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Amazon Partners with Ava Labs, SEC Investigates Genesis and Gemini over Earn, and More!
Positive signals continue in crypto’s second all-positive week with the largest short squeeze in months. Bitcoin increased by 21% week-over-week and broke the 200-day moving average (SMA) threshold for the first time in 381 days. In the last bear market it took Bitcoin 386 days to trade above its 200-day SMA. Ethereum soared by 18% over the past week. Outliers of last week’s rally were Solana, Optimism, and Curve. Solana, which has increased by a whopping 46%, seems to be still enjoying the hype created by the meme token called BONK. Optimism stood out within major scalability solutions, soaring by 41%, which can be attributed to a surge in transaction volume that could have been made on the back of announcing the Shanghai testnet to be slated to take place next month. Finally, in DeFi, Curve was the first runner-up with a weekly performance of 33%.
Figure 1: Weekly TVL and Price Performance of Major Crypto Categories
Source: 21shares, CoinGecko, DeFi Llama. Data as of January 16 (close price).
Key takeaways
• Bitcoin increased by 21% week-over-week and broke the 200-day moving average (SMA) threshold for the first time in 381 days.
• SEC launches investigations and lawsuits on Gemini and Genesis.
• Polygon proposes a network incremental improvement to address fee spikes and mitigate chain-reorganization.
• BONK, a “meme coin” creates hype on Solana-based NFT marketplace Magic Eden.
Spot and Derivatives Markets
Figure 2: Total Crypto Liquidations
Source: Coinglass
Over the past week, we have seen the largest short squeeze in months of over $1 billion liquidated on Binance, OKX, and Bybit. This dynamic is an indication that there were more funds betting against Bitcoin and the recent positive rally disappointed their positions. The recent price action is simply a regression to the mean. We are back to levels where we were post the LUNA debacle and pre-FTX. In other words, as an industry we are better off without FTX and Alameda. However, it is important to note that this rally may not be long lasting as we may face mispriced headwinds. The silver lining is
On-chain Indicators
Figure 3: Ethereum’s Network Value to Transactions Signal
Source: Glassnode
The chart above measures the market sentiment of Ethereum, dividing its market cap by the 90-day moving average of daily transaction volume. NVTS signal closed at almost 87 on Monday, increasing by 14% week-over-week. This increase means that Ethereum’s market cap is outpacing its transaction volume, which aligns with the price movements of scalability solutions.
Next Week’s Calendar
Source: Forex Factory, CoinMarketCal
Read our full report here
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
- Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
- Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
- What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Michael Saylor’s bold Bitcoin bet and Strategy’s risk analysis
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has amassed a staggering $43 billion in Bitcoin, positioning itself at the forefront of the corporate “reserve race.” Under the leadership of Bitcoin maximalist Michael Saylor, the company now boasts an $84 billion market cap. But with such an aggressive strategy, how sustainable is its approach—and what risks lie ahead? We break it down in today’s analysis.
Bitcoin price technical analysis: Where are the liquidation levels?
A drop below $72,000 could flush longs, while a breakout above $90,000 may squeeze shorts. One key positive indicator is that Bitcoin continues to print higher lows since March 10, which preserves a bullish market structure in our view. Dive into our technical analysis.
What are real-world assets and why do we need tokenization?
Imagine owning a slice of a skyscraper or a piece of fine art with just a few clicks. Tokenization, the act of converting ownership rights to real-world assets (RWAs) into tradable tokens, has surpassed $10 billion in on-chain value, unlocking global 24/7 access to once-exclusive markets with liquidity, efficiency, and yield. Find out how it works.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
Since President Trump appointed Mark Uyeda as acting SEC chair two months ago, many investigations into crypto businesses have been dropped, as the SEC moves away from regulation by enforcement and works to create a framework for digital assets. As regulations become clearer and news flow turns more positive, crypto prices—which dropped sharply this week—should begin to better reflect the new regulatory landscape in the US.
We believe this regulatory shift could ultimately help trigger the next leg of the current bull run, as investors better understand the significance of regulatory clarity and seek to acquire bitcoin and altcoins at what we believe are currently very favorable levels.
Market Highlights
SEC Dismisses Crypto Enforcement Actions
The SEC dropped its enforcement actions against crypto-related companies Kraken, Consensys, and Cumberland DRW.
This indicates a shift in SEC’s regulatory approach, favoring clearer guidelines over enforcement actions. Such a pivot could foster a more predictable environment, encouraging innovation within the sector.
Banks to Engage in Crypto Activities
The FDIC has rescinded previous guidelines which prevented financial institutions from engaging with crypto activities without prior sign-off.
By removing bureaucratic hurdles, banks may more readily offer crypto-related services, potentially leading to broader adoption and integration of digital assets.
Bitcoin ETFs Inflow Streak Surpassed $1 Billion
US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded a 10-day inflow streak exceeding $1 billion marking the longest such streak in 2025.
This underscores growing institutional and retail investor confidence in Bitcoin as an asset class that helps increase market stability and possibly paving the way for the approval of other crypto-based financial products.
Market Metrics
All NCITM constituents had negative performance last week, with XRP (-10.8%) and UNI (-10.7%) seeing the steepest declines. ETH also experienced a sharp drop (-9.1%), contributing to NCITM’s underperformance relative to BTC (-2.9%). The NCITM -4.2% decline reflects a broader risk-off sentiment in the crypto market, as investors reassess their positions amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
NCITM (-4.2%) extended its underperformance last week, deepening year-to-date losses. Traditional indices like the S&P 500 (-1.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (-2.4%) saw smaller declines. The gap between crypto and other risk assets continues to widen, while gold has emerged as the top performer in 2025, gaining nearly 20% amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. This trend highlights a growing risk-off sentiment, with investors shifting toward defensive assets and away from high-volatility investments.
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