should eventually support industrial metals prices.

Key events to watch this week. A number of manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs are due over the course of the week along with retail sales and confidence data. While the European Central Bank will decide on its interest rate policy on Thursday, investors will also be waiting for labour market data for May from key countries, above all the US non-farm payroll on Friday.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

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Valour Kaspa SEK spårar priset på kryptovalutan KAS

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Valour Kaspa (KAS) SEK (Valour Kaspa SEK) med ISIN CH1108679379, är en börshandlad produkt (ETP) som spårar KAS, den infödda symbolen för Kaspa blockchain. Genom att använda sitt GhostDAG-protokoll bearbetar Kaspa block parallellt, vilket möjliggör snabb transaktionsavslutning och hög skalbarhet. KAS-tokenen används för transaktionsavgifter och nätverkssäkerhet genom mining. Med sin effektiva och decentraliserade design stöder Kaspa skalbara blockkedjeapplikationer, vilket ger både utvecklare och användare kraft.

Valour Kaspa (KAS) SEK (Valour Kaspa SEK) med ISIN CH1108679379, är en börshandlad produkt (ETP) som spårar KAS, den infödda symbolen för Kaspa blockchain. Genom att använda sitt GhostDAG-protokoll bearbetar Kaspa block parallellt, vilket möjliggör snabb transaktionsavslutning och hög skalbarhet. KAS-tokenen används för transaktionsavgifter och nätverkssäkerhet genom mining. Med sin effektiva och decentraliserade design stöder Kaspa skalbara blockkedjeapplikationer, vilket ger både utvecklare och användare kraft.

Beskrivning

Valour’s Certificate-produktlinje erbjuder börshandlade produkter som uppfyller kraven, var och en helt säkrad av sina respektive digitala tillgångar. För att säkerställa säker kylförvaring samarbetar Valour med nivå 1-licensierade förvaringsinstitut som Copper. Handlade på reglerade börser och MTFer ger dessa certifikat transparent prissättning och likviditet, vilket stärker investerarnas förtroende för säkra digitala tillgångsinvesteringar. Valours grundprospekt är godkända av Finansinspektionen och uppfyller EUs krav på fullständighet, tydlighet och konsekvens.

Produktinformation

NamnValour Kaspa SEK
EmittentValour Inc
BasvalutaSEK
Föraltningskostnad1,9%
ISINCH1108679379
Valoren110867937
WKNA4A55Z
FörfallodagOpen-ended

Handla Valour Kaspa

Valour Kaspa (KASPA) (Valour Kaspa SEK) är en europeisk börshandlad produkt som handlas på bland annat Spotlight Stock Market.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETP genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest, Levler och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
Spotlight Stock MarketSEKVALOUR KASPA SEK

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Crypto markets drop, Powell hints at fewer cuts, and Ethereum ETFs record inflows

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The third week of December was rough for crypto prices. The Nasdaq Crypto Index™ (NCI™) fell 9.7%, led by lackluster performance from Bitcoin (-3.2%) Ethereum (-2.3%) and Solana (-6.4%). This negative performance comes after weeks of strong price action in the crypto market, fueled by a series of positive developments. On Wednesday, the Fed lowered rates once again but Chair Powell suggested these cuts may slow.

The third week of December was rough for crypto prices. The Nasdaq Crypto Index™ (NCI™) fell 9.7%, led by lackluster performance from Bitcoin (-3.2%) Ethereum (-2.3%) and Solana (-6.4%). This negative performance comes after weeks of strong price action in the crypto market, fueled by a series of positive developments. On Wednesday, the Fed lowered rates once again but Chair Powell suggested these cuts may slow.

Bitcoin ETFs experience strong selling spree after positive streak of days

US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a record $680 million in net outflows on Thursday, ending a 15-day streak of positive flows totaling $6.7 billion. This could indicate potential profit-taking by investors, given Bitcoin’s impressive 119% appreciation since the start of the year. If we are indeed at the beginning of a bull market, corrections during this cycle are expected to be nominally larger, as BTC, currently valued at around $100,000, has the potential for further appreciation throughout this cycle.

Ether ETFs record inflows in December

ETH ETFs attracted $1.66 billion in new investments this December, accounting for 74% of their $2.24 billion total inflows since inception and reflecting growing institutional interest beyond Bitcoin. The strong inflow-to-market cap ratio signals rising confidence in Ethereum, potentially paving the way for a broader range of regulated crypto products to gain prominence.

From Hashdex: With the year’s end approaching, we would like to invite our readers to explore our Outlook 2025, as it offers key insights to help investors confidently navigate the crypto market in this upcoming year.


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X026 ETF satsar på småbolag i Europa som förändrar klimatet

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Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Climate Net Zero Ambition CTB UCITS ETF Dist (X026 ETF) med ISIN LU2572257470, försöker spåra MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad CTB Select-index. MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad CTB Select-index följer europeiska småbolagsaktier. Värdepapper väljs och viktas enligt hållbarhetskriterier och EU:s direktiv om klimatskydd. Moderindexet är MSCI Europe Small Cap.

Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Climate Net Zero Ambition CTB UCITS ETF Dist (X026 ETF) med ISIN LU2572257470, försöker spåra MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad CTB Select-index. MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad CTB Select-index följer europeiska småbolagsaktier. Värdepapper väljs och viktas enligt hållbarhetskriterier och EU:s direktiv om klimatskydd. Moderindexet är MSCI Europe Small Cap.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,35 % p.a. Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Climate Net Zero Ambition CTB UCITS ETF Dist är den största ETF som följer MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad CTB Select-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Climate Net Zero Ambition CTB UCITS ETF Dist är en liten ETF med tillgångar på 91 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 10 mars 2023 och har sin hemvist i Luxemburg.

Investeringsmål

Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Climate Net Zero Ambition CTB UCITS ETF Dist försöker replikera, så nära som möjligt, prestanda för MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad CTB Select Index. Delfondens mål är att uppnå en tracking error-nivå för delfonden och dess index som normalt inte kommer att överstiga 1 %. Denna ETF har exponering mot småbolagsvärdepapper i utvecklade marknader i Europa.

Handla X026 ETF

Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Climate Net Zero Ambition CTB UCITS ETF Dist (X026 ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURX026
XETRAEURX026

Största innehav

Denna fond använder sig av fysisk replikering för att spåra det underliggande indexet.

NamnValutaVikt %Sektr
INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GROUPGBP1.09 %Finans
BANCO DE SABADELL SAEUR1.08 %Finans
HOWDEN JOINERY GRP PLCGBP0.94 %Industri
DIPLOMA PLCGBP0.94 %Industri
ROTORK PLCGBP0.79 %Industri
IMI PLCGBP0.73 %Industri
TATE & LYLE PLCGBP0.72 %Dagligvaror
BAWAG GROUP AGEUR0.72 %Finans
GALENICA AGCHF0.71 %Health Care
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP PLCGBP0.71 %Dagligvaror

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