Aktiva ränteförvaltare gjorde det mesta av volatila H1 med majoriteten som slog sina jämförelseindex, medan aktieförvaltare hade en mer utmanande period enligt Lyxor Research
• 57 procent av ränteförvaltarna slog sina jämförelseindex under första halvåret 2021, medan 47 procent av aktieförvaltarna överpresterade i en mer utmanande period.
• Storbritannien och Europa Small Cap kom ut på topp bland större divergens i aktieförvaltares prestationer.
• Ränteförvaltare navigerade framgångsrikt den berg-och-dalbana som första halvåret innebar med inflationsskräck och tillväxtproblem.
Den senaste upplagan av Lyxor Asset Managements ”Active-Passive Navigator” finner att de flesta aktiva räntefondförvaltarna slog sina jämförelseindex i de flesta tillgångsklasser under första halvåret 2021, där de gjorde det mesta av en volatil marknadsmiljö där förhoppningarna om en stark global återhämtning och reflation skakades av ökande osäkerheter relaterade till den snabba spridningen av Deltavarianten och centralbankernas svar på stigande inflation. Det var dock svårt för aktiefondförvaltare att hålla jämna steg med aktiemarknadsrallyt, särskilt för Large Cap-förvaltare.
Enligt studien som släpps idag, gjord av Lyxor ETF Research and Solutions-team, och som tittar på resultatet för 13 800 aktiva fonder med EU-hemvist (motsvarande 2,7 miljarder euro, har 57% av aktiva ränteförvaltare och 47% av aktiva aktieförvaltare i genomsnitt slagit sina jämförelseindex i H1, med betydande spridning mellan tillgångsklasser. Lyxor ”Active-Passive Navigator” utvärderar också de viktigaste trenderna som påverkar de globala marknaderna och driver perfomance.
Medan 2021 började starkt för aktiefondförvaltare, uppmuntrade av massutrullningen av vaccinationskampanjer, särskilt i USA och Storbritannien, visade deras resultat större spridning jämfört med förra året. De som tog ett mer risk-on tillvägagångssätt och med exponering mot värde- och cykliska aktier, väntade att dra mest nytta av den globala återhämtningen, kom ut på topp. Dessa inkluderade Storbritannien och Europa small cap (med 96% respektive 61% av dem som gjorde bättre ifrån sig än sina respektive index), medan Kinaförvaltare (73%) drog nytta av en stark inhemsk efterfrågan, vilket gjorde att de kunde avvärja oroligheter på kinesiska marknader i början av året. Däremot släpade Global (34%) och European Large Cap-förvaltare (39%) efter när de kämpade för att fånga aktierallyt på grund av otillräcklig exponering mot dels europeiska aktier, som led relativt mindre av ”tapering ångest” och mot värdeaktier.
Ränteförvaltare hade totalt sett en stark utveckling i H1 (med 57% som överträffade sina jämförelseindex jämfört med 40% år 2020) när de framgångsrikt navigerade i en komplex och kontrasterad miljö, bland rädslan för skenande inflation som pressade obligations-yield högre överlag under första kvartalet. Under andra kvartalet lindrade den dämpande dragkraften i USAs ekonomiska aktivitet oron för tapering av Fed, vilket gav amerikanska statsobligationer en paus, medan euroräntorna smög sig högre, driven av ekonomisk återhämtning och stigande vaccinationsnivåer. I detta sammanhang gjorde ränteförvaltare som intog en undervikt på kortduration bra ifrån sig, med stats-, Investment Grade- och Aggregate-förvaltare som frodades på båda sidor av Atlanten och överträffade jämförelseindex. Däremot underpresterande High Yield, alltför försiktigt under första kvartalet, och tillväxtmarknadsräntor, alltför försiktiga under andra kvartalet, något under perioden.
Vincent Denoiseux, Head of ETF Research and Solutions hos Lyxor Asset Management, kommenterade: “Även om de flesta aktiva aktieförvaltare har kunnat dämpa marknadschocker under 2020 visade det sig vara mer utmanande att hänga med i ett så snabbt och konsekvent rally som under första halvåret 2021. Dynamisk hantering av sektor- och stilallokering var nyckeln till att prestera bättre i denna utmanande miljö. På räntefronten har H1 varit en stark period, med agil durationshantering som en avgörande prestationsdrivare”.
Jean-Baptiste Berthon, Senior Cross-Asset Strategist at Lyxor Asset Management, tillade: “En majoritet av aktiva fondförvaltare lyckades navigera i motvid relaterad till problematik i vaccinationsprogram samt osäkerheter som drivs av stigande inflation och oro för tapering. Framöver kommer tillbakadragandet av monetära och finanspolitiska stimulanser, förändrade handelsförhållanden när ekonomierna gradvis återgår till det normala och stigande värderingar att ge både utmaningar och möjligheter för aktiva förvaltare”
2024 was a landmark year for bitcoin, solidifying its role as a fully institutionalised asset class.
Institutional inflows into physical bitcoin exchange-traded products (ETPs) reached nearly $35 billion globally, signalling a major shift in how traditional investors view crypto. As bitcoin continued to enhance portfolios’ risk-return profiles, more institutional investors followed suit, reshaping the financial landscape.
Looking ahead, 2025 promises to bring exciting developments across the crypto ecosystem. Here are the top five crypto trends to watch.
Fear of being left behind
The era of bitcoin as a niche investment is over. Institutional adoption is creating a ripple effect, forcing hesitant players to reconsider. Portfolios with bitcoin allocations are consistently outperforming those without, highlighting its growing importance.
Source: Bloomberg, WisdomTree. From 31 December 2013 to 30 November 2024. In USD. Based on daily returns. The 60/40 Global Portfolio is composed of 60% MSCI All Country World and 40% Bloomberg Multiverse. You cannot invest directly in an index. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investment may go down in value.
With bitcoin’s ability to noticeably improve portfolios’ risk-return profiles, asset managers face a clear choice: integrate bitcoin into multi-asset portfolios or risk falling behind in a rapidly evolving financial landscape. In 2025, expect the competition to heat up as clients demand exposure to this powerhouse cryptocurrency.
Expanding crypto investment options
In 2024, regulatory breakthroughs opened the doors for physical bitcoin and ether ETPs in key developed markets. This marked a critical step towards making cryptocurrencies mainstream, providing seamless access to institutional and retail investors alike.
Figure 2: Global physical crypto ETP assets under management (AUM) and 2024 net flows
Source: Bloomberg, WisdomTree. 02 January 2025. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investment may go down in value.
In 2025, this momentum is expected to accelerate as the crypto regulatory environment becomes more friendly in the United States and as key developed markets follow Europe’s lead and approve ETPs for altcoins such as Solana and XRP. With their clear utility and growing adoption, these altcoins are strong candidates for institutional investment vehicles.
This next wave of altcoin ETPs will expand the diversity of crypto investment opportunities and further integrate cryptocurrencies into the global financial system.
The maturing of Ethereum’s layer-2 ecosystem
Ethereum’s role as the backbone of decentralised finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and Web3 is unmatched, but its scalability challenges remain a hurdle. Layer-2 solutions—technologies such as Arbitrum and Optimism—are transforming Ethereum’s scalability and usability by enabling faster, cheaper transactions.
In 2025, Ethereum’s recent upgrades, such as Proto-Danksharding (introduced in the ‘Dencun’ upgrade), will drive layer-2 adoption even further. Innovations like Visa’s layer-2 payment platform leveraging Ethereum for instant cross-border transactions will underscore the platform’s evolution.
Expect Ethereum’s layer-2 ecosystem to power real-world use cases ranging from tokenized assets to decentralised gaming, positioning it as the infrastructure of a truly scalable digital economy.
Stablecoins: bridging finance and blockchain
Stablecoins are becoming indispensable to the global financial system, offering the stability of traditional assets with the efficiency of blockchain. Platforms such as Ethereum dominate the stablecoin landscape, hosting stablecoin giants Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), which facilitate billions in daily transactions.
Figure 3: Key stablecoin chains
Source: Artemis Terminal, WisdomTree. 05 January 2025. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investment may go down in value.
As we move into 2025, stablecoins will increasingly interact with blockchain ecosystems such as Solana and XRP. Solana’s high-speed, low-cost infrastructure makes it ideal for stablecoin payments and remittances, while XRP Ledger’s focus on cross-border efficiency positions it as a leader in global settlements. With institutional adoption rising and DeFi applications booming, stablecoins will serve as the backbone of a seamless, interconnected financial ecosystem.
Tokenization: redefining ownership and revolutionising finance
Tokenization is set to redefine how we think about ownership and value. By converting tangible assets like real estate, commodities, stocks, and art into digital tokens, tokenization breaks down barriers to entry and creates unprecedented liquidity.
In 2025, tokenization will expand dramatically, empowering investors to own fractions of high-value assets. Platforms such as Paxos Gold and AspenCoin are already showcasing how tokenization can revolutionize markets for gold and luxury real estate. The integration of tokenized assets into DeFi will unlock new financial opportunities, such as using tokenized real estate as collateral for loans. As tokenization matures, it will transform industries ranging from private equity to venture capital, creating a more inclusive and efficient financial system.
For the avoidance of any doubt, tokenization complements crypto by expanding the use cases of blockchain to include real-world applications.
Looking ahead
2025 is set to be a defining year for crypto, as innovation, regulation, and adoption converge. Whether it is bitcoin cementing its position as a portfolio staple, Ethereum scaling for mainstream use, or tokenization unlocking liquidity in untapped markets, the crypto ecosystem is poised for explosive growth. For investors and institutions alike, the opportunities have never been clearer or more compelling.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Fidelity Sustainable Research Enhanced Global Equity UCITSETFAcc (FGLR ETF) med ISIN IE00BKSBGV72, är en aktivt förvaltad ETF.
Denna ETF investerar i aktier från utvecklade marknader över hela världen. Värdepapper väljs ut enligt hållbarhet och grundläggande kriterier.
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,25 % p.a. Fidelity Sustainable Research Enhanced Global Equity UCITSETFAcc är den enda ETF som följer Fidelity Sustainable Research Enhanced Global Equity-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.
Fidelity Sustainable Research Enhanced Global Equity UCITSETFAcc är en liten ETF med tillgångar på 45 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 27 maj 2020 och har sin hemvist i Irland.
Investeringsmål
Fonden strävar efter att uppnå långsiktig kapitaltillväxt från en portfölj som huvudsakligen består av aktier i företag med säte globalt.
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.
On January 20, 2025, bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high, surpassing $109,000, and this milestone coincided with Donald Trump’s inauguration for his second term as U.S. President.
Historical trends show that BTC has performed exceptionally well in the 12 months following the past three U.S. elections. If history repeats, this could signal another bullish phase. With Trump’s pro-BTC stance and a U.S. Congress aligned on favorable digital regulation, the outlook for the coming months appears highly promising.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from Messari (from November 6, 2012 to January 19, 2025).
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS | Jan 13 2025 – Jan 19 2025
Bitcoin-backed loans enabled on Coinbase’s L2
• Now customers can borrow USDC in the new base’s lending protocol by using bitcoin as collateral.
• This underscores the importance of onchain innovations as the pillar for future adoption of blockchain technology, in this case enhancing personal finance to be more decentralized and intuitive in a permissionless etho..
• As Donald Trump’s inauguration approaches, several asset managers have filed applications for new crypto ETF products, including those focused on assets like LTC and XRP.
• This reflects optimism for 2025’s crypto regulations and their potential to transform the regulated products landscape.
Trump to make crypto top priority in US agenda
• U.S. President-elect Donald Trump allegedly plans to issue an executive order making crypto a national policy priority and establishing an advisory council.
• The announcement signals that crypto has gained political importance. Even if not all promises are met, crypto has already crossed the chasm.
MARKET METRICS
The Nasdaq Crypto Index™
This week saw a significant rise in digital assets as the market awaits Trump’s inauguration, with the NCI™ (+15.3%) outperforming all traditional asset classes. The NCI™ (+13.2%) also outperformed BTC (+12.1%), highlighting the value of diversification in a volatile market. The performance was positively impacted by SOL’s strong 46.3% gain, while ETH’s underwhelming 3.0% growth had a dampening effect.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Bloomberg (from December 31, 2024 to January 19, 2025).
It was a strong week for the NCI™ , with SOL leading the pack (among others, like XRP and LINK), surging 46.3%, while BTC (12.1%) and ETH (3.0%) lagged behind. This price action seems driven by excitement around Trump’s inauguration and the crypto-friendly environment his promises suggest.
Source: Hashdex Research with data from Messari (from January 12, 2025 to January 19, 2025).
Indices tracked by Hashdex
Source: Hashdex Research with data from CF Benchmarks and Vinter (from January 19, 2024 to January 19, 2025).